's Day 1 convective outlook for May 16, 2024, issued at 2000
Z, indicating an enhanced risk for severe weather from southeast Texas into southwest Louisiana. On May 14, the
Storm Prediction Center (SPC) outlined a
level 2/Slight risk for severe weather across portions of central and northern Texas. This risk area was zonally extended westward to the Texas–New Mexico border and eastward into southern Mississippi the following day. By the morning of May 16, a level 3/Enhanced risk was delineated across central Texas, extending southward and eastward toward the Texas and Louisiana gulf coasts during the afternoon hours. Convective activity was already ongoing by the time of these outlooks, focused along and north of an
outflow boundary from
Midland into northeastern Texas. The environment south of these storms was characterized by rich low-level moisture and
rapidly cooling temperatures with height, contributing to mixed-layer
convective available potential energy values at or above 3,000 J/kg, indicative of a very unstable environment. By mid-afternoon, an expansive
mesoscale convective system evolved across much of central and eastern Texas, exhibiting numerous
updrafts and an increasing potential for extensive damaging winds. As this complex surged southeastward and rotations were spotted on
Weather Radar leading to an increase in tornado warnings as it evolved into a
derecho—a particularly long-lived and widespread damaging wind event—as it moved into the
Greater Houston metropolitan area. While the highest wind gust recorded by an anemometer reached , post-storm damage surveys conducted by the local
National Weather Service office estimated that winds reaching moved through portions of the downtown area. Three
EF1 tornadoes accompanied this activity. The derecho maintained vigor as it continued eastward into Louisiana during the evening hours, fueled by continued transport of warm air from the south. Isolated hurricane-force wind gusts were recorded, including an gust at the
New Orleans Lakefront Airport. Another EF1 tornado was confirmed in
Romeville. By the pre-dawn hours of May 17, this convective line progressed offshore into the
Gulf of Mexico, with instability confined to the immediate coastline. As such, the threat of inland severe weather decreased, leaving behind widespread damaging wind reports across portions of the Gulf Coast states. ==Impact and damage==