Problems facing practical exploitation Except for some refinements, little has changed since Jackson's 1957 assessment of the feasibility of muon-catalyzed fusion other than Vesman's 1967 prediction of the hyperfine resonant formation of the muonic (d–μ–t)+ molecular ion which was subsequently experimentally observed. This helped spark renewed interest in the whole field of muon-catalyzed fusion, which remains an active area of research worldwide. However, as Jackson observed in his paper, muon-catalyzed fusion is "unlikely" to provide "useful power production ... unless an energetically cheaper way of producing μ−-mesons can be found." The α-sticking problem is the approximately 1% probability of the muon "sticking" to the alpha particle that results from deuteron–triton
nuclear fusion, thereby effectively removing the muon from the muon-catalysis process altogether. Even if muons were absolutely stable, each muon could catalyze, on average, only about 100 d–t fusions before sticking to an alpha particle, which is only about one-fifth the number of muon catalyzed d–t fusions needed for
break-even, where as much
thermal energy is generated as
electrical energy is consumed to produce the muons in the first place, according to Jackson's rough estimate. Indeed, the team led by
Steven E. Jones achieved 150 d–t fusions per muon (average) at the
Los Alamos Meson Physics Facility. The results were promising and almost enough to reach theoretical break-even. Unfortunately, these measurements for the number of muon-catalyzed d–t fusions per muon are still not enough to reach industrial break-even. Even with break-even, the conversion efficiency from
thermal energy to
electrical energy is only about 40% or so, further limiting viability. The best recent estimates of the
electrical "energy cost" per muon is about with accelerators that are (coincidentally) about 40% efficient at transforming
electrical energy from the power grid into acceleration of the deuterons. As of 2012, no practical method of producing energy through this means has been published, although some discoveries using the
Hall effect show promise.
Breakeven alternative estimate According to Gordon Pusch, a physicist at
Argonne National Laboratory, various breakeven calculations on muon-catalyzed fusion omit the heat energy the muon beam itself deposits in the target. By taking this factor into account, muon-catalyzed fusion can already exceed breakeven; however, the recirculated power is usually very large compared to power out to the electrical grid (about 3–5 times as large, according to estimates). Despite this rather high recirculated power, the overall cycle efficiency is comparable to conventional fission reactors; however the need for 4–6 MW of electrical generating capacity for each megawatt out to the grid probably represents an unacceptably large capital investment. Pusch suggested using Bogdan Maglich's "
migma" self-colliding beam concept to significantly increase the muon production efficiency, by eliminating target losses, and using tritium nuclei as the driver beam, to optimize the number of negative muons. In 2021, Kelly, Hart, and Rose produced an μCF model whereby the ratio,
Q, of thermal energy produced to the kinetic energy of the accelerated deuterons used to create negative pions (and thus negative muons through pion decay) was optimized. In this model, the heat energy of the incoming deuterons as well as that of the particles produced due to the deuteron beam impacting a tungsten target was recaptured to the extent possible, as suggested by Gordon Pusch in the prior paragraph. Further, heat energy due to tritium breeding in a lithium-lead shell was recaptured, as suggested by Jändel, Danos, and Rafelski in 1988. The best
Q value was found to be about 130% assuming that 50% of the muons produced catalyze fusion. Further, assuming that an accelerator is 18% efficient at transforming electric energy into deuteron kinetic energy and conversion efficiency of heat energy into electric energy of 60%, they estimate that, currently, the amount of electric energy that could be produced by a μCF reactor would be 14% of the electric energy consumed. For this to improve, they suggest that some combination of increasing a) accelerator efficiency and b) the number of fusion reactions per negative muon above the assumed level of 150, is needed. == Process ==