Marketinformation-technologysoftwareapplication-softwareMSTRApr 27, 2026
Briefing #1 of 1

MSTR briefing — Strategy Inc (formerly MicroStrategy Incorporated)

Released: 2026-04-27 Briefing series: #1 of N Prior briefing: first in series Stock at release: $169.20 Inflection pattern: volatile_grower


Price history with reaction-annotated news events

Chart: Price history with material news events annotated. Green dots = positive market reaction, red dots = negative, sized by reaction magnitude. Methodology: market-adjusted abnormal return over 2-day event window. Full dataset available at tickerdossier.com.


What changed since the last briefing

(This is the first briefing in the series.)


Company snapshot


The arc

| Date | Event | Source | |------|-------|--------| | 2026-04-27 | Weekly ATM update: Apr 20–26 sold 1,451,601 MSTR shares for $255M net proceeds; as of Apr 26, 2026: 818,334 BTC held at avg cost $75,537/BTC, total $61.81B; $26.5B MSTR stock ATM capacity remaining. | 8-K, 2026-04-27 | | 2026-04-20 | Weekly ATM update filed | 8-K, 2026-04-20 | | 2026-04-13 | Weekly ATM update filed | 8-K, 2026-04-13 | | 2026-04-06 | Weekly ATM update filed | 8-K, 2026-04-06 | | 2026-04-01 | Weekly ATM update filed | 8-K, 2026-04-01 | | 2026-03-30 | Weekly ATM update filed | 8-K, 2026-03-30 | | 2026-03-23 | Weekly ATM update filed | 8-K, 2026-03-23 | | 2026-03-16 | Weekly ATM update filed | 8-K, 2026-03-16 | | 2026-03-09 | Weekly ATM update filed | 8-K, 2026-03-09 | | 2026-03-02 | Weekly ATM update filed | 8-K, 2026-03-02 | | 2026-02-23 | Weekly ATM update filed | 8-K, 2026-02-23 | | 2026-02-19 | FY2025 10-K filed: BTC holdings $58.85B on balance sheet (Dec 31, 2025); net loss -$3,848.2M; software revenues $477.2M; long-term debt $8,159M; USD Reserve $2.25B; five preferred stock series outstanding with total mezzanine equity $6,919M. | 10-K FY2025, filed 2026-02-19 | | 2025-12-31 | As of year-end: 717,131 BTC at $58.85B fair value on balance sheet (per ASC 350). Average cost basis not separately stated for Dec 31 in summary; as of Feb 13, 2026: avg cost $76,027/BTC for 717,131 BTC. | 10-K FY2025, filed 2026-02-19 | | 2025-12-01 | USD Reserve of $2.25B established in December 2025 to fund preferred stock dividends and debt interest. | 10-K FY2025, filed 2026-02-19 | | 2025-11-03 | Q3 2025 10-Q filed | 10-Q Q3 2025, filed 2025-11-03 | | 2025-08-11 | Name changed from "MicroStrategy Incorporated" to "Strategy Inc." | 10-K FY2025, filed 2026-02-19 | | 2025-08-05 | Q2 2025 10-Q filed | 10-Q Q2 2025, filed 2025-08-05 | | 2025 | Structured and issued five preferred stock series (STRF, STRC, STRE, STRK, STRD) — "digital credit" instruments providing varying bitcoin exposure; total mezzanine equity from preferred stock $6,919M as of Dec 31, 2025. | 10-K FY2025, filed 2026-02-19 | | 2020-08 | First bitcoin acquisition announced. | Public record |


Current state

Year-over-year changes (FY2024 → FY2025)

| Metric | FY2024 | FY2025 | Change | |--------|--------|--------|--------| | Software revenues ($M) | 463.5 | 477.2 | — | | Operating loss ($M) | (1,853.0) | (5,444.4) | — | | Net loss ($M) | (1,166.7) | (3,848.2) | — | | BTC held (units) | 7 | 717,131 (Dec 31, 2025) | — | | BTC fair value on balance sheet ($B) | [DATA NEEDED] | 58.85 | — | | Long-term debt ($M) | 7,191.2 | 8,159 | — | | Preferred stock mezzanine equity ($M) | — | 6,919 | new in 2025 | | Cash (USD Reserve + unrestricted) ($M) | 38.1 | 2,301 | — |Source: 10-K FY2025 filed 2026-02-19. FY2024 comparative figures not available in provided summary; verify in 10-K footnotes.

FY2025 narrative — the bitcoin machine. Strategy Inc's FY2025 financials are dominated by the ASC 350 fair value accounting for its bitcoin holdings. The company adopted ASC 350 in Q1 2025, which requires bitcoin to be marked to market through the income statement; prior to 2025, unrealized gains and losses on bitcoin were not recognized in net income. The $5.403B operating loss on digital assets in FY2025 reflects the net change in fair value of bitcoin during 2025. Software revenues were $477.2M — a secondary consideration. The company's operating thesis is bitcoin accumulation: it raised capital via ATM equity offerings, convertible notes, and preferred stock, then used proceeds to buy bitcoin. (10-K FY2025, filed 2026-02-19.)

