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2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire

The 2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New Hampshire voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Hampshire has four electoral votes in the Electoral College.

Primary elections
New Hampshire has held the famous "first-in-the-nation" primary since 1920. Delegates are elected separately from a non-binding poll, which dates from 1952. Candidates qualify by presenting a check for $1000 to the Secretary of State's office by a certain date. Primary elections for both the Democratic and Republican parties were held on January 23, 2024. Democratic primary On February 4, 2023, the Democratic National Committee (DNC) approved a new 2024 primary calendar, in which the South Carolina Democratic primary would be held first on February 3, followed by Nevada and New Hampshire on February 6. New Hampshire Republican governor Chris Sununu, Democratic senators Maggie Hassan and Jeanne Shaheen, and the state legislature vowed to continue holding the "first-in-the-nation" primary (as New Hampshire state law establishes) and ultimately did set an earlier date of January 23. Showing solidarity with the DNC, Biden declined to appear on the state's primary ballot. Pro-Biden New Hampshire Democrats nevertheless launched a formal write-in campaign for him, but none of the state's delegates to the Democratic National Convention will still be binding. Republican primary The New Hampshire Republican primary was held on January 23, 2024, as the second contest of the Republican primaries, held about a week after the Iowa caucuses. 22 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated to candidates who received at least 10% of the statewide vote. The primary was won by Donald Trump, who defeated Nikki Haley by eleven points. ==General election==
General election
Predictions Polling Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump Aggregate polls Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump Bernie Sanders vs. Donald Trump Elizabeth Warren vs. Donald Trump Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis Joe Biden vs. Vivek Ramaswamy Joe Biden vs. Tim Scott Joe Biden vs. Chris Christie Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence Joe Biden vs. Chris Sununu Results By county Counties that flipped from Democratic to RepublicanCarroll (largest city: Conway) • Rockingham (largest city: Derry) • Sullivan (largest city: Claremont) By congressional district Harris won both congressional districts. ==Analysis==
Analysis
A rural New England state with a libertarian streak dominated by moderate voters, New Hampshire had backed Republicans in most presidential elections since the party's formation in 1854 up until 1988, except for Woodrow Wilson in 1912 and 1916; Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1936, 1940 and 1944; and Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964. Since the early 1990s, however, the state has begun to lean toward the Democrats at the federal level, with Democrats carrying the state by single digits in every presidential election since 1992 with the exception of George W. Bush's narrow victory in 2000. A study by the Center for Election Innovation & Research in July 2024 found that New Hampshire is one of only three remaining states (along with Mississippi and Alabama) to offer no early in-person voting option for the 2024 general election. The state also requires an eligible reason to vote by mail. By tradition, since 1960, all eligible voters of Dixville Notch, New Hampshire cast their votes at midnight on Election Day. Harris suffered a setback, earning 2.35% of the vote less than Biden did in 2020. She ceded ground in every county across the state, while Trump flipped three counties: Carroll, Rockingham and Sullivan. He nonetheless became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Hillsborough County since Richard Nixon in 1968. This is the first time since 2016 in which the state winner did not win a majority of the counties, Harris and Trump both won 5. Notably, on the same ballot, Republicans won the open governor race and expanded their majorities in both state legislative chambers. The towns of Acworth, Berlin, Claremont, Francestown, Freedom, Greenfield, Hart's Location, Jaffrey, Langdon, Littleton, Lyndeborough, Martin's Location, Nottingham, Pembroke, Shelburne, Springfield, Stratford, Sullivan, Swanzey, Tamworth, and Temple all flipped to Trump after either backing Joe Biden, yielding a tie, or recording no votes in 2020. Success and Wolfeboro both flipped to Harris after either backing Trump, yielding a tie, or recording no votes in 2020. ==See also==
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