MarketHistorical rankings of presidents of the United States
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Historical rankings of presidents of the United States

In political studies, since the mid 20th-century, surveys have been conducted in order to construct historical rankings of the success of the presidents of the United States. Ranking systems are usually based on surveys of academic historians and political scientists, or popular opinion. The scholarly rankings focus on presidential achievements, leadership qualities, failures, and faults. Among such scholarly rankings, Abraham Lincoln is most often ranked as the best, while his predecessor James Buchanan is most often ranked as the worst. Popular-opinion polls typically focus on recent or well-known presidents.

History
20th century A 1948 poll was conducted by historian Arthur M. Schlesinger Sr. of Harvard University. Schlesinger's son, Arthur M. Schlesinger Jr., conducted another poll in 1996. The Chicago Tribune surveyed 49 historians in 1982. The Siena College Research Institute (SCRI) began conducting surveys in 1982 and continued in 1990, 1994, 2002, 2010, 2018, and 2022 during the second year of the first term of each president since Ronald Reagan. These surveys collect presidential rankings from historians, political scientists, and presidential scholars in a range of attributes, abilities, and accomplishments. In 1996, William J. Ridings Jr. and Stuart B. McIver conducted and published a poll and in 1997, an accompanying book on the poll results. 719 people took part in the poll, primarily academic historians and political scientists, although some politicians and celebrities also took part. Participants from every state were included and emphasis was placed upon getting input from female historians and "specialists in African American studies" as well as a few non-American historians. Poll respondents rated the presidents in five categories (leadership qualities, accomplishments, crisis management, political skill, appointments, and character and integrity) and the results were tabulated to create the overall ranking. 2000–2017 A 2005 presidential poll was conducted by James Lindgren for the Federalist Society and The Wall Street Journal. As in the 2000 survey, the editors sought to balance the opinions of liberals and conservatives, adjusting the results "to give Democratic- and Republican-leaning scholars equal weight". Although Franklin D. Roosevelt still ranked in the top three, editor James Taranto observed that Democratic-leaning scholars rated George W. Bush the sixth-worst president of all time while Republican scholars rated him the sixth-best, giving him a split-decision rating of "average". The C-SPAN Survey of Presidential Leadership consists of rankings from a group of presidential historians and biographers. The C-SPAN Survey of Presidential Leadership has taken place four times: in 2000, 2009, 2017, and 2021. The 2021 survey was of 142 presidential historians, surveyed by C-SPAN's Academic Advisor Team, made up of Douglas G. Brinkley, Edna Greene Medford, Richard Norton Smith, and Amity Shlaes. In the survey, each historian rates each president on a scale of one ("not effective") to 10 ("very effective") on presidential leadership in ten categories: Public Persuasion, Crisis Leadership, Economic Management, Moral Authority, International Relations, Administrative Skills, Relations with Congress, Vision/Setting An Agenda, Pursued Equal Justice for All, and Performance Within the Context of His Times—with each category equally weighed. In 2012, Newsweek asked a panel of historians to rank the ten best presidents since 1900. The results showed that historians had ranked Franklin D. Roosevelt, Theodore Roosevelt, Lyndon B. Johnson, Woodrow Wilson, Harry S. Truman, John F. Kennedy, Dwight D. Eisenhower, Bill Clinton, Ronald Reagan, and Obama as the best since that year. A 2015 poll administered by the American Political Science Association (APSA) among political scientists specializing in the American presidency had Abraham Lincoln in the top spot, with Washington, Franklin D. Roosevelt, Theodore Roosevelt, Thomas Jefferson, Truman, Eisenhower, Clinton, Andrew Jackson, and Wilson making the top 10. A 2016 survey of 71 British specialists by the Presidential History Network produced similar results to the 2011 USPC survey, with Obama placed in the top quartile. Since 2018 A