Leading up to the 2022 election, a new political dynamic based on class politics was emerging in Kenya, framed as "hustlers" versus "dynasties". The families of incumbent President
Uhuru Kenyatta and opposition leader
Raila Odinga had dominated Kenyan politics since independence in 1963. Moreover, Kenya has traditionally been ruled by presidents who belong to either the
Kikuyu people – like Kenyatta – or the
Kalenjin people, like
William Ruto. The potential victory of Odinga, a
Luo, would mark a departure for the country, which has 44 ethnic groups. Police crackdowns on protesters and clashes that turned into ethnic attacks killed more than 1,000 people in
post-election violence, eventually prompting a new constitution to devolve power. Ruto aligned himself with Kenyatta in 2013. Both Kenyatta and Ruto had been indicted by the
International Criminal Court (ICC) on crimes against humanity charges for their alleged role in orchestrating the post-election violence in the 2007 election. The cases later collapsed, with former ICC chief prosecutor
Fatou Bensouda saying a relentless campaign of victim and witness intimidation made the trial impossible. In March 2018, President Kenyatta and his former rival for the presidency, Odinga, stunned the public when they
shook hands and declared a truce after post-election violence in 2017 left dozens of people dead. The two leaders also sought to expand the executive through the
Building Bridges Initiative (BBI) constitutional changes, which would have potentially allowed Kenyatta to stay in power as a prime minister. But despite the
Supreme Court of Kenya ruling against the proposed amendments in August, the unexpected alliance has persevered, with Odinga attending official government functions with Kenyatta. Cracks within the
Jubilee government began to appear, leading to an eventual fallout between Kenyatta and his deputy, Ruto.
Presidential nomination In December 2021, the Mount Kenya Foundation, one of the country's most powerful and wealthy Kikuyu lobbies, announced their support for Odinga, while Kenyatta has repeatedly said that the next president will be "neither Kikuyu nor Kalenjin". On 10 December 2021, Odinga declared his intention to run for the presidency for the fifth time. In January 2022, Ruto's
United Democratic Alliance (UDA) announced a coalition pact with the
Amani National Congress,
FORD–Kenya and several other political parties. The new coalition was called
Kenya Kwanza. In February 2022, Kenyatta's
Jubilee party announced that it would join the
Azimio la Umoja coalition headed by Odinga, the leader of the
Orange Democratic Movement (ODM). On 12 March 2022, at least 26 political parties, including major political parties Jubilee,
Wiper,
ODM and
KANU, signed a co-operation pact endorsing Raila Odinga's presidential candidature. That same day, Kenyatta publicly endorsed Odinga for the presidency. On 15 March 2022, the UDA and Kenya Kwanza endorsed Ruto as their presidential candidate.
Deputy presidential nomination Several individuals showed interest in the position of deputy president. Azimio la Umoja held interviews for 10 prospective running mates, namely:
Kalonzo Musyoka,
Martha Karua,
Peter Munya,
Sabina Chege,
Peter Kenneth, Stephen Kipkiyeny Tarus,
Ali Hassan Joho,
Wycliffe Oparanya,
Lee Kinyanjui and
Charity Ngilu. Musyoka, Odinga's two-time running mate, threatened to skip the interviews, In the Kenya Kwanza camp, several names were rumoured to be possible running mates, namely:
Rigathi Gachagua,
Kindiki Kithure,
Anne Waiguru,
Ndindi Nyoro,
Justin Muturi and
Musalia Mudavadi. In April 2022,
Roots Party candidate
George Wajackoyah named Justina Wamae, a former candidate for Parliament from
Mavoko Constituency, as his running mate. On 15 May 2022, Kenya Kwanza endorsed
Rigathi Gachagua as Ruto's running mate.
Azimio la Umoja selected
Martha Karua as Odinga's running mate on 16 May 2022. The
Agano Party's Waihiga Mwaure selected Ruth Mucheru Mutua as his running mate.
