The mutational hazard hypothesis is a non-adaptive theory for increased complexity in genomes. The basis of mutational hazard hypothesis is that each mutation for
non-coding DNA imposes a fitness cost. Variation in complexity can be described by 2Neu, where Ne is effective population size and u is
mutation rate. In this hypothesis, selection against non-coding DNA can be reduced in three ways: random genetic drift, recombination rate, and mutation rate. As complexity increases from prokaryotes to multicellular eukaryotes,
effective population size decreases, subsequently increasing the strength of
random genetic drift. The mutational hazard hypothesis has been used to at least partially explain expanded genomes in some species. For example, when comparing
Volvox cateri to a close relative with a compact genome,
Chlamydomonas reinhardtii, the former had less silent-site diversity than the latter in nuclear, mitochondrial, and plastid genomes. However, when comparing the plastid genome of
Volvox cateri to
Volvox africanus, a species in the same genus but with half the plastid genome size, there were high mutation rates in intergenic regions. In
Arabidopsis thaliana, the hypothesis was used as a possible explanation for intron loss and compact genome size. When compared to
Arabidopsis lyrata, researchers found a higher mutation rate overall and in lost introns (an intron that is no longer transcribed or spliced) compared to conserved introns. There are expanded genomes in other species that could not be explained by the mutational hazard hypothesis. For example, the expanded mitochondrial genomes of
Silene noctiflora and
Silene conica have high mutation rates, lower intron lengths, and more non-coding DNA elements compared to others in the same genus, but there was no evidence for long-term low effective population size. The mitochondrial genomes of
Citrullus lanatus and
Cucurbita pepo differ in several ways.
Citrullus lanatus is smaller, has more introns and duplications, while
Cucurbita pepo is larger with more chloroplast and short repeated sequences. If
RNA editing sites and mutation rate lined up, then
Cucurbita pepo would have a lower mutation rate and more RNA editing sites. However the mutation rate is four times higher than
Citrullus lanatus and they have a similar number of RNA editing sites. ==History==