second Presidential Greatness Project Expert Survey was sent to members of the Presidents and Executive Politics section of the APSA in 2018. It ranked Donald Trump for the first time, putting him in the last position. In the 2024 edition, Trump scored 10.92 out of 100, easily the worst, while self-identified Republican historians rated Trump in the bottom five. The study organizers observed a drop in recent Republican presidents' scores by speculating that respondents valued presidents that respected political and institutional norms. The first version of this poll was conducted in 2015. The 2018 Siena poll of 157 presidential scholars reported George Washington, Franklin D. Roosevelt, Abraham Lincoln, Theodore Roosevelt, and Thomas Jefferson as the top five U.S. presidents, with SCRI director Don Levy stating, "The top five, Mount Rushmore plus FDR, is carved in granite with presidential historians." Trump—entering the SCRI survey for the first time—joined Andrew Johnson and James Buchanan among the bottom three U.S. presidents. George W. Bush, whom presidential scholars had rated fifth lowest in the previous 2010 survey, improved in position to 12th lowest. The 2022 Siena poll had Franklin D. Roosevelt first, Lincoln second, and Washington third, with the bottom three as Trump, Buchanan, and Johnson. == Scholar survey summary ==
Scholar survey summary
Within each column : backgrounds indicate rankings in the first quartile. : backgrounds indicate rankings in the second quartile. : backgrounds indicate the median ranking of an odd number of presidents. : backgrounds indicate rankings in the third quartile. : backgrounds indicate rankings in the fourth quartile. :Italics within row indicate rank awarded before president had completed term in office. : within a column indicates a given survey's lowest-ranking president. At leftmost column head, click "triangles" to view the in-office order of each president. At each survey column head, click on "triangles" to view the ranking order for each president in that survey. Scroll in the center of the table. The headers will remain in view. If you see a "[disable]" button to the top left of the table, click on it to display the whole width of the table without needing to scroll. == Scholar surveys ==
Scholar surveys
1982 Murray–Blessing The Murray–Blessing 1982 survey asked historians whether they were liberal or conservative on domestic, social, and economic issues. The two groups had only small differences in ranking the best and worst presidents. Both groups agreed on the composition of nine of the top ten presidents (they were split over the inclusion of either Dwight D. Eisenhower or Lyndon B. Johnson) and six of the worst seven (split over Calvin Coolidge or Jimmy Carter). 2010 Siena College ;Abbreviations :Bg = Background :PL = Party leadership :CAb = Communication ability :RC = Relations with Congress :CAp = Court appointments :HE = Handling of economy :L = Luck :AC = Ability to compromise :WR = Willing to take risks :EAp = Executive appointments :OA = Overall ability :Im = Imagination :DA = Domestic accomplishments :Int = Integrity :EAb = Executive ability :FPA = Foreign policy accomplishments :LA = Leadership ability :IQ = Intelligence :AM = Avoiding crucial mistakes :EV = Experts' view :O = Overall : Blue  backgrounds indicate first quartile. : Green  backgrounds indicate second quartile. : Yellow-green  backgrounds indicate the median. : Yellow  backgrounds indicate third quartile. : Orange  backgrounds indicate fourth quartile. Source: 2011 USPC In September/October 2010, the United States Presidency Centre (USPC) of the Institute for the Study of the Americas at the University of London surveyed 47 British specialists on American history and politics. Presidents were rated from 1 to 10 in five categories: • Vision/agenda-setting: "did the president have the clarity of vision to establish overarching goals for his administration and shape the terms of policy discourse?" • Domestic leadership: "did the president display the political skill needed to achieve his domestic objectives and respond effectively to unforeseen developments?" • Foreign policy leadership: "was the president an effective leader in promoting US foreign policy interests and national security?" • Moral authority: "did the president uphold the moral authority of his office through his character, values, and conduct?" • Positive historical