Population dynamics A 2008 study, based on a 2004 survey, estimated that 950 crocodile lizards were left in China, split into eight isolated subpopulations. The largest subpopulation, with around 350 individuals, represents 36% of the entire population in China. A 1978 survey estimated the presence of 6,000 individuals, while a 1990 survey estimated around 2,500 individuals in the entirety of China. This points to severe population decline, on the order of 70-90% per subpopulation, in the 1978–2004 period. Five subpopulations appear to have been
extirpated, including the only sites known from
Hunan province. The smallest surviving subpopulations are likely unsustainable due to a lack of genetic diversity. Habitat loss will be amplified by
climate change: one model argues that forest habitats with a climate suitable for the Chinese subspecies will be eliminated by 2080. The species was introduced into the international pet trade in the 1980s, with exports increasing to several hundred per year by the late 1980s. Population decline linked to increasing exports led to the species being listed on
CITES Appendix II in 1990. In 1990, export listings abruptly shifted to the claim that sold individuals were captive bred. However, most exported specimens were likely illegally harvested, as the number of exports has sharply increased with demand despite a lack of evidence for breeding facilities among sellers. The relative number of observed adults in the Vietnamese population sharply declined from 2013 to 2015, even as new sites were discovered. This trend is consistent with illegal collection, as the Vietnamese subspecies was introduced into the pet trade around the same time. In some cases, the number of traded animals approaches or exceeds the wild population estimate, suggesting the presence of undiscovered subpopulations known only to collectors.
Isotope analyses have shown that the scales of captive bred individuals are enriched in
carbon-13 and
nitrogen-15, likely a result of being fed with protein-loaded feeding insects. This forensic technique may help to differentiate true captive bred individuals from wild caught lizards which are merely labelled as captive bred. File:Shinisaurus crocodilurus - Tiergarten Schönbrunn 3.jpg|
Schönbrunn Zoo File:Chinese Crocodile Lizard (6878893707).jpg|
Houston Zoo File:Krokodilschwanz-Höckerechse (Shinisaurus crocodilurus) (2).JPG|
Wilhelma File:Chin-krokodilschwanzechse-01.jpg|
Cologne Zoo File:SDC10893 - Shinisaurus crocodilurus (Chinesische Krokodilschwanzechse).JPG|
Leipzig Zoo ==References==