2018 Developments In January 2018, the State Department convened an accountability review board, led by retired
United States Ambassador to Libya Peter Bodde, to review the department's handling of AHIs. In March 2018, a team of
computer scientists at the
University of Michigan reported in a study that
ultrasound—specifically,
intermodulation distortion from multiple inaudible ultrasonic signals—from malfunctioning or improperly placed Cuban surveillance equipment could have been the origin of the reported sounds.
FBI investigations In 2018, the
FBI produced two reports on AHIs. The first, internally released in January, was a non-public report by the FBI's
Operational Technology Division which found no evidence of a sonic attack or involvement of foreign adversaries. While some of those affected recovered swiftly, others had symptoms for months. The study concluded that "the diplomats appear to have sustained injury to
widespread brain networks." A 2018 study by Beatrice Alexandra Golomb determined that the symptoms and circumstances of AHIs were consistent with
pulsed RF/MW radiation.
Criticism of University of Pennsylvania study The same issue of
JAMA that contained the UPenn study also contained an editorial criticizing it. The editorial criticized the lack of a
control group, lack of baseline evaluations, and lack of
experimental blinding. The editorial expressed concern that many of the measurements were based on patient self-reports or involved subjective interpretations. The editorial said that the UPenn study's conclusion (that the subjects suffered brain injuries) was flawed, because there were other (non-injury) explanations that were consistent with the symptoms, such as functional disorders,
persistent postural-perceptual dizziness, or psychogenic causes. The UPenn study was also criticized in late 2018 by the neuroscience journal
Cortex. The journal's editorial board, led by
Sergio Della Sala, published a letter stating that the study had "gross methodological flaws" and asking the authors of the study to clarify their methods or retract the study. In the board's view, "Allowing such confused and conflicting explanations of methodology and analysis to pass unchallenged is a slippery path for science, and dangerous for society at large". In late 2018, some scientists, including physicist
Peter Zimmerman, bioengineers Kenneth R. Foster, and Andrei G. Pakhomov, and UCLA neurologist Robert Baloh, said that the microwave hypothesis was implausible; Baloh described the conclusions of the UPenn study as "science fiction". In 2024, scientists with the NIH published a study of 86 AHI patients in which they were unable to replicate the UPenn results. Parts of JASON's report were declassified in September 2021. The report concluded that the sounds in the audio recordings were "most likely" caused by insects and that it was "highly unlikely" that microwaves or ultrasound beams were involved, because "No plausible single source of energy (neither radio/microwaves nor sonic) can produce
both the recorded audio/video signals
and the reported medical effects." The conclusion was that the sounds were the calling song of the
Indies short-tailed cricket (
Anurogryllus celerinictus) rather than those of a technological device. Stubbs and Montealegre-Z matched the song's "pulse repetition rate, power spectrum, pulse rate stability, and oscillations per pulse" to the recording. Stubbs and Montealegre wrote, "the causes of the health problems reported by embassy personnel are beyond the scope of this paper" and called for "more rigorous research into the source of these ailments, including the potential psychogenic effects, as well as possible physiological explanations unrelated to sonic attacks."
Psychogenic cause proposed In a 2019 paper,
Robert Bartholomew and Robert Baloh proposed that the AHIs represent a mass psychogenic illness rather than a "novel clinical entity". In December 2020,
BuzzFeed news noticed that the NASEM report mentioned the CDC report, and so they made a
FOIA request, and obtained the CDC report. In January 2021, Buzzfeed published the CDC report. Buzzfeed quoted neurologist Robert Baloh as saying "Essentially the CDC is saying that they have no idea what happened in Cuba." The committee found that many of the AHI symptoms were consistent with exposure to directed RF energy. The committee outlined additional research that needs to be conducted before concrete conclusions can be reached.
Media In October 2020, the
New York Times reported that U.S. diplomats and intelligence officers, including senior leaders, had clashed with
Trump administration appointees, including
CIA director Gina Haspel and State Department leaders, over the nature and causes of the suspected attacks. A
New York Times investigation found that the State Department had "produced inconsistent assessments of patients and events, ignored outside medical diagnoses and withheld basic information from Congress". and that that suspicion was shared by both Trump and Biden administration officials. In 2020 the
New York Times reported that a 2014 NSA report stated that a hostile nation possessed a microwave weapon capable of being aimed at a person's living quarters, causing nervous system damage; and that Russia has an interest in disrupting cooperation among the U.S., China, and Cuba.
