Effects on currencies Christine Lagarde, president of the
European Central Bank, which takes a view opposite that of the European Commission concerning the risks of using these profits for the benefit of Ukraine, warned the
European Union that taking action against frozen Russian assets could endanger the
eurozone's financial stability and weaken the standing of the euro as a reserve currency, arguing that the negative consequences to the EU could exceed the amount generated for Ukraine. Many international law experts believe that Ukraine's best chance against Russian assets lies in a favorable end to the war with Russia, after which its claim for reparations under international law would be clear. The RDI report argues that the claim that such an action could weaken a particular national currency has no force if all the major currencies take the same action. "The idea is to do this multilaterally. ...If others didn't, there might be a flight from the dollar. But if it is done by all the major currencies, where are people going to move their money?" The reality is that Russia's ability to access the frozen funds is forever gone, and it is unclear why delivering the funds to Ukraine would damage the international financial world in ways that haven't already materialized.
Precedent The RDI report claims that "any concern that confiscating Russia's assets will set a dangerous precedent if similar circumstances arise in the future rests on an assumption that conduct analogous to Russia's has occurred with frequency in the modern era or will in fact recur. On the contrary, Russia's war in Ukraine may well be unprecedented since the Second World War." Others ask how, once Russia's assets have been seized, Western democracies will be able to convince China or India, sometime in the future, that they have no right to confiscate whatever assets they wish. He said that it would set a "healthy precedent" if countries committing aggression against their neighbors stand to lose state assets. Others have maintained that it must not be forgotten that Russia is guilty of using a war of aggression to destroy Ukraine, its people and its culture, and to erase it from the map, and that since 1945 there have been few, if any, breaches of international law as serious as this. To argue that under these circumstances seizing Russia's sovereign assets would undermine the international financial system is to argue that foreign reserves must be safe from seizure no matter what, and is like arguing that if real estate in London that represents the proceeds of crime is not free from the threat of seizure by the government, then all real estate in London has lost its security. On December 12, 2025, the Central Bank of Russia announced its decision to initiate legal proceedings against Euroclear in a Russian court. The central bank stated that Euroclear's actions had caused it damages by depriving the Russian regulator of the ability to manage its own cash and securities. The claimed damages amounted to 18.2 trillion rubles (equivalent to €195.54 billion or $229.05 billion at the Central Bank's exchange rate as of December 12) and consist of frozen central bank funds, the value of blocked securities, and lost profits.
Competing claims against the frozen assets The strength of Ukraine's claim against the frozen assets would be diminished if Russia and Ukraine were to negotiate an end to hostilities that did not include reparations for Ukraine, or included an amount less than the value of the frozen Russian assets. In that case, Russia would have a claim for their return. Furthermore, there may be judgment creditors of Russia with claims that would have a higher priority than those of Ukraine, or who could at least delay reparations to Ukraine until the conclusion of litigation. Therefore, it has been suggested that the frozen funds should be transferred to an international entity that would be as insulated as possible from all claims except those of Ukraine. The RDI report suggests that the frozen assets be transferred to an international fund analogous to the
United Nations Compensation Commission (UNCC) that was set up to handle the transfer of Iraqi state funds to Kuwait after
Iraqi invasion of Kuwait in 1990.
Use to which confiscated assets would be put The justification for confiscating
Central Bank of Russia assets is found in Article 31 of the
ARSIWA which says, "The responsible State is under an obligation to make full reparation for the injury caused by the internationally wrongful act." However, if confiscated Russian assets are used not to repair any injury suffered but instead to fund arms supplies to Ukraine, then Russia and its sympathizers could maintain that the confiscation did not constitute reparations but was instead a penalty, which does not qualify as a legitimate countermeasure under ARSIWA, entitling Russia to reparations under Article 31 for the amount unjustly confiscated. ==See also==