Since the Kellwasser-related extinctions occurred over such a long time, it is difficult to assign a single cause, and indeed to separate cause from effect. From the end of the Middle Devonian (), into the Late Devonian ( to ), several environmental changes can be detected from the sedimentary record, which directly affected organisms and caused extinction. What caused these changes is somewhat more open to debate. Possible triggers for the Kellwasser event are as follows:
Anoxia The main geological marker of the Kellwasser event is an abundance of
black shale, which forms in stable
anoxic (oxygen-deprived) seawater. Anoxic conditions correlate better with biotic crises than phases of cooling, suggesting anoxia may have played the dominant role in extinction. Numerous sites preserve a rapid increase in the rate of
organic carbon burial and corresponding widespread anoxia in oceanic bottom waters. Shallow-water disruptions include
photic zone euxinia: oxygen deprivation and a high concentration of toxic sulfides even in sunlit surface waters. This extreme case is documented by concurrent negative ∆199Hg and positive δ202Hg excursions in the North American Devonian Seaway. Elevated
molybdenum concentrations further support widespread euxinic waters. There is good evidence for high-frequency sea-level changes around the Frasnian–Famennian Kellwasser event, with one transgression (
sea-level rise) associated with the onset of anoxic deposits; marine transgressions likely helped spread deoxygenated waters onto the
continental shelf. Negative δ238U excursions coinciding with both the Lower and Upper Kellwasser events provide direct evidence for an increase in anoxia. The timing, magnitude, and causes of Kellwasser anoxia remain poorly understood. Trace metal proxies in black shales from New York state point to anoxic conditions only occurring intermittently, being interrupted by oxic (oxygen-rich) intervals, further indicating that anoxia was not globally synchronous. The same finding is supported by the prevalence of seabed-living
cyanobacterial mats in the
Holy Cross Mountains in the time period around the Kellwasser event. Based on select European sections, some authors argued that Kellwasser anoxia was relegated to epicontinental seas and developed as a result of upwelling of poorly oxygenated waters within ocean basins into shallow waters rather than a global oceanic anoxic event that intruded into epicontinental seas.
Weathering aided by land plants '', one of the earliest plants with deep roots capable of fracturing bedrock to release nutrients into the global system. During the
Late Silurian and Devonian, land plants, assisted by fungi, underwent a hugely significant phase of evolution known as the
Silurian-Devonian Terrestrial Revolution. Their maximum height went from 30 cm at the start of the Devonian, to
archaeopterid trees, at the end of the period. This increase in height was made possible by the evolution of advanced
vascular systems, which permitted the growth of complex branching and rooting systems. These new vascular systems allowed plants to colonise drier areas previously off-limits to them. At the same time, the evolution of seeds let plants reproduce and disperse in areas which were not waterlogged, enabling them to spread further into inhospitable inland and upland areas. These tall trees required deep rooting systems to acquire water and nutrients, and to provide anchorage. The roots broke up the upper layers of bedrock and stabilized a deep layer of soil, which could have reached several meters thick. In contrast, early Devonian plants bore only
rhizoids and
rhizomes that could penetrate no more than a few centimeters. The mobilization of a large portion of soil had a huge effect: soil promotes
weathering, the chemical breakdown of rocks. This released previously untapped swathes of ions such as
phosphates, which are nutrients for plants and algae. The idea that deep-rooting land plants contributed to anoxia has been conjectural for decades, since land-based sediments are very rare during the Late Devonian. One site in
Greenland is a promising exception to this rule, tracking nutrient flows and climate change in inland lake deposits. The site's geochemical signals support a link between plant-led weathering,
phosphorus runoff, and global cooling. According to one study, surges of volcanic activity would lead to high CO2 levels, and thus a warm, wet climate which encouraged plant growth. In response, the spread of plants would increase weathering and CO2 drawdown, creating massive anoxia and forcing the climate to shift to colder, drier conditions, moreso than before the volcanic activity. This cycle apparently repeated twice, once for each pulse of the Kellwasser Event. Another study used the same site to suggest increased river activity, not plants, as a main driver of weathering during a hot wet phase of the climate.
Global cooling A positive
δ18O excursion is observed across the Frasnian-Famennian boundary in brachiopods from
North America, Germany,
Spain,
Morocco, Siberia, and
China; conodont apatite δ18O excursions also occurred at this time. A similar positive δ18O excursion in phosphates is known from the boundary, corresponding to a removal of atmospheric carbon dioxide and a global cooling event. This oxygen isotope excursion is known from time-equivalent strata in South China and in the western
Palaeotethys, suggesting it was a globally synchronous climatic change. Alignment between the drop in global temperatures and the swift decline of metazoan reefs placed blame on global cooling as a factor in the extinction event. The revolutionary spread of land plants during the Devonian corresponds to a long-term drop in CO2 levels in the atmosphere. Since is a greenhouse gas, reduced levels might have helped produce a chillier climate, in contrast to the warm climate of the Middle Devonian. The weathering of silicate rocks also draws down CO2 from the atmosphere, and CO2 sequestration by mountain building has been suggested as a cause of the decline in greenhouse gases during the Frasnian-Famennian transition. This mountain-building may have also enhanced biological sequestration through an increase in nutrient runoff. The combination of silicate weathering and the burial of organic matter to decreased atmospheric CO2 concentrations from about 15 to three times present levels. Carbon in the form of plant matter would be produced on prodigious scales, and given the right conditions, could be stored and buried, eventually producing vast coal measures (e.g. in China) which locked the carbon out of the atmosphere and into the
lithosphere. This reduction in atmospheric would have caused global cooling and resulted in at least one period of late Devonian glaciation (and subsequent sea level fall),
Volcanism Magmatism was suggested as a cause of the Late Devonian extinction in 2002. The end of the Devonian Period had extremely widespread
trap magmatism and rifting in the Russian and Siberian platforms, which were situated above the hot mantle plumes and suggested as a cause of the Frasnian / Famennian and end-Devonian extinctions. The Viluy Large igneous province, located in the
Vilyuysk region on the
Siberian Craton, covers most of the present day north-eastern margin of the Siberian Platform. The triple-junction rift system was formed during the Devonian Period; the Viluy rift is the western remaining branch of the system and two other branches form the modern margin of the Siberian Platform. Volcanic rocks are covered with post Late Devonian–Early Carboniferous sediments. Volcanic rocks,
dyke belts, and
sills that cover more than 320,000 km2, and a gigantic amount of magmatic material (more than 1 million km3) formed in the Viluy branch. Viluy Traps activity may have also enabled euxinia by fertilising the oceans with sulphate, increasing rates of microbial sulphate reduction. Recent studies have confirmed a correlation between Viluy traps in the
Vilyuysk region on the
Siberian Craton and the Kellwasser extinction by 40Ar/39Ar dating. Ages show that the two volcanic phase hypotheses are well supported and the weighted mean ages of each volcanic phase are and Ma, or and Ma, which the first volcanic phase is in agreement with the age of Ma proposed for the Kellwasser event. However, the second volcanic phase is slightly older than Hangenberg event, which is dated to around Ma. However, not all sites show evidence of mercury enrichment across the Frasnian-Famennian boundary, leading other studies to reject volcanism as an explanation for the crisis. Remains of this caldera can be found in the modern day state of Victoria, Australia. Eovariscan volcanic activity in present-day Europe may have also played a role in conjunction with the Viluy Traps. == Other potential factors ==