significance of legacy: "did the president's legacy have positive benefits for America's development over time?" William Henry Harrison (1841) and James Garfield (1881) were not rated because they died shortly after taking office. Barack Obama (2009–2017) ranked 8th in interim ranking as of January 2011, but was not counted in the final results (and thus did not affect the rankings of other presidents) because he had yet to complete a term. A year into his term, Joe Biden entered the ranking in the second quartile, at nineteenth place out of 45. Among recent presidents, George H. W. Bush, Bill Clinton, and Barack Obama moved up in the rankings, while George W. Bush and Donald Trump moved down, though part of the downward shift was due to the addition of a new president to the poll. Counting from the other direction, Trump remained unchanged at third place from last. The changes were relatively small (one or two places), apart from Obama, who moved up six places (14%) to eleventh place, in the first quartile. Notable shifts among earlier presidents included the continuing rehabilitation of Lyndon Johnson, up 8 places into the first quartile, and of Ulysses Grant, up 3 places (up 8 in the individual evaluations) into the second quartile; and the lessening appreciation of Andrew Jackson, down 4 places to the median (down 7, into the third quartile, in the individual evaluations); Ronald Reagan, down 5 places, remaining in the second quartile; and Zachary Taylor, down 6 places into the fourth quartile. ; Abbreviations : Bg = Background (family, education, experience) : Im = Imagination : Int = Integrity : IQ = Intelligence : L = Luck : WR = Willing to take risks : AC = Ability to compromise : EAb = Executive ability : LA = Leadership ability : CAb = Communication ability (speak, write) : OA = Overall ability : PL = Party leadership : RC = Relationship with Congress : CAp = Court appointments : HE = Handling of U.S. economy : EAp = Executive appointments : DA = Domestic accomplishments : FPA = Foreign policy accomplishments : AM = Avoiding crucial mistakes : PV = Present overall view [the average ranking of the polled experts] : O = Overall rank [the average of the individual parameters] :  Blue  backgrounds indicate first quartile. :  Green  backgrounds indicate second quartile. :  Yellow-green  backgrounds indicate the median. :  Yellow  backgrounds indicate third quartile. :  Orange  backgrounds indicate fourth quartile. Source: ==Scholar surveys of diversity and racism==
Scholar surveys of diversity and racism
2019 Tillery–Greer In May 2019, Alvin Tillery of the Center for the Study of Diversity and Democracy at Northwestern University and Christina Greer of Fordham University "conducted a poll of 113 academic researchers and asked them to rate the 14 modern presidents on both their overall leadership and rhetoric on diversity and inclusion using a scale ranging from 0 to 100." Survey respondents were significantly more liberal than the national average, "with only 13 percent of the respondents describing themselves as either moderate, slightly conservative, or conservative." == Public opinion polls ==
Public opinion polls
2010 Gallup poll A Gallup poll taken on November 19–21, 2010, asked 1,037 Americans to say, based on what they know or remember about the nine most recent former presidents, whether they approve or disapprove of how each handled his job in office. • John F. Kennedy (85% approval/10% disapproval) • Ronald Reagan (74% approval/24% disapproval) • Bill Clinton (69% approval/30% disapproval) • George H. W. Bush (64% approval/34% disapproval) • Gerald Ford (61% approval/26% disapproval) • Jimmy Carter (52% approval/42% disapproval) • Lyndon B. Johnson (49% approval/36% disapproval) • George W. Bush (47% approval/51% disapproval) • Richard Nixon (29% approval/65% disapproval) 2011 Gallup poll A Gallup poll about presidential greatness taken February 2–5, 2011, asked 1,015 American adults the following question: "Who do you regard as the greatest United States president?" • John F. Kennedy (80% approval/6% disapproval) • Ronald Reagan (72% approval/16% disapproval) • Bill Clinton (65% approval/24% disapproval) • Dwight D. Eisenhower (61% approval/6% disapproval) • Harry S. Truman (57% approval/7% disapproval) • Jimmy Carter (47% approval/28% disapproval) • George H. W. Bush (44% approval/38% disapproval) • Barack Obama (41% approval/33% disapproval) • Gerald