Previous events Mobilization in the DPR and LPR was announced after the aggravation of the situation on the line of contact in mid-February – 5 days before the start of a full-scale
Russian invasion of Ukraine. The chain of events began on 15 February 2022, when the
State Duma of the Russian Federation supported appeals to the president for immediate
recognition of the self-proclaimed Donetsk and Luhansk republics to ensure "protection against external threats." On 16 February,
NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said that despite public statements about the withdrawal of troops, Russia is building up a grouping on the border with Ukraine. Starting in the evening of the same day, the OSCE Special Monitoring Mission to Ukraine recorded a multiple increase in the number of explosions in the area of the line of contact. At a meeting of the
UN Security Council on 17 February, US Secretary of State
Antony Blinken said that Russia was preparing a subtext for an attack on Ukraine, and the next day,
US President Joe Biden suggested that
Vladimir Putin had decided to start a war and invade Ukraine in the coming days. On the evening of 18 February, the authorities of the DPR and LPR published appeals by
Denis Pushilin and
Leonid Pasechnik, who announced the
mass evacuation of civilians to Russia due to the allegedly expected invasion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces into territories not controlled by Ukraine at any moment. Investigators from
Bellingcat noted that the appeals were actually recorded on 16 February – even before the escalation began. At the same time, Pushilin himself focuses on the date on the video recording: “from today, 18 February. The next day, 19 February, general mobilization was announced in both republics, and men aged 18–55 were forbidden to leave the DPR and LPR.
Armed formations The
Minsk agreements signed in 2015 contained clauses on the withdrawal of all foreign armed formations and military equipment, as well as the "disarmament of all illegal groups" in the
Donetsk and
Luhansk regions. The DPR and LPR had their own armed forces – the so-called "people's militias", which were armed with heavy armored vehicles and artillery. The journalists noted that the Russian military was engaged in their creation, and the Ukrainian authorities even called them Russian army corps under the command of the leadership of the
Southern Military District and emphasized that the "people's militia" had a structure, charters and uniforms identical to those in the Russian army. In the absence of
conscription for military service in the DPR and LPR in 2015–2022, the "people's militias" were formed on a contract basis. On 29 January 2015, the chief of Ukraine's General Military Staff
Viktor Muzhenko said 'the Ukrainian army is not engaged in combat operations against Russian regular units,' but that he had information about Russian civilian and military individuals fighting alongside 'illegal armed groups in combat activities.' According to the
RAND Corporation, "Russia has armed, trained, and led the separatist forces. But even by Kyiv's own estimates, the vast majority of rebel forces consist of locals—not soldiers of the regular Russian military." As of February 2018, the number of separatist forces were estimated at 31,000 out of which 80% (25,000) were Donbas residents, 15% (≈5,000) were military contractors from Russia and other countries and 3% (900–1,000) were regular Russian armed forces personnel. According to Ukrainian intelligence, up to a quarter of the personnel were regular Russian military, 40% were "volunteers" from Russia.
BBC journalists noted that those who could not sign a contract in their homeland due to criminal records or debts were accepted into the armed formations of the DPR and LPR. However, neither independent journalists nor employees of the Russian state media had detailed information about what was happening in the armed forces of the republics. Three days after the start of mobilization, by decrees of the heads of the DPR and LPR, compulsory conscription was extended to all men aged 18–27, regardless of military experience. Public and private enterprises were ordered to provide lists of military-age employees for mobilization. == Progress of mobilization ==