The key development that enabled the USAAF to bomb Japan at scale was the
B-29 Superfortress strategic bomber, which had an operational range of and was capable of attacking at high altitude above , where Japanese air defenses struggled to reach them. Almost 90% of the bombs dropped on the Japanese home islands were delivered by the B-29. The capture of islands sufficiently close to Japan (particularly
Saipan and
Tinian, seized in June 1944) enabled B-29s based at airfields there to bomb the home islands with increasing regularity. Prior to the capture of the Marianas, long-range bombing raids were carried out by the
Twentieth Air Force operating out of mainland China in
Operation Matterhorn under
XX Bomber Command. However, while these raids were able to strike parts of southern Japan, they were out of range of Tokyo. It was also logistically difficult for the Allies to maintain a large bomber force in China via circuitous supply routes from India. The strategic situation improved when flight operations from the
Northern Mariana Islands commenced in November 1944, but high-altitude bombing attacks using general-purpose bombs were observed to be ineffective by USAAF leaders due to high winds—later discovered to be the
jet stream—which carried the bombs off target. Between May and September 1943, bombing trials were conducted on the
Japanese Village set-piece target, located at the
Dugway Proving Grounds in Utah. These trials demonstrated the effectiveness of
incendiary bombs against wood-and-paper buildings common in Japan, and eventually resulted in
Curtis LeMay ordering his bomber wings to change tactics and utilize these munitions against Japanese targets. The first American raid utilizing incendiary munitions was carried out against
Kobe on 4 February 1945. Tokyo was hit by incendiaries on 25 February 1945 when 174 B-29s flew a high altitude raid during daylight hours, destroying around (2.6 km2) of the snow-covered city, using 453.7 tons of both incendiary and fragmentation bombs. Subsequently, LeMay ordered further B-29 raids on the capital, but at a much lower altitude of and at night, judging that Japan's air defenses were weakest in this altitude range, and that Japanese fighter defenses were ineffective at night. LeMay ordered all defensive guns but the tail gun removed from the B-29s, allowing the aircraft to be lighter, use less fuel and carry more ordinance. When selecting targets for incendiary raids, USAAF planners had consulted maps produced by the
Office of Strategic Services (OSS) which ranked Tokyo's five wards by their potential susceptibility to fire. OSS analysts had considered factors such as the average density and structural composition of buildings, and had even utilized risk assessments produced by Japanese insurance companies prior to the war. While the military objective of incendiary raids was to target small, geographically dispersed "light industry" workshops supplying larger Japanese factories, the decision of which specific neighborhoods to bomb was made based on how well USAAF strategists believed they would burn.
Operation Meetinghouse following Operation Meetinghouse On the night of 9–10 March 1945, 334 B-29s targeted the Shitamachi neighborhood of Tokyo in a low-altitude bombing raid. Ultimately, 279 bombers dropped 1,665 tons of bombs on the city. The ordnance consisted mostly of E-46
cluster bombs, which released 38
napalm-carrying
M69 incendiary bomblets at an altitude of . The M69s punched through thin roofing material or landed on the ground; in either case they ignited 3–5 seconds later and regurgitated a jet of flaming napalm. A smaller number of
M47 incendiary bombs were also dropped; the M47 was a jelled-gasoline and white phosphorus bomb, designed to ignite upon impact. Within the first two hours of the raid, rapidly spreading fires had overwhelmed the Japanese authorities' firefighting capabilities. The first B-29s to arrive dropped bombs in a large X pattern centered in Tokyo's densely populated working class district near the docks in both
Koto and
Chūō city wards on the water; follow-on aircraft simply aimed near this flaming X. Individual fires caused by the bombs swiftly coalesced into a general
conflagration, which would have been classified as a
firestorm if not for prevailing natural winds gusting at . Approximately of the city were destroyed and some 100,000 people are estimated to have been killed. A total of 282 out of 339 B-29s launched for "Meetinghouse" reached Tokyo, 27 of which were lost due to being shot down by Japanese air defenses, mechanical failure, or being caught in massive updrafts caused by the fires below. The Operation Meetinghouse firebombing of Tokyo on the night of 9 March 1945 was the single deadliest air raid of World War II, causing more destruction than the bombings of
Dresden and
Hamburg, and even
Hiroshima and Nagasaki as single events.
Results High-altitude daylight bombing had previously caused minimal damage to Tokyo's heavy industry, but the destruction caused by low-altitude night-time firebombing wiped out much of the dispersed
light industry that provided a crucial source for small machine parts for Japanese war manufacturing. Firebombing also killed or made homeless many factory workers critical to the war effort. According to American intelligence in early 1945, over 50% of Tokyo's industry was spread out among residential and commercial neighborhoods; the destruction of these neighborhoods in firebombing raids cut the whole city's output in half. Historian
Richard Rhodes placed the death toll at over 100,000, injuries at a million, and homeless residents at a million. These casualty and damage figures could be low, according to
Mark Selden: In his 1968 book, reprinted in 1990, historian
Gabriel Kolko cited a figure of 125,000 deaths. Elise K. Tipton, a professor of Japan Studies, arrived at a rough range of 75,000 to 200,000 deaths.
Donald L. Miller, citing
Knox Burger, stated that there were "at least 100,000" Japanese deaths and "about one million" injured. The wider strategic and area bombing campaign against Japan killed more than 300,000 people and injured an additional 400,000, mostly civilians. ==Postwar recovery==