World War I took a chaotic turn in 1918 for the Ottoman Empire. With
Yudenich's
Russian Caucasus Army deserting after the collapse of the Russian Empire, the Ottomans regained ground in
Armenia and even pushed into formerly Russian-controlled Caucasus with, at first,
Vehip Pasha's
Ottoman 3rd Army and, later beginning in June 1918, with
Nuri Pasha's
Army of Islam which excluded German officers and men. The
Caucasus Campaign put the Ottomans at odds with their ally, Germany, which had been hoping to purchase Caucasus oil from the Bolshevik government in Moscow, while the Ottomans wanted to establish their eastern borders. The Ottoman armies advanced far into Caucasus, gathering supporters as far away as
Tashkent, on the eastern side of the
Caspian Sea. Additionally, with the Bolsheviks in power in Moscow, chaos spread in
Persia, as the Russo-British favoring government of
Ahmad Shah Qajar lost authority outside of the capital. In contrast, in Syria, the Ottomans were steadily pushed back by British forces, culminating in the
fall of Damascus in October 1918. Hopes were initially high for the Ottomans that their losses in
Syria might be compensated with successes in the Caucasus.
Enver Pasha, one of the most influential members of the Ottoman government, maintained an optimistic stance, hid information that made the Ottoman position appear weak, and led most of the Ottoman elite to believe that the war was still winnable. Developments in
Southeast Europe quashed the Ottoman government's hopes. The
Macedonian front, also known as the
Salonika campaign, had been largely stable since 1916. In September 1918 the
Allied forces (under the command of
Louis Franchet d'Espèrey) mounted a
sudden offensive which proved quite successful. The Bulgarian army was defeated, and
Bulgaria was forced to sue for peace in the
Armistice of Salonica. That undermined both the German and Ottoman cause simultaneously, as the Germans had no troops to spare to defend
Austria-Hungary from the newly formed vulnerability in Southeastern Europe after the
losses it had suffered in France, and the Ottomans suddenly faced having to defend
Constantinople against an overland European siege without help from the Bulgarians. Grand Vizier
Talaat Pasha visited
Berlin, Germany, and
Sofia, Bulgaria in September 1918. He came away with the understanding that the war was no longer winnable. With Germany likely seeking a separate peace, the Ottomans would be forced to do so as well. Talaat convinced the other members of the ruling party that they must resign, as the Allies would impose far harsher terms if they thought the people who started the war were still in power. He also sought out the United States to see if he could surrender to them and gain the benefits of the
Fourteen Points despite the Ottoman Empire and the United States not being at war; however, the Americans never responded, as they were waiting on British advice as to how to respond that never came. On 13 October Talaat and the rest of his ministry resigned.
Ahmed Izzet Pasha replaced Talaat as Grand Vizier. Two days after taking office he sent the captured British General
Charles Vere Ferrers Townshend to the Allies to seek terms on an armistice. ==Negotiations==