The terminology "reverse epidemiology" was first proposed by
Kamyar Kalantar-Zadeh in the journal
Kidney International in 2003 and in the
Journal of the American College of Cardiology in 2004. It is a contradiction to prevailing medical concepts of prevention of
atherosclerosis and
cardiovascular disease; however, active
prophylactic treatment of heart disease in otherwise healthy,
asymptomatic people has been and is controversial in the medical community for several years. The mechanism responsible for this reversed association is unknown, but it has been theorized that, in
chronic kidney disease patients, "The common occurrence of persistent
inflammation and protein energy wasting in advanced CKD [chronic kidney disease] seems to a large extent to account for this paradoxical association between traditional risk factors and CV [cardiovascular] outcomes in this patient population." Other research has proposed that the paradox also may be explained by
adipose tissue storing
lipophilic chemicals that would otherwise be toxic to the body. The obesity paradox (excluding the cholesterol paradox) was first described in 1999 in overweight and obese people undergoing
hemodialysis, and has subsequently been found in those with
heart failure,
myocardial infarction,
acute coronary syndrome,
chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD),
pulmonary embolisms, and in older
nursing home residents. While obese people have twice the risk of developing heart failure compared to individuals with a normal BMI, once a person experiences heart failure, those with a BMI between 30.0 and 34.9 had lower mortality than those with a normal BMI. This observation fits into the broader concept of
Cuomo's paradox, in which a factor associated with disease occurrence bears the opposite association with mortality among individuals with the disease. The obesity paradox has been attributed to the fact that people often lose weight when they have severe and chronic illness (a syndrome called
cachexia). Similar findings have been made in other types of heart disease. Among people with heart disease, those with class I obesity do not have greater rates of further heart problems than people of normal weight. In people with greater degrees of obesity, however, risk of further events is increased. Even after
cardiac bypass surgery, no increase in mortality is seen in the overweight and obese. One study found that the improved survival could be explained by the more aggressive treatment obese people receive after a cardiac event. Another found that if one takes into account COPD in those with
peripheral artery disease, the benefit of obesity no longer exists. The obesity paradox is also relevant in discussion of
weight loss as a preventative health measure – weight-cycling (a repeated pattern of losing and then regaining weight) is more common in obese people, and has health effects commonly assumed to be caused by obesity, such as
hypertension,
insulin resistance, and cardiovascular diseases. == Criticisms ==