Publication and content (1094–1148), to whom Wion attributes the authorship of the prophecies. Malachy died over four centuries before the prophecies first appeared. The alleged prophecy was first published in 1595 by a Benedictine named Arnold Wion in his
Lignum Vitæ, a history of the Benedictine order. He attributed it to
Saint Malachy, the 12th‑century
Archbishop of Armagh. Wion explained that the prophecy had not, to his knowledge, ever been printed before but that many were eager to see it. He includes both the alleged original prophecy, consisting of short, cryptic Latin phrases, as well as an interpretation applying the statements to historical popes up to
Urban VII (pope for thirteen days in 1590), which Wion attributes to historian
Alphonsus Ciacconius.
Origin theories According to an account put forward in 1871 by Abbé Cucherat, Malachy was summoned to Rome in 1139 by
Pope Innocent II to receive two wool
palliums for the metropolitan sees of
Armagh and
Cashel. While in Rome, Malachy purportedly experienced a vision of future popes, which he recorded as a sequence of cryptic phrases. This manuscript was then allegedly deposited in the
Vatican Secret Archives, and forgotten about until its rediscovery in 1590, supposedly just in time for a
papal conclave occurring at the time. Several historians have concluded that the prophecy is a late 16th‑century
forgery.
Saint Bernard of Clairvaux, a contemporary biographer of Malachy who recorded the saint's alleged miracles, makes no mention of the prophecy. Spanish monk and scholar
Benito Jerónimo Feijóo y Montenegro wrote in his
Teatro Crítico Universal (1724–1739), in an entry called
Purported prophecies, that the high level of accuracy of the verses up until the date they were published, compared with their high level of inaccuracy after that date, is evidence that they were created around the time of publication. The verses and explanations given by Wion correspond very closely to a 1557 history of the popes by
Onofrio Panvinio (including replication of errors made by Panvinio), which may indicate that the prophecy was written based on that source. In 1694,
Claude-François Menestrier argued the additional interpretive statements were not written by Ciacconius, as the prophecy was not mentioned in any of Ciacconius' works, nor were the interpretive statements listed among his works. One theory to explain the prophecy's creation, put forward by 17th-century French priest and encyclopaedist
Louis Moréri, among others, is that it was spread by supporters of Cardinal
Girolamo Simoncelli in support of his bid to become pope during the 1590 conclave to replace
Urban VII. In the prophecy, the pope following Urban VII is given the description "
Ex antiquitate Urbis" ("from the old city"), and Simoncelli was from
Orvieto, which in Latin is , "old city". Moréri and others proposed the prophecy was created in an unsuccessful attempt to demonstrate that Simoncelli was destined to be pope. However, the discovery of a reference to the prophecy in a 1587 letter has cast doubt on this theory. In this document the entourage of Cardinal
Giovanni Girolamo Albani interprets the motto
De rore coeli ("From the dew of the sky") as a reference to their master, on the base of the link between
alba ("dawn") and Albani, and the
dew, as a typical morning atmospheric phenomenon. ==Interpretation==