Opinion polling for the 2026 Israeli legislative election

This section displays voting intention estimates referring to the next Knesset election. The figures listed are Knesset seat counts rather than percentages, unless otherwise stated. This graph shows the polling trends from the 2022 Israeli legislative election until the next election day using local regressions (LOESS). Scenario polls are not included here. For parties not crossing the electoral threshold (3.25%) in any given poll, the number of seats is calculated as a percentage of the 120 total seats. Pollsters and publishers Since June 2025, polls from Channel 14 have been managed by Shlomo Filber, Graphical summary Legend and parties Poll results are listed in the table below. Parties that fall below the electoral threshold of 3.25% are denoted by the percentage of votes that they received (N%) rather than the number of seats they would have received. The 37th government parties (highlighted in blue) are: Likud, Religious Zionist Party, Otzma Yehudit, Shas, and United Torah Judaism. The sum of their projected seats is shown in the column headed "Gov.". 61 seats are required for a majority in the Knesset. If a bloc has a majority, the sum is displayed in bold with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. 2026 2025 2024 2022–2023 == Voting intention polls (reported as percentages)==

The following polls conducted by the Viterbi Center for the Israeli Democracy Institute reported raw percentages of responses without calculating seat projections: 2024 == Scenario polls ==

Most often, opinion polling about hypothetical scenarios is done in the same survey as the regular polling. This is why these scenario polls are paired for comparison purposes. New party scenarios ;Naftali Bennett forms a new party ;Naftali Bennett forms a new party and Yoav Gallant forms a new party ;Yoav Gallant forms a new party ;Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form two separate new parties ;Yossi Cohen forms a new party ;Yoaz Hendel forms a new party ;Yariv Levin forms a new party ;New anti-judicial overhaul right-wing party ;New party headed by the anti-judicial reform protest leaders ;New party headed by the anti-judicial reform protest leaders with a new right wing liberal party Alternative leadership scenarios ;Gadi Eisenkot leads National Unity ;Nir Barkat leads the Likud ;Yossi Cohen leads the Likud ;Yoav Gallant leads the Likud United right wing party outside the government ;Naftali Bennett forms a new party and forms an alliance with Yisrael Beiteinu and New Hope ;Naftali Bennett forms a new party and forms an alliance with Yisrael Beiteinu ;Yoaz Hendel and Naftali Bennett form a new party ;United right wing party with Avigdor Lieberman, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, Ayelet Shaked and Gideon Sa'ar ;United right wing party with Avigdor Lieberman, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, Ayelet Shaked and Gideon Sa'ar and a separate "Reservists' Party" led by Yoaz Hendel ;Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen join Yisrael Beiteinu ;Merger of Gideon Sa'ar, Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen New right-wing opposition party and Labor-Meretz scenarios (prior to merger) ;Labor and Meretz run together under Yair Golan; Gideon Sa'ar, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, Avigdor Lieberman form a new party ;Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form two separate new parties, and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz joint list ;Merger of Gideon Sa'ar, Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen & Labor and Meretz under Yair Golan ;New Hope splits from National Unity, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen and Yoaz Hendel form three separate new parties, and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz joint list ;Yoav Gallant forms a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union ;Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union ;Naftali Bennett forms a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union Miscellaneous mergers ;Gadi Eisenkot joins Yisrael Beiteinu Moshe Kahlon joins Blue and White ;Merger of Naftali Bennett, Yair Lapid and Gadi Eisenkot ;Joint List reunification ;Merger of Benny Gantz and Yoaz Hendel ;Merger of Benny Gantz and Yoaz Hendel, Religious Zionism and Otzma Yehudit reunification, merger of Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett and Joint List reunification ;Merger of Benny Gantz and Yoaz Hendel, Religious Zionism and Otzma Yehudit reunification, merger of Gadi Eisenkot and Yair Lapid and Joint List reunification ;Gadi Eisenkot joins Yesh Atid ;Merger of Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett Other scenarios and scenario combinations ;Ofer Winter leads Religious Zionism, Naftali Bennett and Yoaz Hendel form two separate new parties ;Naftali Bennett forms new party and Gadi Eisenkot becomes head of National Unity ;Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Yossi Cohen becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union ;Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Nir Barkat becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union ;Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Yoav Gallant becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union ;United right wing party with Avigdor Lieberman, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, and Gideon Sa'ar, and National Unity and Yesh Atid form an alliance ;Ofer Winter, Deddi Simchi and Amir Avivi form a new party, merger of Yashar and Yesh Atid == Arab voters ==

Some surveys only polled the Arab population and estimated the strength of each Arab party. If predominantly Jewish parties were polled, their number will be italic. Voting intention polls (reported as percentages) == Preferred prime minister ==

File:Benjamin Netanyahu, February 2023.jpg|Benjamin Netanyahu· · File:Naftali Bennett official portrait.jpg|Naftali Bennett· . == Other questions ==

Whether voters intend to vote for the same party that they did in 2022 The Israel Democracy Institute commissioned the Viterbi Center to gauge voting intentions of Israeli voters based on their voting history. In January 2023, they asked if voters would vote for the same party as they did in 2022. In that poll, 50% were certain they would, 22% think yes, 7% think no, and 4% were certain that they would not. An additional 3% of those polled did not vote in 2022 but planned to in the next election, 6% did not and do not plan to vote, and 10% were undecided. In October 2023, the question was asked again but centered around voting block. In that poll, 39.7% would vote for the same party as was voted for in 2022, 14.8% would vote for the same political bloc, 6.3% would vote for a party in a different bloc, and a combined 39.2% of those surveyed either wouldn't vote or were undecided. The Israel Democracy Institute also ran a series of surveys in 2024 asking people their re-voting intention, based on which party they voted for. Inclusion of ultra-Orthodox parties in the next government Inclusion of Arab parties in the next government These questions were posed to the Arab population of Israel. Timing of the next election ==Notes==