Bitcoin holdings as of April 26, 2026. The most current data point is the April 27, 2026 ATM update 8-K: 818,334 BTC held at total cost $61.81B and average purchase price $75,537/BTC. The prior week (April 20–26), the company sold 1,451,601 MSTR shares for $255M net proceeds, which were used to buy additional bitcoin. $26.5B of MSTR stock ATM capacity remains. Since the Dec 31, 2025 position of 717,131 BTC, the company added approximately 101,203 BTC in Q1 and early Q2 2026. (8-K, 2026-04-27.)

Capital structure complexity. As of December 31, 2025: long-term debt $8,159M (convertible notes and other); five preferred stock series with total mezzanine equity $6,919M (STRF, STRC, STRE, STRK, STRD); cash $2,301M; USD Reserve $2.25B established December 2025 to fund preferred dividends and debt interest. The company's liabilities and preferred equity obligations are supported almost entirely by the market value of 818,334 BTC. If bitcoin prices decline materially, the company's ability to service its debt and preferred dividends depends on its ability to issue additional equity or sell bitcoin. (10-K FY2025, filed 2026-02-19.)

Software business. Software revenues of $477.2M in FY2025 represent the legacy enterprise analytics business. This revenue is operationally secondary to the bitcoin accumulation strategy. The 10-K risk factors explicitly state the company "may not be able to regain profitability" and that software revenues from a single platform are a concentration risk. (10-K FY2025, filed 2026-02-19.)


Key numbers

| Metric | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Current (Apr 26, 2026) | |--------|--------|--------|--------|--------|------------------------| | BTC held (units) | 7 | [DATA NEEDED] | [DATA NEEDED] | 717,131 | 818,334 | | BTC avg cost ($/BTC) | [DATA NEEDED] | [DATA NEEDED] | [DATA NEEDED] | ~76,027 | 75,537 | | BTC total cost ($B) | [DATA NEEDED] | [DATA NEEDED] | [DATA NEEDED] | ~54.5 | 61.81 | | Software revenues ($M) | 499.3 | 496.3 | 463.5 | 477.2 | — | | Net loss ($M) | (1,469.8) | 429.1 | (1,166.7) | (3,848.2) | — | | Long-term debt ($M) | 2,378.6 | 2,182.1 | 7,191.2 | 8,159 | — | | Preferred equity mezzanine ($M) | — | — | — | 6,919 | — | | Cash + USD Reserve ($M) | 43.8 | 46.8 | 38.1 | 2,301 + 2,250 | — |Source: 10-K FY2025 filed 2026-02-19; 8-K filed 2026-04-27. Historical BTC totals and FY2022–FY2024 financials not available in provided summaries.


Ownership

Note: Strategy issues weekly ATM sales of Class A common stock — the float is actively expanding. The total share count changes each week. Check the most recent 8-K ATM update for the current share count.

Source: 10-K FY2025 filed 2026-02-19; DEF 14A filed 2025-04-28.


Peers

IBIT (iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF) / FBTC (Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund) — Direct bitcoin exposure products; the 10-K risk factors note that increasing availability of bitcoin ETFs may reduce the premium that MSTR stock has historically traded at relative to its BTC NAV.

COIN (Coinbase Global, Inc.) — Bitcoin/crypto exchange; revenue model is transaction-based but shares the bitcoin price correlation. COIN is operationally a very different business (exchange) vs. Strategy (holding company).

WULF / MARA / CLSK — Bitcoin miners with treasury strategies; hold BTC but also mine it. Smaller BTC positions and different operating models.

TSLA / AAPL — Comparison targets because Strategy is evaluated relative to the "corporate treasury" Bitcoin adoption thesis; neither holds BTC at Strategy's scale.


Recent news (last 6 months)