2021 U.S. State Department In February, the U.S. State Department said that its ongoing investigation was "a high priority" for the department. and retired Ambassador
Margaret Uyehara.
Cuban Academy of Sciences In September 2021, the Cuban Academy of Sciences released a report prepared by 21 scientists and academics. The report determined that prior analyses by United States scientists were biased and relied on evidence that was
cherry-picked to support the narrative of attacks by a foreign adversary. The Cuban scientists stated that alternative explanations, including psychogenic causes, were suppressed in the US investigations. The Cuban report concluded that there is no weapon that can inflict the kinds of ailments reported, and that the most likely explanation of the syndrome was mass psychogenic illness, perhaps combined with prior existing medical conditions.
Media In May 2021,
The New Yorker reported that some unnamed officials in the government believe that
GRU agents have been aiming microwave-radiation devices at U.S. officials, to obtain information from phones and computers, and that the radiation may be harmful. The article also quoted a government official who interviewed several overseas workers that reported episodes of pain or dizziness when near GRU locations. An article in
The Guardian interviewed experts regarding the feasibility of AHIs being caused by microwave weapons, and some of the experts stated that it was plausible, but others stated it was not plausible. In September 2021, it was reported that within the U.S. government, analysts had debated whether the alleged attacks reflected a deliberate attempt to cause injury, or whether the reported symptoms were "a consequence of a high-tech attempt to steal classified information from phones and computers of U.S. officials".
CIA Report In January 2022, the Central Intelligence Agency issued an interim report that summarized an ongoing study of roughly 1,000 reported cases of AHI. The study concluded that it was unlikely that a foreign power was responsible for the AHIs, and that the study had not yet found evidence of involvement by a state actor. The report said that most of the reviewed cases could be explained by natural causes such as environmental causes, undiagnosed medical conditions, or stress. The study identified about 24 cases for which foreign involvement could not be ruled out, and said that investigation is continuing.
2022 JASON Report On February 10, 2022, the State Department released unclassified portions of a report it had commissioned from the JASON Advisory Group. The study also examined whether or not
electromagnetic radiation could be the cause of AHIs. The study concluded that several forms of radiation could be ruled out, including ionizing radiation, acoustic energy, and RF energy at frequencies less than 500 MHz or greater than 30 GHz. After considering factors such as ability to aim and to penetrate building walls, the remaining frequenciesbetween 500 MHz and 30 GHzwere determined to be a "highly unlikely" cause, although they could not be conclusively ruled out. Five of the seven agencies involved in generating the report concluded "the available intelligence consistently points against the involvement of US adversaries in causing the reported incidents" and that a foreign adversary's involvement was "very unlikely". One of the other agencies concluded that foreign involvement was "unlikely", and the seventh agency declined to make a finding. Of the report, CIA Director William J. Burns said, "The intelligence community assessment released today by ODNI reflects more than two years of rigorous, painstaking collection, investigative work, and analysis by IC agencies including CIA... We applied the agency's very best operational, analytic, and technical tradecraft to what is one of the largest and most intensive investigations in the agency's history."
Politico summarized the results by saying, "The finding undercuts a years-long narrative, propped up by more than a thousand reports from government employees, that a foreign adversary used pulsed electromagnetic energy waves to sicken Americans."
Reactions Following release of the March 2023 report, Trump's national security adviser
John Bolton stated that when the Cuban attack reports began, he "pretty quickly" came to believe that attacks were not in Cuba's interest, and that he thought it was beyond Cuba's capabilities. He assumed Russia was involved, but said that he chose not to brief the president on that, as he did not think Trump would support that theory due to his association with
Vladimir Putin. Upon release of the report, Cuba's Vice Foreign Minister Carlos Fernandez de Cossio told Reuters, "The unfortunate thing is the U.S. government leveraged [Havana syndrome] to derail bilateral relations... and discredit Cuba." Reuters also reported that "Cuba has for years labeled as 'science fiction' the idea that 'Havana Syndrome' resulted from an attack by a foreign agent, and its top scientists in 2021 found no evidence of such allegations." Despite the report's conclusion, U.S. Senator
Marco Rubio, the vice chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, issued a statement on March 2 rejecting the finding, saying, "Something happened here, and just because you don't have all the answers doesn't mean that it didn't happen." Rubio said his panel would continue an independent review of the claims.
