The Agulhas Current represents a
western boundary current which is primarily driven by a positive
wind stress curl. The presence of the African continent allows for the southward flow of the current. Beyond
Cape Agulhas, further southward propagation is no longer maintained by the western boundary. With large
inertia, the current reaches the latitude of maximum
westerlies (40°S) associated with neutral wind stress and loops back into the Indian Ocean (Agulhas retroflection). Without sufficient inertia, it turns westwards and leaks into the Atlantic Ocean.
Variability of the leakage The strength of the southward inertia and the position of the
Subtropical Front (STF) are the key factors in the generation of the Agulhas leakage. Both of them are primarily controlled by the strength and the pattern of the wind field over the Indian Ocean. • If the STF moves southward, the gap between South Africa and the westerlies becomes wider. The current thus needs more inertia to retroflect and more leakage occurs. • If the wind field is weaker, the strength of the Agulhas Current is reduced. This leads to smaller inertial overshoot resulting in stronger leakage. Generation of the Agulhas rings is also an important driver of the leakage. This depends on
instabilities, topography, and mesoscale non-linear dynamics.
Paleoclimate The strength and location of the Agulhas Current, as well as the leakage can be reconstructed based on
paleoceanographic data such as the provenance of sediments (presence of planktic foraminiferal species
Globorotalia menardii,
isotope ratio (
87Sr/86Sr) in deep ocean cores, abundance of Agulhas fauna Those periods are characterized by a southward shift of the Subtropical Front associated with stronger leakage. Paleoclimate data suggest that the strength of the leakage is positively correlated with the sea surface temperature, Modelling studies suggest that, in some scenarios, an increase in the influx of saline warm water from Agulhas leakage—resulting from a southward shift of the Subtropical Front (STF)—could offset the effects of freshwater-induced weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). Moreover, there has been an increase in
eddy kinetic energy in the Southeast Atlantic associated with more eddies and rings being formed leading to stronger leakage. == AMOC implications ==