Democratic incumbent
Kathy Dahlkemper unsuccessfully ran for re-election, losing to Republican businessman
Mike Kelly, who received 55.7% of the vote. In 2008, McCain carried this district with 49% of the vote. Dahlkemper faced a difficult reelection bid, in a race that considered a tossup by most political analysts. Dahlkemper became used to tight campaigns in her short political career. A political unknown prior to her 2008 campaign, Dahlkemper leveraged a moderate, blue collar image that enticed Democratic voters in a district that is pro-union, with a center-right tilt on social issues. Dahlkemper, the owner of a large landscaping business and manager of an
Erie County arboretum, came from behind to defeat Erie County Concilman Kyle Foust, the endorsed Democratic candidate. She then went on to narrowly unseat (with 52% of the vote) Congressman
Phil English, a moderate Republican who had maintained good relations with labor, by attacking his ties to the Bush administration and for failing to follow through on a promise to retire after six terms. During her first term, Dahlkemper has served as a member of the Blue Dog Coalition of conservative Democrats, which has allowed her to keep a middle ground image. However, her vote in favor of healthcare legislation and the lack of an entrenched image in certain corners of the district left her vulnerable. In 2010, Dahlkemper faced a primary challenge from former foreign affairs official Mel Marin, winning with 73% of the vote. Republicans focused heavily on regaining the seat, and six GOP candidates earned spots on the ballot: automobile dealer Mike Kelly, manufacturing executive Paul Huber, pharmaceutical representative Clayton Grabb, physician Steve Fisher, factory foreman Ed Franz, and accountant Martha Moore. Kelly and Huber far outraised the remaining four challengers, and they became entangled in an expensive campaign. Kelly was eventually victorious, winning 28% of the vote to Huber's 27% in the factious affair. Kelly, a former member of the
Butler City Council, had a base of support in the heavily Republican
Butler County, while Dahlkemper was well known in Erie, the center of population for the district. Other small cities in the district, such as
Sharon and
Meadville were swing regions, with a slightly conservative tilt that balanced out strongly Democratic Erie. John McCain carried the 3rd District by a 49%-48% margin, which reflects the political balance of the area. • PA - District 3 from OurCampaigns.com • Race ranking and details from
CQ Politics • Campaign contributions from
OpenSecrets Democratic primary Candidates Nominee •
Kathy Dahlkemper, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary • Mel Marin, foreign affairs official
Primary results Republican primary Candidates Nominee •
Mike Kelly, automobile dealer
Eliminated in primary • Steven Fisher, physician • Ed Franz, factory foreman • Clayton Grabb, pharmaceutical representative • Paul Huber, manufacturing executive • Martha Moore, accountant
Primary results Polling Predictions Debate General election ==District 4==