from the decay of 232Th (violet) is a major contributor to the
earth's internal heat budget. The other major contributors are
235U (red),
238U (green), and
40K (yellow). Calculations of the expected geoneutrino signal predicted for various Earth reference models are an essential aspect of neutrino geophysics. In this context, "Earth reference model" means the estimate of heat producing element (U, Th, K) abundances and assumptions about their spatial distribution in the Earth, and a model of Earth's internal density structure. By far the largest variance exists in the abundance models where several estimates have been put forward. They predict a total radiogenic heat production as low as ~10 TW and as high as ~30 TW, the commonly employed value being around 20 TW. A density structure dependent only on the radius (such as the
Preliminary Reference Earth Model or PREM) with a 3-D refinement for the emission from the Earth's crust is generally sufficient for geoneutrino predictions. The geoneutrino signal predictions are crucial for two main reasons: 1) they are used to interpret geoneutrino measurements and test the various proposed Earth compositional models; 2) they can motivate the design of new geoneutrino detectors. The typical geoneutrino flux at Earth's surface is few × 106 cm−2⋅s−1. At continental sites, most geoneutrinos are produced locally in the crust. This calls for an accurate crustal model, both in terms of composition and density, a nontrivial task. Antineutrino emission from a volume V is calculated for each radionuclide from the following equation: : \frac{\mathrm{d}\phi(E_{\bar\nu_e},\vec{r})}{\mathrm{d}E_{\bar\nu_e}} = 10\frac{\lambda X N_A}{M} \frac{\mathrm{d}n(E_{\bar\nu_e})}{\mathrm{d}E_{\bar\nu_e}} \int\limits_V \mathrm{d}^3\vec{r}' \frac{A(\vec{r}') \rho(\vec{r}') P_{ee} (E_{\bar\nu_e},|\vec{r}-\vec{r}'|)}{4\pi |\vec{r}-\vec{r}'|^2} where d
φ(
Eν,
r)/d
Eν is the fully oscillated antineutrino flux energy spectrum (in cm−2⋅s−1⋅MeV−1) at position
r (units of m) and
Eν is the antineutrino energy (in MeV). On the right-hand side,
ρ is rock density (in kg⋅m−3),
A is elemental abundance (kg of element per kg of rock) and
X is the natural isotopic fraction of the radionuclide (isotope/element),
M is atomic mass (in g⋅mol−1),
NA is the
Avogadro constant (in mol−1),
λ is decay constant (in s−1), d
n(
Eν)/d
Eν is the antineutrino intensity energy spectrum (in MeV−1, normalized to the number of antineutrinos
nν produced in a decay chain when integrated over energy), and
Pee(
Eν,
L) is the antineutrino survival probability after traveling a distance
L. For an emission domain the size of the Earth, the fully oscillated energy-dependent survival probability
Pee can be replaced with a simple factor ⟨
Pee⟩ ≈ 0.55, the average survival probability. Integration over the energy yields the total antineutrino flux (in cm−2⋅s−1) from a given radionuclide: : \phi(\vec{r}) = 10\frac{n_{\bar\nu_e} \langle P_{ee} \rangle \lambda X N_A}{M} \int\limits_V \mathrm{d}^3\vec{r}' \frac{A(\vec{r}') \rho(\vec{r}')}{4\pi |\vec{r}-\vec{r}'|^2} The total geoneutrino flux is the sum of contributions from all antineutrino-producing radionuclides. The geological inputs—the density and particularly the elemental abundances—carry a large uncertainty. The uncertainty of the remaining nuclear and particle physics parameters is negligible compared to the geological inputs. At present it is presumed that uranium-238 and thorium-232 each produce about the same amount of heat in the Earth's mantle, and these are presently the main contributors to radiogenic heat. However, neutrino flux does not perfectly track heat from radioactive decay of
primordial nuclides, because neutrinos do not carry off a constant fraction of the energy from the radiogenic
decay chains of these
primordial radionuclides. ==Geoneutrino detection==