The object that hit Jupiter was not identified before Wesley discovered the impact. A 2003 paper estimated comets with a diameter larger than 1.5 kilometers impact Jupiter about every 90 to 500 years, while a 1997 survey suggested that the astronomer
Cassini may have recorded an impact in 1690. Given the size of the SL9 impactors, it is likely that this object was less than one kilometer in diameter. Finding water at the site would indicate that the impactor was a comet, as opposed to an asteroid or a very small, icy moon. At first it was believed that the object was more likely to be a comet since comets generally have more planet-crossing orbits. At the distance of Jupiter (5.2 AU) most small comets are not close enough to the Sun to be very
active, and so would be hard to detect.
Visibility Assuming it was an inactive comet (or asteroid) about 1 km in diameter, this object would have been no brighter than about
apparent magnitude 25. Most asteroid surveys that use a wide field of view do not see fainter than about magnitude 22 (which is 16x brighter than magnitude 25). It is only since 1999 with the discovery of
Callirrhoe that astronomers have been able to discover many of
Jupiter's smallest moons. ==See also==