Scientific opinion is divided on what causes geomagnetic excursions. The dominant hypothesis is that they are an inherent instability of the
dynamo processes that generate the magnetic field. This fits well with observations of events within the current chron of reversals taking 3,000–7,000 years to complete, while excursions typically last 500–3,000 years. However, this timescale does not hold true for all events, and the need for separate generation of fields has been contested, since the changes can be spontaneously generated in mathematical models.
External driver hypothesis Plate tectonic-driven A minority opinion, held by such figures as
Richard A. Muller, is that geomagnetic excursions are not spontaneous processes but rather triggered by external events which directly disrupt the flow in the Earth's core. Such processes may include the arrival of continental slabs carried down into the
mantle by the action of
plate tectonics at
subduction zones, the initiation of new
mantle plumes from the
core–mantle boundary, and possibly mantle-core shear forces and displacements resulting from very large
impact events. Supporters of this theory hold that any of these events lead to a large scale disruption of the dynamo, effectively turning off the geomagnetic field for a period of time necessary for it to recover.
Substantial cosmic impact Richard A. Muller and Donald E. Morris suggest some geomagnetic reversals may be caused by very large impact events and following rapid
climate change. In this theory, the impact triggers a little
ice age, and water redistribution toward the poles alters the rotation rate of
crust and mantle. If the sea-level change is sufficiently large (>10 meters) and rapid (within a few hundred years), the velocity shear in the liquid core disrupts the convective cells that drive the Earth's dynamo. ==Effects==