The economic impact of this significant oil discovery has been the subject of significant debate in Guyana, including during the
2020 general election. Some observers, including
Transparency International, have evoked the possibility of oil production creating a
resource curse in Guyana as has happened in similar resource-rich countries. There are also concerns regarding large international companies getting an unfair share of oil royalties. Natural-resources watchdog group
Global Witness reported that Guyana may have lost as much as $55 billion in potential revenue from negotiations that favored Exxon. Exxon refuted the claim based on unaccounted-for costs of the high risk involved in exploring the "frontier hydrocarbon province". Global Witness withdrew its report in January 2021, redirecting its efforts to focus on fighting
climate change. In 2022, Guyana announced new model petroleum contracts to increase its share of revenue from oil production. The new contracts add a corporate tax and increase the royalty rate to 10%. However, the new terms do not apply to ExxonMobil's Stabroek Block, where all current crude oil production occurs and for which ExxonMobil pays a royalty rate of 2%.
Border dispute with Venezuela The oil and gas discoveries in Guyana since 2015 have increased tensions with neighboring
Venezuela. Officials in Caracas, which has long had
claims on Guyana's Essequibo region, have alleged that the concession is located in disputed waters. This isn't the first offshore border dispute; in 1968, then-Guyanese Prime Minister
Forbes Burnham addressed the United Nations over Venezuelan claims of an area up to 12 miles from the disputed territories. Prior to this, a border award was agreed upon in 1899 as the result of a case overseen by U.S. Chief Justice
Melville Fuller. However, in 1954 a memorandum by one of the lawyers was published posthumously, alleging that the award unfairly benefited
British Guiana. In March 2025, a Venezuelan patrol ship entered Guyanese waters and made radio contact with ExxonMobil
floating production storage and offloading (FPSO) vessels in the Stabroek Block, warning that they were "operating in the exclusive economic zone of Venezuela". Guyanese President
Irfaan Ali said: "This incursion is a matter of grave concern. Guyana’s maritime boundaries are recognized under international law. This is a serious development concerning our nation’s maritime territory. We will not tolerate threats to territorial integrity." Ali also indicated that he had triggered a military response, including the deployment of air assets and Guyana's coast guard. In response, the Venezuelan government accused Ali of "telling bald-faced lies" and claimed that the waters that their ship entered were not part of Guyanese territory but a maritime zone pending delimitation in accordance with international law. The
Organization of American States (OAS) released a statement condemning Venezuela's action, saying: "Such acts of intimidation constitute a clear violation of international law, undermine regional stability, and threaten the principles of peaceful coexistence between nations". == Regulation ==