Destination The first generation ships need to balance high cost with the uncertain probability that a destination star system is sufficiently hospitable.
Biosphere Such a ship would have to be entirely self-sustaining, providing
life support for everyone aboard. It must have extraordinarily reliable systems that could be maintained by the ship's inhabitants over long periods of time. This would require testing whether thousands of humans could survive on their own before sending them beyond the reach of help. Small artificial closed ecosystems, such as
Biosphere 2, have been built in an attempt to examine the engineering challenges of such a system, with mixed results.
Biology and society Generation ships would have to anticipate possible biological, social, and morale problems, and would also need to deal with matters of self-worth and purpose for the various crews involved. Estimates of the minimum reasonable population for a generation ship vary. Anthropologist John Moore has estimated that, without
genetic testing of people before boarding the ship,
social control and / or
social engineering (such as requiring people to wait until their thirties to have children), nor
cryopreservation of eggs, sperm, or embryos (as is done in
sperm banks), a minimum of 160 people boarding the ship would allow normal family life (with the average individual having ten potential marriage partners) throughout a 200-year space journey, with little loss of
genetic diversity. If the people who board the ship are couples, presumably in their early twenties, and everybody who lives in the ship is required to wait until their mid to late thirties before having children, then the minimum would be just 80 people. However, many variables are not accounted for in the estimate, including the higher chance of health problems for both the woman who is pregnant and the fetus or baby because of the
pregnant woman's age. In 2013, anthropologist Cameron Smith reviewed existing literature and created a new computer model to estimate a minimum reasonable population in the tens of thousands. Smith's numbers were much larger than previous estimates such as Moore's, in part because Smith takes the risk of accidents and disease into consideration, and assumes at least one severe population catastrophe over the course of a 150-year journey. In light of the multiple generations that it could take to reach even our nearest neighboring star systems such as
Proxima Centauri, further issues on the viability of such interstellar arks include: • the possibility of humans dramatically
evolving in directions unacceptable to the sponsors • the minimum population required to maintain in isolation a culture acceptable to the sponsors; this could include such aspects as • ability to learn scientific and technical skills needed to maintain, operate, and pilot the ship • ability to accomplish the purpose (planetary colonization, research, building new interstellar arks) contemplated • sharing the
values of the sponsors, which may not be likely to be empirically demonstrated to be viable beyond the home planet unless, once the ship is away from Earth and on its way, survival of one's offspring until the ship reaches the target star is one motivation.
Size For a spacecraft to maintain a stable environment for multiple generations, it would have to be large enough to support a community of humans and a fully recycling ecosystem. A spacecraft of such a size would require much energy to accelerate and decelerate. A smaller spacecraft, while able to accelerate more easily and thus make higher cruise velocities more practical, would reduce exposure to cosmic radiation and the time for malfunctions to develop in the craft, but would have challenges with resource metabolic flow and ecologic balance.
Social breakdown Generation ships traveling for long periods of time may see breakdowns in social structures. Changes in society (for example, mutiny) could occur over such periods and may prevent the ship from reaching its destination. This state was described by
Algis Budrys in a 1966 book review:
Robert A. Heinlein's
Orphans of the Sky (the "impeccable statement of this theme", Budrys said) and
Brian Aldiss's
Non-Stop (U.S. title:
Starship) discussed such societies.
Cosmic rays The radiation environment of deep space is very different from that on the Earth's surface, or in low Earth orbit, due to the much larger influx of high-energy
galactic cosmic rays (GCRs). Like other
ionizing radiation, high-energy cosmic rays can damage DNA and increase the risk of cancer, cataracts, and neurological disorders. ==Ethical considerations==