Entering the game, Ball State was a 9.5 point favorite, and thus not surprisingly, they were favored to win by college football analysts, including all six of
CBS Sports' analysts. One sports blog ranked the game as the game providing the "worst" entertainment value of the 2013–14 bowl season, however the game was predicted to be a shootout.
Ball State offense vs. Arkansas State defense Matchup The passing attack was predicted to have "easy pickings", particularly with the Keith Wenning to Willie Snead connection that had eclipsed 100 yards in all but three games, against Arkansas State's secondary, which struggled against the pass. Compounding the potential offensive success of Ball State was their strong offensive line play, against which Arkansas State would need to sack the quarterback, a category in which they ranked 63rd-best in the country.
Ball State offense Coordinated by Rick Skrosky, who was in his third year, Ball State's offense ranked ninth in the country by averaging 333 passing yards per game, 78th in the country with 153.3 rushing yards per game, and 14th in the country with 40.1 points per game. "Stellar senior quarterback"
Keith Wenning led the Cardinals' offense, and passed for a total of 3,933 yards for 34 touchdowns and just 6 interceptions, predominantly to two 1,000 yard receivers – junior Willie Snead, who caught 97 passes for 1,429 yards and 14 touchdowns, and sophomore Jordan Williams, who caught 68 passes for 1,016 yards and 10 touchdowns. Supplementing that duo was senior
Jamill Smith, who caught 63 passes for 855 yards and 8 touchdowns, as well as fellow senior Zane Fakes, an academic All-American tight end,
Jahwan Edwards led the rushing attack with 964 yards and 13 touchdowns. Junior kicker
Scott Secor made 17 of his 21 field goal attempts, including a long of 47 yards, and made 58 of his 60 extra point attempts. After losing four of its five starters entering the season, Ball State's offensive line entered the year with right guard Jordan Hansel its only returnee; Hansel won first team All-MAC honors and center Jacob Richard achieved third team All-MAC honors.
Arkansas State defense The Red Wolves' defense was led by defensive coordinator/linebackers coach John Thompson, who was in his second year with the program. They finished in the middle of the pack in both the NCAA and the conference in defensive statistical categories relating to yardage and points allowed. Anchored by nose tackle
Ryan Carrethers, an NFL Draft prospect whose tackle totals moved him even higher up the radar (he was second on the team with 87 as well as four sacks and eight tackles for a loss (TFL)), who led the defense with 119 tackles and added 6 TFL, and also contributing was freshman Xavier Woosdon, who recorded 22 total tackles. Making up for the lack of linebackers were a plethora of defensive backs who played key roles on the unit, including three of the top six tacklers – junior Sterling Young (70 tackles, 2 interceptions, 3 fumble recoveries), and sophomores Chris Humes (50 tackles, 3.5 TFL), and Rocky Hayes (42 tackles, team-leading 3 interceptions, 10 pass breakups, 2 TFL). Other key contributors included junior Artez Brown (37 tackles, 10 pass breakups, interception), freshman Money Hunter (35 tackles), and junior Andrew Tryon (28 tackles, 5 pass breakups).
Arkansas State offense Led by co-coordinators
Eliah Drinkwitz (who predominantly focused on running backs) and Bush Hamdan (who predominantly focused on quarterbacks), Arkansas State's offense excelled in the running game, and averaged 206 rushing yards per game, which was second in the Sun Belt, but struggled in the passing game, averaging just 208 yards per game, which was sixth in the conference; the aggregate mediocrity of their offense manifested itself by averaging 29.7 points per game, fourth in the conference. Their offense was led by
dual-threat quarterback Adam Kennedy, a transfer from
Utah State who was in his first year as a Red Wolf. The senior totaled 2,349 passing yards, and added 514 rushing yards, second among Sun Belt quarterbacks and tied for ninth overall in the conference; he scored 15 total touchdowns (11 passing, 4 rushing). Leading Arkansas State's rushing attack, however, was sophomore Michael Gordon, a small back with a stature, who amassed 717 yards (fifth in the conference) and ten touchdowns (tied for fourth in the conference). Also leading the running game were seniors David Oku (a transfer from Tennessee) and Sirgregory Thornton, who contributed 511 and 340 yards respectively. Augmenting the aforementioned were sophomores backup quarterback Fredi Knighten, who rushed for 247 yards, and wide receiver
J. D. McKissic, who rushed 118 yards. Leading the receiving game were senior big-play threat Julian Jones, who caught 51 passes for 630 yards and 4 touchdowns, and possession safety valve McKissic, who caught 73 receptions for 590 yards and 4 touchdowns. Augmenting the aforementioned duo were senior Allen Muse, third on the team in receiving yards, and sophomore tight end Darion Griswold, fourth on the team in receiving. Gordon, Oku, and senior receiver R.J. Fleming also contributed in the receiving game. The Wolves' offensive line struggled to protect the quarterback despite returning the majority of the unit from the
2012 season, but did manage to open holes for the running game. Starters on the offensive line included sophomore center Bryce Giddens, a preseason all-conference honoree, senior tackle Aaron Williams and freshman tackle Colton Jackson, as well as upperclassmen guards Alan Wright and Steve Haunga.
Ball State defense Defensive coordinator Jay Bateman led the Cardinals' defense, which was in the middle of the pack in the FBS in terms of points allowed (24.8 per game), in the bottom half in terms of yards allowed (420.8 per game), particularly struggling against the running game, allowing 194.8 rushing yards per game, which was in the bottom third nationally. Ball State's defensive line was led by fifth-year senior defensive end
Jonathan Newsome, who achieved first team All-MAC honors, and totaled 57 tackles, 11.5 TFL, and 8 sacks. Senior Nathan Ollie was also a leader of the line, earning second team All-MAC accolades, Junior Ben Ingle started 11 of the 12 games at
weak side linebacker, and led the defense with 105 tackles, including 3.5 TFL, redshirt freshman Zack Ryan, who started every game at
middle linebacker, was third on the defense with 80 tackles, with 8 TFL and 2.5 sacks, and senior Kenneth Lee played
strong side linebacker, and recorded 42 tackles, 4.5 TFL, and 2.5 sacks. Aside from junior Brian Jones, who started all 12 games and finished the season second on the defense with 90 tackles and led the defense with 4 fumble recoveries, continuity was lacking in the Cardinals' secondary – three different players started at the "BC" cornerback spot, two different players started at the "FC" cornerback spot, and two different players started at the free safety spot. Injuries also took their toll, with two defensive backs out for the bowl game. ==Game summary==