The rise of natural gas as Bolivia's most important export occurred at the same time another important moment of the country's history was happening – it was also during the 1980s that civilian rule and democratic government were restored. This was a moment where many privatizations occurred, and private investment was a big part of the blossoming of the Bolivia natural gas industry. These events help us understand the current situation of natural gas in Bolivia.
Background What preceded the return to democratic government in the 1980s was a long period of instability. After the
Chaco War (1932–1935), during the period of 1936 until 1952, Bolivia had ten presidents (six military). This was a period in which the power was divided between the National Revolutionary Movement (MNR) and military rule. The most significant changes came with the elections of 1985, which brought to power president
Paz Estenssoro (MNR founder), his fourth time as president since 1952. Estenssoro abandoned his left-wing allies and his own populist past and "decreed one of the most austere economic stabilization packages ever implemented in Latin America" But the referendum had no direct impact on the future of the energy sector. In light of these events, new presidential elections were held in 2005. Discontent with the result of the implementation of these reforms throughout the past decades (that ultimately led to the “Bolivian gas war”) definitely contributed to the election of Evo Morales in 2005, since he defended a return to the model of strong state intervention in the economy Morales kept his campaign promises and nationalized the gas industry soon after elected, in May 2006. After signing a decree to nationalize the natural gas industry, President
Evo Morales dramatically took over and occupied installations by using military force on May 1, 2005. Even though he stated that expropriations would not occur, the short period of six months given to renegotiate contracts put great pressure on the main foreign companies exploring for natural gas in Bolivia. The state-owned Brazilian company
Petrobrás, was among the most affected, since it was one of Bolivia's largest foreign investors and controlled 14% of the country's natural gas reserves, which in consequence created large concerns in the Brazilian government. Ultimately, negotiations took place and no further hostilities happened, resulting in agreements with all the companies involved. With the agreements "(…) the state raised its share of the revenues from the two giant fields from 50 percent to 82 percent, while taking only a 60 percent share at Bolivia's minor deposits." In December 2009, Evo Morales was re-elected for another 5 year-term, winning with 63 percent of the ballots according to unofficial counts by two polling firms. Much of his re-election had to do with his natural gas policy. Higher prices for the natural gas and also minerals, which account for the bulk of Bolivia's exports, have helped sustain economic growth and also President Morales' approval. Enjoying popularity, Morales has also tightened state control not only over the hydrocarbons sector, but also over the mining sector. He has nationalized the main phone company in Bolivia and showed intentions to also control the electrical power industry. "But many analysts believe Morales will be careful not to alienate the foreign investors he needs to increase raw materials output. [In November 2009], Bolivia received a pledge of a $1.5 billion investment from the Spanish-Argentine company Repsol for natural gas development." ==Exploration, development, and production==