Deteriorating situation for the Germans The military situation for the
Central Powers had been deteriorating rapidly since the
Battle of Amiens at the beginning of August 1918, which precipitated a German withdrawal to the
Hindenburg Line and loss of the gains of the
German spring offensive. The Allied advance, later known as the
Hundred Days Offensive, entered a new stage on 28 September, when a massive United States and French attack opened the
Meuse–Argonne offensive, while to the north, the British were poised to assault at the
St Quentin Canal, threatening a giant
pincer movement. Meanwhile, the Ottoman Empire was close to exhaustion, the Austro-Hungarian Empire was in chaos, and on the
Macedonian front, resistance by the Bulgarian Army had collapsed, leading to the
Armistice of Salonica on 29 September. With the collapse of Bulgaria, and Italian victory in the
Battle of Vittorio Veneto, the road was open to an invasion of Germany from the south via Austria. Although morale on the German front line was reasonable, battlefield casualties, starvation rations and
Spanish flu had caused a desperate shortage of manpower, and those recruits that were available were war-weary and disaffected.
October 1918 telegrams and inter-Allied negotiations On 29 September 1918, the
German Supreme Army Command at Imperial Army Headquarters at
Spa in
occupied Belgium, informed
Emperor Wilhelm II and the
Imperial Chancellor, Count
Georg von Hertling, that the military situation facing Germany was hopeless.
Quartermaster General Erich Ludendorff claimed that he could not guarantee that the front would hold for another two hours. Stating that the collapse of Bulgaria meant that troops destined for the Western Front would have to be diverted there, and this had "fundamentally changed the situation in view of the attacks being launched on the Western Front", Ludendorff demanded a request be given to the
Entente for an immediate ceasefire. In addition, he recommended the acceptance of the main demands of US president
Woodrow Wilson (the
Fourteen Points) including putting the
Imperial Government on a democratic footing, hoping for more favourable peace terms. This enabled him to save the face of the
Imperial German Army and put the responsibility for the capitulation and its consequences squarely into the hands of the democratic parties and the
parliament. He expressed his view to officers of his staff on 1 October: "They now must lie on the bed that they've made for us." On 3 October 1918, the liberal
Prince Maximilian of Baden was appointed
Chancellor of Germany, replacing Georg von Hertling in order to negotiate an armistice. After long conversations with the Kaiser and evaluations of the political and military situations in the Reich, by 5 October 1918 the German government sent a message to Wilson to negotiate terms on the basis of a recent speech of his and the earlier declared "Fourteen Points". In the subsequent two exchanges, Wilson's allusions "failed to convey the idea that the Kaiser's
abdication was an essential condition for peace. The leading statesmen of the Reich were not yet ready to contemplate such a monstrous possibility." As a precondition for negotiations, Wilson demanded the retreat of Germany from all occupied territories, the cessation of
submarine activities and the Kaiser's abdication, writing on 23 October: "If the Government of the United States must deal with the military masters and the monarchical
autocrats of Germany now, or if it is likely to have to deal with them later in regard to the international obligations of the German Empire, it must demand not peace negotiations but surrender." In late October 1918, Ludendorff, discovering that the Allies' proposed armistice terms were much harsher than he had anticipated, now demanded the resumption of the war which he himself had declared lost only one month earlier. Germany's position however had further weakened since that time.
Desertions were on the increase and Germany's allies were all on the verge of capitulation. The Kaiser dismissed Ludendorff and replaced him with Lieutenant General
Wilhelm Groener, who recommended that the government continue in its intentions to seek an armistice. On 3 November 1918, Berlin was notified that both Turkey and Austria-Hungary had concluded armistices with the Allies. General
von Gallwitz had described this eventuality as being "decisive" to the Chancellor in discussions some weeks before, as it would mean that Austrian territory would become a spring-board for an Allied attack on Germany from the south. Revolution broke out across Germany the following day, together with a mutiny in the German High Seas Fleet. On 5 November, the Allies agreed to take up negotiations for a truce. The latest note from Wilson was received in
Berlin on 6 November 1918. That same day, the delegation led by
Matthias Erzberger departed for France. Aware that the refusal of the Kaiser to abdicate was a sticking-point in negotiations with the Allies as well as an impetus to revolution within Germany, Prince Max on his own authority announced that the Kaiser had abdicated and handed over power to
Friedrich Ebert of the
Social Democratic Party on 9 November. The same day,
Philipp Scheidemann, also a Social Democrat,
declared Germany a republic. Whilst the Germans sought negotiations along the lines of Wilson's 14 points, the French, British and
Italian governments had no desire to accept them and President Wilson's subsequent unilateral promises. For example, they assumed that the de-militarization suggested by Wilson would be limited to the Central Powers. There were also contradictions with their post-War plans that did not include a consistent implementation of the ideal of national
self-determination. As historian Ferdinand Czernin points out: To address this impasse Wilson suggested that the military chiefs be consulted.
Douglas Haig, representing the British forces, urged moderation, stating that "Germany is not broken in the military sense", that "it is necessary to grant Germany conditions that they can accept", and that surrender of occupied territories and Alsace-Lorraine would be "sufficient to seal the victory". The British also took the position that the German army should be kept mobilised as a counter to the spread of communist agitation.
Ferdinand Foch, speaking for the French forces, agreed with Haig that the Germans "could undoubtedly take up a new position, and we could not prevent it", but, contrary to Haig, urged stringent terms including an occupation of the Rhineland with Allied bridgeheads over the Rhine, and the surrender of large quantities of military materiel.
General Pershing, commander of the American forces, opposed any armistice being granted to the Germans. The combined effect of this feedback was to nullify Wilson's 14 points.
German Revolution at the
Reichstag building on 9 November The
sailors' revolt that took place during the night of 29 to 30 October 1918 in the port of
Wilhelmshaven spread across Germany within days and led to the
proclamation of a republic on 9 November and to the announcement of the
abdication of Wilhelm II.
Workers' and soldiers' councils took control in most major cities west of the
Elbe, including Berlin, where the new Reich government, the socialist-dominated
Council of the People's Deputies, had their full support. One of the primary goals of the councils was an immediate end to the war. Also on 9 November,
Max von Baden handed the office of chancellor to
Friedrich Ebert, a
Social Democrat who the same day became co-chair of the Council of the People's Deputies. Two days later, on behalf of the new government, Matthias Erzberger of the Catholic
Centre Party signed the armistice at Compiègne. The German High Command pushed the blame for the surrender away from the Army and onto others, including the socialists who were supporting and running the government in Berlin. In the eyes of the German Right, the blame was carried over to the
Weimar Republic when it was established in 1919. This resulted in a considerable amount of instability in the new republic. ==Negotiation process==