Threats Coral reefs are under stress around the world. In particular, coral mining,
agricultural and
urban runoff,
pollution (organic and inorganic),
overfishing,
blast fishing, disease, and the digging of
canals and access into islands and bays are localized threats to coral ecosystems. Broader threats are sea temperature rise,
sea level rise and
pH changes from
ocean acidification, all associated with
greenhouse gas emissions. In 1998, 16% of the world's reefs died as a result of increased water temperature. Approximately 10% of the world's coral reefs are dead. About 60% of the world's reefs are at risk due to human-related activities. The threat to reef health is particularly strong in
Southeast Asia, where 80% of reefs are
endangered. Over 50% of the world's
coral reefs may be destroyed by 2030; as a result, most nations protect them through environmental laws. In the Caribbean and tropical Pacific, direct contact between ~40–70% of common seaweeds and coral causes bleaching and death to the coral via transfer of
lipid-soluble
metabolites. Seaweed and algae proliferate given adequate
nutrients and limited grazing by
herbivores such as
parrotfish. Water temperature changes of more than or
salinity changes can kill some species of coral. Under such environmental stresses, corals expel their
Symbiodinium; without them, coral tissues reveal the white of their skeletons, an event known as
coral bleaching. Submarine springs found along the coast of Mexico's
Yucatán Peninsula produce water with a naturally low pH (relatively high acidity) providing conditions similar to those expected to become widespread as the oceans absorb carbon dioxide. Surveys discovered multiple species of live coral that appeared to tolerate the acidity. The colonies were small and patchily distributed and had not formed structurally complex reefs such as those that compose the nearby
Mesoamerican Barrier Reef System.
Climate change impacts Increasing
sea surface temperatures in tropical regions (~) the last century have caused major
coral bleaching, death, and therefore shrinking coral populations. Although coral are able to adapt and acclimate, it is uncertain if this evolutionary process will happen quickly enough to prevent major reduction of their numbers. Climate change causes more frequent and more severe storms that can destroy
coral reefs. Annual growth bands in some corals, such as the
deep sea bamboo corals (
Isididae), may be among the first signs of the effects of ocean acidification on marine life. The growth rings allow
geologists to construct year-by-year chronologies, a form of
incremental dating, which underlie high-resolution records of past
climatic and
environmental changes using
geochemical techniques. Certain species form communities called
microatolls, which are colonies whose top is dead and mostly above the water line, but whose perimeter is mostly submerged and alive. Average
tide level limits their height. By analyzing the various growth morphologies, microatolls offer a low-resolution record of sea level change. Fossilized microatolls can also be dated using
radiocarbon dating. Such methods can help to reconstruct
Holocene sea levels. Though coral have large sexually-reproducing populations, their evolution can be slowed by abundant
asexual reproduction.
Gene flow is variable among coral species. Scientists found that a certain
scleractinian zooxanthella is becoming more common where sea temperature is high. Symbionts able to tolerate warmer water seem to photosynthesise more slowly, implying an evolutionary trade-off. The changes in temperature and acclimation are complex. Some reefs in current shadows represent a
refugium location that will help them adjust to the disparity in the environment even if eventually the temperatures may rise more quickly there than in other locations. This
separation of populations by climatic barriers causes a
realized niche to shrink greatly in comparison to the old
fundamental niche.
Geochemistry Corals are shallow, colonial organisms that integrate oxygen and trace elements into their skeletal
aragonite (
polymorph of
calcite) crystalline structures as they grow. Geochemical anomalies within the crystalline structures of corals represent functions of temperature, salinity and oxygen isotopic composition. Such geochemical analysis can help with climate modeling. The
ratio of oxygen-18 to oxygen-16 (δ18O), for example, is a proxy for temperature.
Strontium/calcium ratio anomaly Time can be attributed to coral geochemistry anomalies by correlating
strontium/
calcium minimums with
sea surface temperature (SST) maximums to data collected from NINO 3.4 SSTA.
Oxygen isotope anomaly The comparison of coral strontium/calcium minimums with sea surface temperature maximums, data recorded from NINO 3.4 SSTA, time can be correlated to coral strontium/calcium and
δ18O variations. To confirm the accuracy of the annual relationship between Sr/Ca and
δ18O variations, a perceptible association to annual coral growth rings confirms the age conversion.
Geochronology is established by the blending of Sr/Ca data, growth rings, and
stable isotope data.
El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is directly related to climate fluctuations that influence coral
δ18O ratio from local salinity variations associated with the position of the
South Pacific convergence zone (SPCZ) and can be used for
ENSO modeling. The
Southern Hemisphere has a unique meteorological feature positioned in the southwestern Pacific Basin called the
South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ), which contains a perennial position within the Southern Hemisphere. During
ENSO warm periods, the
SPCZ reverses orientation extending from the equator down south through
Solomon Islands,
Vanuatu,
Fiji and towards the French
Polynesian Islands; and due east towards
South America affecting geochemistry of corals in tropical regions. Geochemical analysis of skeletal coral can be linked to sea surface salinity (SSS) and
sea surface temperature (SST), from El Nino 3.4 SSTA data, of tropical oceans to seawater
δ18O ratio anomalies from corals.
ENSO phenomenon can be related to variations in sea surface salinity (SSS) and
sea surface temperature (SST) that can help model tropical climate activities.
Limited climate research on current species Climate research on live coral species is limited to a few studied species. Studying
Porites coral provides a stable foundation for geochemical interpretations that is much simpler to physically extract data in comparison to
Platygyra species where the complexity of
Platygyra species skeletal structure creates difficulty when physically sampled, which happens to be one of the only multidecadal living coral records used for coral
paleoclimate modeling. == Protection ==