Residents of the Deep South describe the as developing in four stages: the (peacetime); the period of scarcity of food for livestock and animals and abundance of food for humans; the period of scarcity of food for humans and abundance of food for livestock; the period of scarcity of food for both livestock and humans. The final stage is the deadliest form of . The durations of events have varied. One event, called ('Digging Bar') in 1997, was felt for less than a year. survivors divide historical events into the categories of "ancient" (pre-1993) and recent (post-1993), with ancient being generally considered more severe among locals. In 2020,
UNICEF had expressed early concerns about malnutrition in Madagascar, estimating that 42% of children under the age of five suffered from malnourishment. A
World Food Programme (WFP) official said in June 2021 that the situation was the second-worst food crisis he had seen in his life after the
1998 famine in
Bahr el Ghazal, in present-day
South Sudan. By late June 2021, the WFP reported that 75% of children had abandoned school and were begging or foraging for food. Intense
dust storms were further aggravating the circumstances. Humanitarian agencies also warned of water shortages. A water pipeline opened in 2019 (a joint venture of
UNICEF and the
government of Madagascar) did not reach far enough to provide fresh water to some parts of the south, forcing residents (mainly women) to travel more than 15 kilometers to seek water. On 30 June 2021, the WFP warned that a "biblical" famine was approaching in several African countries, especially in Madagascar. Reports of people eating raw red cactus fruits, wild leaves and locusts for months also arose. In July 2021, UK-based organization SEED Madagascar reported that people were eating "cactuses, swamp plants, and insects", while also reporting that mothers were mixing clay and fruits to feed their families. Evidence of swollen stomachs and physically stunted children were also reported by the organization as symptoms of chronic malnutrition. In July 2021, local media reported that out of the 2.5 million people who live in the southern districts of Madagascar, around 1.2 million were already suffering from food insecurity, while another 400,000, were in a critical situation of famine, citing concerns equal to international organizations such as climate change, COVID-19 and political instability in the country. On 14 July 2021, a government report was issued, stating that the rate of chronic malnutrition was in decline. By late July 2021, however, the situation was described as "famine" by
Al Jazeera and
Time magazine.
Time magazine quoted executive director of the WFP
David Beasley as describing the crisis as the first "climate change-caused" famine in modern history. In August 2021, the food crisis was declared by the WFP to be the first famine caused by
climate change and not conflict, though this declaration was contradicted by a study released December 2021 by
World Weather Attribution. == Impact ==