At midday on 16 August 2004, heavy thundery showers had developed across the South West "as a result of a weak disturbance" to the northeast of the United Kingdom. A "great black wedge of cloud," a "seven-mile deep flank of cumulonimbus", appeared in a clear blue sky and took up position on the high ground over the Valency valley above Boscastle. According to David Crichton, Visiting Professor at the Benfield Hazard Research Centre at University College, London, "Westerly winds carrying the remnants of Hurricane Alex, which had picked up vast amounts of water from the Atlantic, hit the peninsula of Cornwall from the sea to the north and south and converged over the hills, pushing clouds up to 40,000 feet high and producing a prolonged stationary thunderstorm." Warm air which was picking up moisture as a result of residual heat from the
Atlantic Ocean had moved towards the Cornish coast as prevailing winds. When the winds met the topographically vertical coast they experienced a strong updraft, which caused internal moisture to rise and then cool into a string of storm clouds.
Convergence and coalescence of the enhanced moisture levels produced heavy rainfall. By 1:15pm the rain was torrential. 185mm (7 inches) of rain fell on high ground inland from Boscastle and at the peak of the downpour, at about 15:40
GMT, 24.1mm of rain (almost one inch) was recorded as falling in 15 minutes at
Lesnewth, up the valley. In Boscastle, of rain was recorded in 60 minutes. The rain was very localised:
Otterham and Lesnewth, both a few miles inland from Boscastle, recorded 24-hour totals of 200mm and 185mm respectively on the day, whereas four of the nearest 10
rain gauges showed less than 3mm of rain in the same period. The torrential rainfall caused a rise in river levels in one hour. By 3:30pm the river was level with its banks; by 3:45pm it was a raging torrent and had burst its banks. By 4pm cars were being carried down in the flood from the visitors' car park. The force of thousands of tons of water carrying rocks and debris started to demolish buildings. A wave, believed to have been triggered by water pooling behind
debris caught under a bridge and then being suddenly released as the bridge collapsed, surged down the main road into the village. The first lifeboat on the scene, from Port Isaac, encountered a wall of water pushing about 50 cars ahead of it down to the sea. Residents and visitors were trapped in buildings which were being battered by the torrent, in cars and in trees. The Valency river was now a 50-yard-wide, 15 feet deep torrent. Water speed was over , more than enough to cause severe structural damage. It is estimated that of water flowed through Boscastle. The steep-sided valley and saturated surface ensured a high amount of surface run-off. Changes in farming practice in the area may also possibly have contributed, and a reduction in trees and hedges higher up the valley would have allowed water to flow through more quickly. The peak flow was about 140 m3/s, between 5:00pm and 6:00pm BST. The chance of this or a greater flood happening in any one year is about 1 in 400. The probability each year of the heaviest three-hour rainfall is about 1 in 1300, although rainfall probability is not the same as flood probability. ==Impact of the flood==