MarketPrior-free mechanism
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Prior-free mechanism

A prior-free mechanism (PFM) is a mechanism in which the designer does not have any information on the agents' valuations, not even that they are random variables from some unknown probability distribution.

Deterministic empirical distribution
For every agent i, let F_{-i} be the empirical distribution function calculated based on the valuations of all agents except i. Use the Bayesian-optimal mechanism with F_{-i} to calculate price and allocation for agent i. Obviously, the bid of agent i affects only the prices paid by other agents and not his own price; therefore, the mechanism is truthful. This "empirical Myerson mechanism" works in some cases but not in others. Here is a case in which it works quite well. Suppose we are in a digital goods auction. We ask the buyers for their valuation of the good, and get the following replies: • 51 buyers bid "$1" • 50 buyers bid "$3". For each of the buyers in group 1, the empirical distribution is 50 $1-buyers and 50 $3-buyers, so the empirical distribution function is "0.5 chance of $1 and 0.5 chance of $3". For each of the buyers in group 2, the empirical distribution is 51 $1-buyers and 49 $3-buyers, so the empirical distribution function is "0.51 chance of $1 and 0.49 chance of $3". The Bayesian-optimal price in both cases is $3. So in this case, the price given to all buyers will be $3. Only the 50 buyers in group 2 agree to that price, so our profit is $150. This is an optimal profit (a price of $1, for example, would give us a profit of only $101). In general, the empirical-Myerson mechanism works if the following are true: • There are no feasibility constraints (no issues of incompatibility between allocations to different agents), like in a digital goods auction; • The valuations of all agents are drawn independently from the same unknown distribution; • The number of the agents is large. Then, the profit of the empirical Myerson mechanism approaches the optimum. If some of these conditions are not true, then the empirical-Myerson mechanism might have poor performance. Here is an example. Suppose that: • 10 buyers bid "$10"; • 91 buyers bid "$1". For each buyer in group 1, the empirical distribution function is "0.09 chance of $10 and 0.91 chance of $1" so the Bayesian-optimal price is $1. For each buyer in group 2, the empirical distribution function is "0.1 chance of $10 and 0.9 chance of $1" so the Bayesian-optimal price is $10. The buyers in group 1 pay $1 and the buyers in group 2 do not want to pay $10, so we end up with a profit of $10. In contrast, a price of $1 for everyone would have given us a profit of $101. Our profit is less than %10 of the optimum. This example can be made arbitrarily bad. Moreover, this example can be generalized to prove that: ::There do not exist constants b,c and a symmetric deterministic truthful auction, that attains a profit of at least OPT/b - h\cdot c in all cases in which the agents' valuations are in [1,h]. == Random sampling ==
Random sampling
In a typical random-sampling mechanism, the potential buyers are divided randomly to two sub-markets. Each buyer goes to each sub-market with probability 1/2, independently of the others. In each sub-market we compute an empirical distribution function, and use it to calculate the prices for the other sub-market. An agent's bid affects only the prices in the other market and not in his own market, so the mechanism is truthful. In many scenarios it provides a good approximation of the optimal profit, even in worst-case scenarios; see Random-sampling mechanism for references. == Consensus estimates ==
Consensus estimates
A consensus-estimate is a function that, with high probability, cannot be influenced by a single agent. For example, if we calculate the maximum profit that we can extract from a given set of buyers, then any buyer can influence the profit by reporting untruthfully. But if we round the maximum profit to the nearest $1000 below it, and the bids are bounded by e.g. $10, then, with high probability, a single bid will not affect the outcome at all. This guarantees that the mechanism is truthful. The consensus-estimate function should be selected carefully in order to guarantee a good profit approximation; see Consensus estimate for references. == References ==
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