| Date | Headline | Source | Market reaction | |------|----------|--------|-----------------| | 2026-04-27 | ATM update: 1,451,601 shares sold Apr 20–26 for $255M; 818,334 BTC held at $61.81B total cost | 8-K, 2026-04-27 | [DATA NEEDED] | | 2026-04-20 | Weekly ATM update filed | 8-K, 2026-04-20 | [DATA NEEDED] | | 2026-04-13 | Weekly ATM update filed | 8-K, 2026-04-13 | [DATA NEEDED] | | 2026-04-06 | Weekly ATM update filed | 8-K, 2026-04-06 | [DATA NEEDED] | | 2026-04-01 | Weekly ATM update filed | 8-K, 2026-04-01 | [DATA NEEDED] | | 2026-03-30 | Weekly ATM update filed | 8-K, 2026-03-30 | [DATA NEEDED] | | 2026-03-23 | Weekly ATM update filed | 8-K, 2026-03-23 | [DATA NEEDED] | | 2026-03-16 | Weekly ATM update filed | 8-K, 2026-03-16 | [DATA NEEDED] | | 2026-03-09 | Weekly ATM update filed | 8-K, 2026-03-09 | [DATA NEEDED] | | 2026-03-02 | Weekly ATM update filed | 8-K, 2026-03-02 | [DATA NEEDED] | | 2026-02-23 | Weekly ATM update filed | 8-K, 2026-02-23 | [DATA NEEDED] | | 2026-02-19 | FY2025 10-K filed: 717,131 BTC, net loss -$3.85B, $8.2B long-term debt, five preferred stock series | 10-K FY2025, 2026-02-19 | [DATA NEEDED] |

Note: Strategy files weekly ATM update 8-Ks. Each week's filing represents the most current BTC accumulation data. Market reaction data requires MSTR.json chart file access.


What moves this stock

| News type | Events | Avg reaction | Best example | |-----------|--------|--------------|--------------| | Bitcoin price movements | Continuous | [DATA NEEDED] | Highly correlated (leveraged BTC proxy) | | Weekly ATM/BTC accumulation disclosures | Weekly | [DATA NEEDED] | Any week with large BTC purchase | | Capital raises (equity / preferred) | — | [DATA NEEDED] | Five preferred stock launches in 2025 | | Company name / rebrand news | — | [DATA NEEDED] | Name change to Strategy Inc (Aug 11, 2025) |

Note: MSTR stock has historically traded at a significant premium to bitcoin NAV (the "Saylor premium"). Events that affect this premium ratio — bitcoin ETF adoption, regulatory news, debt concerns — are the key drivers beyond BTC price itself.


Open questions

  1. NAV premium sustainability: Strategy's stock has historically traded at a 50–200%+ premium to the NAV of its BTC holdings. As spot bitcoin ETFs (IBIT, FBTC) became accessible to retail investors in 2024, the alternative route to bitcoin exposure reduced one of the rationales for the premium. What is the current NAV premium, and has it compressed? The 10-K explicitly flags ETF availability as a risk to the stock's premium. Requires current BTC price and current MSTR market cap vs. 818,334 BTC value.

  2. Preferred stock dividend coverage: Five preferred stock series require cash dividends. The USD Reserve ($2.25B at Feb 13, 2026) was established specifically to fund these dividends and debt interest. If bitcoin prices decline and the company cannot issue new equity at attractive prices, what is the runway of the USD Reserve? What are the total annual preferred dividend obligations across all five series?

  3. Saylor voting control and corporate governance: Michael J. Saylor controls a significant portion of total voting power via Class B shares. The 10-K explicitly states: "Because Michael J. Saylor controls a significant portion of our total voting power, Mr. Saylor has significant influence over matters that require stockholder approval and as a result could impede a third party acquisition or limit our other stockholders' influence." With $61.81B in BTC and growing capital market obligations, what governance structures protect non-control shareholders if Saylor's decisions on capital deployment prove wrong?

  4. Software business trajectory: Software revenues of $477.2M in FY2025 represent a pre-bitcoin-strategy legacy business. The 10-K describes it as "AI-powered enterprise analytics" but does not provide segment growth rates in available summaries. Is the software business growing, declining, or flat? If it is in secular decline, it provides no support floor to the valuation independent of bitcoin prices.

  5. ASC 350 accounting and tax: The adoption of ASC 350 in Q1 2025 means unrealized bitcoin gains flow through the income statement. The 10-K risk factors note the company "may have exposure to greater than anticipated tax liabilities." If bitcoin price appreciation generates large unrealized gains (positive net income by GAAP), does the company face a current tax obligation on those gains even though BTC has not been sold? Verify tax treatment in 10-K footnotes.

  6. Convertible note maturities and refinancing: $8,159M of long-term debt as of December 31, 2025. Multiple tranches of convertible notes have different maturities. If bitcoin prices are depressed at maturity, the company may need to sell BTC or issue equity at unfavorable terms to repay. What is the maturity schedule of the existing debt?

  7. "Fast-pay stock" IRS risk: The 10-K risk factors warn that "the tax rules applicable to 'fast-pay stock' could result in adverse consequences to preferred stock holders." This is a specific IRS concept where preferred instruments with special redemption features may be recharacterized for tax purposes. The five preferred series issued in 2025 are novel instruments — the regulatory and tax treatment is not fully established.


Red flags / things to verify


Sources


Disclaimer: This briefing is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. All figures sourced from public SEC filings. Stock price at release marked [DATA NEEDED] where not available from chart data.

Get future briefings in your inbox

Subscribe on Substack →
← Back to MSTRAll briefings →