Volcanic hazards and risk Volcanic
hazard is the probability of damaging physical phenomena, produced by a volcano, occurring in a particular area during a particular time interval. The closely associated concept of volcanic
risk is an estimate of the human,
infrastructural, and other costs and impacts resulting from the occurrence of volcanic hazard, measured against how such impacts may be mitigated.) lives less than from an active volcano. The islands are also visited by many tourists (17.77 million in 2024). Potential
volcanic hazards in the Canary Islands include lava flows, pyroclastic flows and
pyroclastic falls,
volcanic gas emissions,
lahars, and edifice collapses. Unlike some other ocean island chains (e.g. the Hawaiian Islands) where active volcanoes are confined to one end of the chain, the active volcanoes of the Canary Islands are located along the entire length of the chain. This wide spatial spread of eruptions makes it more difficult to predict which Canarian island will have the next volcanic eruption. During historical volcanic eruptions on the Canary Islands, lava flows have not endangered human life directly, but they have destroyed thousands of buildings and destructively covered agricultural land, forestry areas, and roads in the Canary Islands. Pyroclastic airfall material (tephra), including volcanic ash, has also damaged buildings by roof collapse due to excessive ash accumulation on roofs. In the last 158,000 years, the most common type of volcanic eruption on El Hierro has been mafic strombolian eruptions at monogenetic vents. This is expected to also be El Hierro's most likely type of volcanic activity in the geologically near future. Scientists have concluded that future volcanic eruptions are more likely to occur at the western islands (Tenerife, La Palma, El Hierro). Volcanic hazard and risk assessments have been done for the islands. These assessments have involved study and mapping of volcanic eruption products produced during past eruptions, which give indications of the location, frequency, severity, and probability of eruptions. The completeness of this information varies among the islands. This information has been input into geological computer modelling of hazard and risk for various future volcanic eruption scenarios. Due to the incompleteness of the record of past eruptions, there is considerable uncertainty in the hazard and risk assessments for most of the Canary Islands. The record of past eruptions is better known on Tenerife and La Palma; scientists therefore have more confidence in the accuracy of the hazard and risk assessments for these islands. La Palma and Tenerife have been assessed as the two Canarian islands facing the greatest volcanic hazards. These two indices combine to give Tenerife and La Palma a risk level of II (from a possible range of I, II or III). where volcanic risk coefficient =
log(1/years since last eruption) + maximum expected
volcanic explosivity index + log(human population). The first local
seismometer measurements of earthquakes in the Canary Islands were made in 1891 but it was not until 1952 that the first permanent Canarian earthquake monitoring station was established at
Santa Cruz on Tenerife. 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33 km ESE of Fasnia, Spain" }, "geometry": { "type": "Point", "coordinates": [-16.156, 28.071, 23.3] }, "id": "usp0003v2e" } ], "bbox": [-18.2868, 27.548, 7.48, -14.56, 28.978, 59.9] } The
seismicity of the Canary Islands is very low to low. The
USGS Earthquake Catalog reports that from 1 January 1976 to 31 December 2024, 17 earthquakes of
magnitude 4.0 or larger, with
epicentres on or close to the Canary Islands, were recorded; the largest of these earthquakes had a mb magnitude of 5.4 and an intensity of VII with its epicentre on the ocean floor about west of El Hierro in 2013. Periods of increased seismic unrest occurred on Tenerife in 2004–2005 and 2016–2021. In 2004–2005, an
earthquake swarm of about 200 earthquakes occurred along the northwest rift zone of Tenerife. The swarm was probably caused by a
movement of molten magma and associated
magmatic gases disturbing Teide's
hydrothermal system. During the eruption, larger earthquakes were detected, for example an earthquake of mbLg magnitude 4.3 occurred below the surface. In the last 500 years, at least four tsunamis that were triggered by distant earthquakes, have hit the coasts of the Canary Islands. They occurred in 1755 (
1755 Lisbon earthquake), 1761 (
1761 Lisbon earthquake), 1941 (
1941 Gloria Fault earthquake) and 1969. ==Geological resources==