Levins' original model applied to a metapopulation distributed over many patches of suitable habitat with significantly less interaction between patches than within a patch. Population dynamics within a patch were simplified to the point where only presence and absence were considered. Each patch in his model is either populated or not. Let
N be the fraction of patches occupied at a given time. During a time
dt, each occupied patch can become unoccupied with an
extinction probability edt. Additionally, 1 −
N of the patches are unoccupied. Assuming a constant rate
c of
propagule generation from each of the
N occupied patches, during a time
dt, each unoccupied patch can become occupied with a colonization probability
cNdt . Accordingly, the time rate of change of occupied patches,
dN/dt, is : \frac{dN}{dt} = cN(1-N) - eN.\, This equation is mathematically equivalent to the
logistic model, with a carrying capacity
K given by : K = 1 - \frac{e}{c}\, and growth rate
r : r = c - e.\, At equilibrium, therefore, some fraction of the species's habitat will always be unoccupied. == Stochasticity and metapopulations ==