Manifestos Azimio la Umoja was the first political outfit to launch their manifesto on 6 June 2022. The ten point manifesto voiced key issues such as a
corruption-free government. The manifesto came in the form of a declaration and promised to strengthen devolution; economically empower women; waste no single child; spur the economic pillar; facilitate climate-smart agriculture; revamp the manufacturing sector; enact responsible leadership; preserve sovereignty of the people; increase access to clean water; create "Baba Care", which would focus on social protection and transformation; and upscale health coverage to
universal health care. Ruto's UDA and Wajackoyah's Roots Party launched their manifestos on 30 June 2022. Ruto, who intended to apply a "bottom-up economic model", presented a manifesto promising to revive the economy, provide healthcare for all, promote micro, small and medium enterprises (MSME), and implement a two-thirds gender rule and affordable housing, among other policies. Wajackoyah intended to legalise
marijuana for commercial purposes, introduce snake farming, export dog meat, shut and bring down the
standard-gauge railway, hang the corrupt, suspend the
constitution, introduce four-day work week, move capital city to
Isiolo, create eight states, and repatriate idle foreigners. On 4 July 2022,
Agano Party presidential candidate
David Mwaure Waihiga launched his 12-point manifesto. He argued that it was time for the country to move forward and start on a new slate in terms of leadership. He planned to pledge alliance to the constitution; to family, women, youth, persons living with disability, county governments, workers, business owners, the economy, religious institutions and the environment; as well as to the international community. He also promised to recover public monies stashed in offshore accounts as well as dissolve the
Nairobi City County government.
Electoral candidates debates On 2 March 2022, the
Media Council of Kenya, in conjunction with the Media Owners Association and Kenya Editors' Guild, announced plans to conduct presidential debates in July 2022. Clifford Machoka was appointed to organise the presidential and deputy presidential debates. The debates were scheduled to run on 11, 19, and 26 July 2022 at
Catholic University of Eastern Africa; and they were to be broadcast live across most television and radio stations, and their online platforms. A
Nairobi City County gubernatorial debate was also scheduled amongst the presidential and deputy presidential debates due to it being Kenya's capital. Each of the debates ran in two sessions; the first session involved candidates who stood below 5% in the last three opinion polls, while the second session was between candidates reaching above 5% in the same polls. On 11 July 2022, the first tier of the Nairobi gubernatorial debate took place and four of the seven candidates expected took the stage, namely: Nancy Mwadime of the Usawa kwa Wote Party, Herman Grewal of
Safina, Kenneth Nyamwamu of the United Progressive Alliance and independent candidate Esther Thairu. The second tier of the debate, which aired on primetime, put former Nairobi deputy governor
Polycarp Igathe against incumbent senator
Johnson Sakaja, though the latter arrived 20 minutes late into the debate. The deputy presidential debate that involved four candidates also aired in two sessions: Wamae faced off against Mucheru. Karua and Gachagua duelled in the second tier. An estimated 34 million Kenyans tuned in for the deputy presidential debate; an estimated 18.7 million of those who followed the debate were registered voters. 70% watched the second tier while 5% viewed the first. The hallmark of the three debates, the presidential debate, was the final one, and it was to have Mwaure go against Wajackoyah first, while Odinga and Ruto face off in the second tier. However, Odinga and Wajackoyah dropped out of the presidential debate. Odinga argued that he could not debate with Ruto, whom he accused of having questionable integrity. Wajackoyah's demand to debate with the two main presidential candidates was not met; though he made his way to the debating venue before storming off. Mwaure and Ruto were featured alone in their respective sessions. In addition to joint presidential debates, individual television stations aired gubernatorial debates from other counties, and a constituency debate.
Campaign season The campaign season officially kicked off on 29 May 2022 as clearance of electoral candidates continued. Although the presidential election was considered a two-horse race between Odinga and Ruto, Wajackoyah gained significant popularity within the electorate due to his radical measures to quell the ballooning public debt. Ruto's Kenya Kwanza proclaimed themselves 'hustlers', calling Odinga a dynasty and a 'project' of the outgoing government. Odinga's Azimio la Umoja branded Kenya Kwanza as an alliance of the corrupt since most of the leaders in the coalition are suspected, accused, or convicted of corruption and other integrity issues. Odinga billed himself and his running mate Karua as liberators who fought for the multiparty system, campaigned for the new regime in
2002 and were proponents of the
2010 constitutional dispensation. On 28 July 2022, Ruto's running mate Gachagua was ordered by the anti-corruption court to forfeit Ksh 202 million to the state after it was determined the funds were proceeds of corruption. On 6 August 2022, all candidates across all elective seats held their final campaigns in different parts of the country. Odinga held his last rally at
Moi International Sports Centre; Ruto at
Nyayo in
Nairobi and Kirigiti Stadia in
Kiambu County; Wajackoyah and Mwaure in different parts of
Nairobi. ==Conduct==