Ford (37% approval/25% disapproval) • Lyndon B. Johnson (33% approval/27% disapproval) • George W. Bush (30% approval/55% disapproval) • Richard Nixon (24% approval/54% disapproval) 2011 Public Policy Polling poll A Public Policy Polling poll taken between September 8–11, 2011, asked 665 American voters whether they held favorable or unfavorable views of how each of the nine most recent former presidents performed their job. • John F. Kennedy (74% favorability/15% unfavorability) • Ronald Reagan (60% favorability/30% unfavorability) • Bill Clinton (62% favorability/34% unfavorability) • George H. W. Bush (53% favorability/35% unfavorability) • Gerald Ford (45% favorability/26% unfavorability) • Jimmy Carter (45% favorability/43% unfavorability) • Lyndon B. Johnson (36% favorability/39% unfavorability) • George W. Bush (41% favorability/51% unfavorability) • Richard Nixon (19% favorability/62% unfavorability) 2013 Gallup poll A Gallup poll taken November 7–10, 2013, asked 1,039 American adults the following question: "How do you think each of the following presidents will go down in history—as an outstanding president, above average, average, below average, or poor?". 2014 Quinnipiac poll A Quinnipiac University poll taken June 24–30, 2014, asked 1,446 American registered voters who they believed were the best and worst presidents since World War II. {{inline block |style=margin:0 1em; | Best president since World War II: {{inline block|style=margin:0 1em;| Worst president since World War II: 2017 Quinnipiac poll Two and a half years later, a Quinnipiac University poll taken January 20–25, 2017, asked 1,190 American voters who they believed were the best and worst presidents since World War II. {{inline block |style=margin:0 1em; | Best president since World War II: {{inline block |style=margin:0 1em; | Worst president since World War II: 2017 Morning Consult poll Including President Donald Trump for the first time, a Morning Consult poll taken February 9–10, 2017, asked 1,791 American registered voters who they believed were the best and worst presidents since World War II. {{inline block |style=margin:0 1em; | Best president since World War II: {{inline block |style=margin:0 1em; | Worst president since World War II: 2018 Quinnipiac poll A Quinnipiac University poll taken March 3–5, 2018, asked 1,122 American voters who they believed were the best and worst presidents since World War II. {{inline block |style=margin:0 1em; | Best president since World War II: {{inline block |style=margin:0 1em; | Worst president since World War II: 2021 Gallup poll A Gallup poll taken January 4–15, 2021, asked 1,023 American adults the following question: "How do you think each of the following presidents will go down in history—as an outstanding president, above average, average, below average, or poor?" 2023 YouGov survey YouGov took a survey of 1,000 U.S. adult citizens between November 20–27, 2023. Respondents were asked: "How would you rate the president listed below?" There was a margin of error of 4.1% in the poll. 2024 Gallup poll A Gallup poll taken December 2–18, 2024, asked the following question: "How do you think each of the following presidents will go down in history—as an outstanding president, above average, average, below average, or poor?" == Memorability of the presidents ==
Memorability of the presidents
2014 Roediger–DeSoto survey In November 2014, Henry L. Roediger III and K. Andrew DeSoto published a study in the journal Science asking research subjects to name as many presidents as possible. They reported data from three generations as well as from an online survey conducted . • Barack Obama (100%) • Bill Clinton (96%) • George W. Bush or George H. W. Bush (95%) • George Washington (94%) • Abraham Lincoln (88%) • John F. Kennedy (83%) • Richard Nixon (82%) • Jimmy Carter (79%) • Thomas Jefferson (72%) • Ronald Reagan (66%) • Gerald Ford (62%) • Franklin D. Roosevelt or Theodore Roosevelt (60%) • John Adams or John Quincy Adams (56%) • Dwight D. Eisenhower (54%) • Harry S. Truman (50%) • Andrew Jackson (47%) • Herbert Hoover (42%) • Andrew Johnson or Lyndon B. Johnson (41%) • William Howard Taft (39%) • James Madison (38%) • Ulysses S. Grant (38%) • James Monroe (30%) • Woodrow Wilson (29%) • Calvin Coolidge (22%) • James A. Garfield (19%) • James K. Polk (17%) • Warren G. Harding (16%) • William McKinley (15%) • John Tyler (12%) • James Buchanan (12%) • Grover Cleveland (11%) • William Henry Harrison or Benjamin Harrison (11%) • Martin Van Buren (11%) • Rutherford B. Hayes (10%) • Zachary Taylor (10%) • Millard Fillmore (8%) • Franklin Pierce (7%) • Chester A. Arthur (7%) 2021 Putnam survey In July 2021, a survey was taken on the memorability of U.S. presidents by name and facial recognition. • Bill Clinton (98%) • Barack Obama (98%) • George W. Bush (96%) • Abraham Lincoln (95%) • Ronald Reagan (94%) • George Washington (93%) • Richard Nixon (92%) • George H. W. Bush (90%) • John F. Kennedy (88%) • Jimmy Carter (83%) • Lyndon B. Johnson (82%) • Thomas Jefferson (77%) • William Howard Taft (77%) • Theodore Roosevelt (75%) • Dwight D. Eisenhower (74%) • Harry S. Truman (73%) • Andrew Jackson (65%) • Franklin D. Roosevelt (59%) • James Madison (55%) • Grover Cleveland (53%) • Benjamin Harrison (53%) • Martin Van Buren (52%) • Gerald Ford (52%) • James A. Garfield (50%) • Woodrow Wilson (50%) • William Henry Harrison (48%) • John Quincy Adams (48%) • Rutherford B. Hayes (47%) • Herbert Hoover (46%) • John Adams (44%) • James K. Polk (43%) • Franklin Pierce (42%) • Chester A. Arthur (42%) • Ulysses S. Grant (37%) • John Tyler (36%) • William McKinley (35%) • Millard Fillmore (31%) • Warren G. Harding (31%) • Zachary Taylor (28%) • James Monroe (26%) • Andrew Johnson (24%) • Calvin Coolidge (21%) • James Buchanan (18%) == Reception ==
Reception
Gerard Baker, U.S. editor for The Times, wrote in 2008 that "the 42 American presidents fall into a well-established, bell-curve or normal distribution on a chart – a handful of outstanding ones, a handful of duds, and a lot of so-sos. I couldn't, in all honesty therefore, really say that number 13 on the list is that much better than number 30." David Herbert Donald, a noted biographer of Abraham Lincoln, relates that when he met John F. Kennedy in 1961, Kennedy voiced his deep dissatisfaction and resentment with historians who had rated some of his predecessors. Kennedy remarked, "No one has a right to grade a president—even poor James Buchanan—who has not sat in his chair, examined the mail and information that came across his desk, and learned why he made his decisions." Historian and political scientist Julian E. Zelizer has argued that traditional presidential rankings explain little concerning actual presidential history and that they are "weak mechanisms for evaluating what has taken place in the White House." The broadly static nature of the rankings over multiple decades has also been called into question by some critics, particularly given the frequent exposure of previously unknown material about American government. The first British survey, published in 2011, places some small government advocates higher than recent U.S. surveys have: Thomas Jefferson at 4, Ronald Reagan at 8, and Andrew Jackson at 9 (compared to 7th, 10th, and 13th in C-SPAN 2009). A 2012 analysis by Mark Zachary Taylor faulted presidential surveys with "partisan bias and subjective judgments", suggesting an algorithm to rank of the presidents based on objectively measurable economic statistics. His algorithm placed Franklin D. Roosevelt as the best president for the economy, followed by Warren G. Harding, Rutherford B. Hayes, and William McKinley (all three tied for second). The worst-ranked presidents were Herbert Hoover and Martin Van Buren (tied). Claims of bias In 2010, Alvin S. Felzenberg criticized what he sees as a liberal bias in presidential rankings. In particular, he ranked Ronald Reagan in third place, substantially higher than averaged rankings. In reviewing his book, Michael Genovese said that "Felzenberg is upset—with some justification—at the liberal bias he sees as so prevalent in the ranking of U.S. presidents by historians and political scientists. To remedy this, he has provided a counter to the liberal bias with a conservative bias. In doing so, he commits all the sins of which he accuses liberals. This book is a mirror image of the work he finds so troubling. ... It is unscientific, impressionistic, and highly subjective." The historically low rankings of Donald Trump during the first year of the first Trump presidency was met with mixed approval given that historical ranking is largely based on long term effects of a president's decision, which could not be reliably assessed in a first year. == See also ==
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