As the weather synoptics of the northern
Pacific Ocean transitioned into a late-fall to early winter-type pattern,
convection from the
monsoon trough extended to the east of the
International Date Line. During late November, a westerly disturbance developed into twin
troughs on opposite sides of the
equator; the one in the
Southern Hemisphere eventually developed into
Tropical Cyclone Pam, while the one in the
Northern Hemisphere formed into an area of convection about southwest of
Hawaii. The disturbance gradually organized as it drifted north-northeastward, and on 28 November it developed into Tropical Depression Five-C about west-northwest of
Palmyra Atoll. Operationally, the
Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) did not begin issuing warnings on the system until 2 December. The tropical depression continued drifting north-northeastward, and failed to strengthen significantly. It turned to the west on 1 December, due to the presence of a strong
anticyclone to its north with a
ridge extending westward past the
International Date Line. On 2 December, based on satellite estimates, the CPHC upgraded the depression to Tropical Storm Paka while located about south-southeast of
Johnston Atoll. Due to the presence of high
clouds across the area, forecasters had difficulty at times in locating the low-level circulation. After becoming a tropical storm, Paka remained nearly stationary for about two days before resuming a slow motion to the west-southwest. It steadily intensified due to warm water temperatures, and on 3 December the storm attained winds of . The next day, however, it encountered dry air and began weakening; by 6 December, the winds had decreased to minimal tropical storm status for about 12 hours. Subsequently, Paka began to re-intensify, and on 7 December the storm crossed the
International Date Line into the western North Pacific Ocean with winds of . The
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) unofficially assumed warning duties for interests in the
United States Department of Defense. Paka continued to intensify after crossing the date line, and from late on 7 December through early the following day it remained a strong tropical storm. However, upper-level
wind shear increased, and it again weakened. At 1200 UTC on 9 December, the JTWC assessed Paka as an tropical storm and forecast it to continue weakening. By 10 December, the shear had begun to decrease as the storm moved through the
Marshall Islands, and that night the JTWC upgraded Paka to typhoon status. It slowed and began to re-intensify as it continued westward, and at 0530 UTC on 16 December the northern portion of the outer eyewall of Paka passed over the island of
Rota; 20 minutes later, the southern portion of the inner wall cloud moved across northern
Guam. Shortly thereafter, Paka moved through an area of progressively increasing
wind shear, which resulted in a steady weakening trend. By 21 December, winds decreased to tropical storm status. The next day, it degenerated into a tropical depression before it dissipated on 23 December. ==Preparations and impact==