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2026 Florida gubernatorial election

The 2026 Florida gubernatorial election will take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the next governor of Florida, alongside other state and local elections. The primary elections will take place on August 18, 2026. Incumbent Republican Governor Ron DeSantis is term-limited and cannot seek re-election to a third consecutive term.

Background
A heavily populated South Atlantic state with a large and increasingly conservative Latino American population and the northern parts lying in the Bible Belt, Florida is considered to be a moderately to strongly red state, having not elected a Democratic governor since 1994 nor a Democrat for president since 2012 and having moved significantly rightward in the last decade. In 2022, incumbent governor Ron DeSantis was re-elected by a 19.4% margin, a considerable improvement from his 0.4-point victory four years earlier in the gubernatorial election during the 2018 blue wave. This was followed two years later by Republican Donald Trump winning his adoptive home state by a 13% margin as he won a second non-consecutive presidential term, improving his 3.4% margin of victory in 2020 and seemingly diminishing Florida's longtime swing-state and bellwether status. Republicans also control all statewide offices, a large majority of the state's U.S. House delegation, both U.S. Senate seats, and supermajorities in both houses of the Florida Legislature. Candidate eligibility and requirements Article IV, Section 5(b) of the Florida Constitution states that, for a person to serve as governor, they must: • Be at least thirty years old; • Be a permanent resident of Florida for at least seven years; • Not have served as governor for six years or more of the two prior terms. == Republican primary ==
Republican primary
Candidates Declared • Charles Burkett, mayor of Surfside (2006–2010, 2020–2022, 2024–present) • Jay Collins, 21st lieutenant governor of Florida (2025–present) • Shea Cruel, U.S. veteran • Jenny Patricia Curtman, naturopathic doctor • James Fishback, CEO of Azoria • Jim Holcomb • Rachel Rodriguez, attorney Withdrawn • Bill Reicherter, real estate agent, candidate for state house in 2024, and candidate for state senate in 2022 Potential Casey DeSantis, former WJXT newscaster and First Lady of Florida (2019–present) Declined Matt Gaetz, former U.S. representative for (2017–2024) • Francis Suarez, 43rd mayor of Miami (2017–2025) and candidate for president in 2024 Endorsements Debates Fundraising Polling == Democratic primary ==
Democratic primary
Candidates Declared Jerry Demings, mayor of Orange County (2018–present) and husband of former U.S. representative Val DemingsDavid Jolly, former Republican U.S. representative from Florida's 13th congressional district (2014–2017) • Dayna Marie Foster, mathematics teacher Filed paperwork • Jessica Vernekar, social media influencer Declined Nikki Fried, chair of the Florida Democratic Party (2023–present), former Florida Commissioner of Agriculture (2019–2023), and candidate for governor in 2022Gwen Graham, former Assistant Secretary of Education (2021–2025), former U.S. representative from (2015–2017), daughter of former governor Bob Graham, and candidate for governor in 2018 (endorsed Jolly) • Daniella Levine Cava, mayor of Miami-Dade County (2020–present) • Jared Moskowitz, U.S. representative from (2023–present) (running for re-election) • Angie Nixon, state representative from the 13th district (2020–present) (running for U.S. Senate) Endorsements Polling == Independent and third-party candidates ==
Independent and third-party candidates
Independent candidates Declared Moliere Dimanche, author and candidate for mayor of Orlando in 2023 • Jason Pizzo, former Democratic minority leader of the Florida Senate (2024–2025) from the 37th district (2018–present) Declined John Morgan, attorney and billionaire Libertarian Party Declared • Scott Jewett, entrepreneur ==General election==
General election
Predictions Polling Byron Donalds vs. Jerry Demings Byron Donalds vs. David Jolly James Fishback vs. David Jolly Paul Renner vs. David Jolly Byron Donalds vs. Daniella Levine Cava vs. Jason Pizzo Casey DeSantis vs. David Jolly Casey DeSantis vs. Jerry Demings Casey DeSantis vs. Daniella Levine Cava vs. Jason Pizzo Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat == See also ==
tickerdossier.comtickerdossier.substack.com