International Journal of Social Psychiatry During 2023, the
International Journal of Social Psychiatry published several articles and commentaries supporting the psychogenic hypothesis, criticizing the energy weapon hypothesis, and questioning whether some earlier Havana syndrome studies published in
JAMA were inappropriately influenced by politics.
2024 NIH Clinical Center studies In April, scientists at the National Institutes of Health Clinical Center published the results of two studies conducted over five years on two groups of federal employees (81 and 86 people) who experienced anomalous health incidents (AHIs). The studies did not find any brain injuries or persistent physiologic changes, when comparing AHI patients to a control group. One of the researchers noted that many of the patients are experiencing high levels of stress and anxiety, which can negatively impact their recovery from original AHIs. The authors of the first NIH study concluded that "This ... study ... revealed no significant differences in imaging measures of brain structure or function between individuals reporting AHIs and matched control participants after adjustment for multiple comparisons." Differences between the AHI individuals and the control group were statistically insignificant, after compensating for
errors related to multiple measurements.
Media In March 2024, three news sources published the results of a joint investigation:
The Insider,
60 Minutes, and
Der Spiegel. The journalists interviewed people that stated that some AHIs were possibly caused by actions of
Russian military intelligence, specifically that members of the
GRU Unit 29155, known for undertaking foreign operations, received awards and promotions for work related to the development and deployment of "
non-lethal acoustic weapons". The
Kremlin Press Secretary dismissed the report as "nothing more than baseless, unfounded accusations by the media." US vice presidential candidate
JD Vance ridiculed the report, saying that the journalists had "lost their minds".
2025 Update to the 2023 U.S. intelligence report In January 2025, the U.S. intelligence community published an update to their 2023 report. The update stated that five of the seven components of the community continue to assess it "very unlikely" that a foreign actor is responsible. All intelligence agencies "agree that most of the new intelligence [since March 2023] was consistent with the judgments reached in the [2023 report]." The update stated that two of the seven components shifted "their assessments about whether a foreign actor has a capability that could cause biological effects consistent with some of the symptoms reported as possible AHIs", leading those two components to "subtly change their overall judgment about whether a foreign actor might have played a role in a small number of events". One of those two components continues to assess it is "unlikely a foreign actor has deployed such a weapon in any events reported as possible AHIs."
2026 Reports of suspected device Anonymous sources claimed that
Homeland Security Investigations purchased a device in an undercover operation for millions of dollars toward the end of the Biden administration. The backpack-sized device is said to emit pulsed radio frequencies. Testing is ongoing and some are skeptical that this device could be the cause of Havana syndrome. According to
CBS, "[t]he device is portable, backpack-sized, and contains components of Russian origin".
First to report symptoms dies On January 29, 2026, Michael Beck, the first to report any symptoms of Havana syndrome, died at the age of 65. He had been diagnosed with
Parkinson's disease at 45. In 2014, he had filed a workers' compensation for hazardous conditions that was denied.
Norwegian test In February 2026,
The Washington Post reported that a test was conducted by a Norwegian government scientist in 2024. The scientist reportedly constructed a device that emits pulses of microwave energy and tested it on himself to determine whether it would produce neurological effects. According to the anonymous sources, he suffered symptoms that were not exactly identical to those of AHI, but the test strengthened the evidence that microwave may affect human biology.
Laser hypothesis In January 2026, Alexander Kostinsky, a research fellow at the
Nuclear Physics Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences, proposed that symptoms akin to Havana syndrome could be induced via the
optoacoustic effect from a pulsed infrared laser, which he argued could be made portable and covert, in contrast to high-power microwave systems. In a March 2026 article by
T-invariant discussing Kostinsky's hypothesis, interviews with scientists previously involved in Havana syndrome research did not identify specific technical objections to the proposed mechanism, although concerns about potential retinal damage were noted. ==Other responses==