Syndromic surveillance is the analysis of medical data to detect or anticipate
disease outbreaks. According to a CDC definition, "the term 'syndromic surveillance' applies to surveillance using health-related data that precede diagnosis and signal a sufficient probability of a case or an outbreak to warrant further public health response. Though historically syndromic surveillance has been utilized to target investigation of potential cases, its utility for detecting outbreaks associated with
bioterrorism is increasingly being explored by public health officials." The first indications of disease outbreak or
bioterrorist attack may not be the definitive diagnosis of a
physician or a lab. Using a normal
influenza outbreak as an example, once the outbreak begins to affect the population, some people may call in sick for work/school, others may visit their drug store and purchase medicine over the counter, others will visit their doctor's office and other's may have symptoms severe enough that they call the
emergency telephone number or go to an
emergency department. Syndromic surveillance systems monitor data from school absenteeism logs, emergency call systems, hospitals' over-the-counter drug sale records, Internet searches, and other data sources to detect unusual patterns. When a spike in activity is seen in any of the monitored systems disease
epidemiologists and public health professionals are alerted that there may be an issue. An early awareness and response to a
bioterrorist attack could save many lives and potentially stop or slow the spread of the outbreak. The most effective syndromic surveillance systems automatically monitor these systems in real-time, do not require individuals to enter separate information (secondary data entry), include advanced analytical tools, aggregate data from multiple systems, across geo-political boundaries and include an automated alerting process. A syndromic surveillance system based on search queries was first proposed by
Gunther Eysenbach, who began work on such a system in 2004. Inspired by these early, encouraging experiences,
Google launched
Google Flu Trends in 2008. More flu-related searches are taken to indicate higher flu activity. The results, which were published in
Nature, closely matched CDC data, and led it by 1–2 weeks. However, it has been shown that the original approach behind Google Flu Trends had various modelling deficiencies leading to significant errors in its estimates. More recently, a series of more advanced linear and nonlinear approaches to influenza modeling from Google search queries have been proposed. Extending Google's work researchers from the Intelligent Systems Laboratory (
University of Bristol, UK) created Flu Detector; an online tool which based on
Information Retrieval and
Statistical Analysis methods uses the content of
Twitter to nowcast flu rates in the UK.
Digital methods Digital surveillance of public health largely relies on a number of methods. The most important ones being the use of search-based trends on sites like Google and Wikipedia, social media posts on platforms like Facebook and Twitter, and participatory surveillance websites such as Flu Near You and Influenzanet. However the range of potential data sources suitable for disease surveillance has increased as different areas have become digitized; today school attendance records, hospital emergency admissions data and even sales data, can be used for syndromic surveillance purposes. Search trends provide indirect data on public health, while the latter two methods provide direct data.
Search aggregates Search aggregates have been most frequently used to track and model influenza. A popular example is
Google Flu Trends, which was first released in 2008. This methodology has also been used by Public Health England in the United Kingdom as one of their syndromic surveillance endpoints.
Social media Examples of social media public health surveillance include HealthTweets, which gathers data from Twitter. Twitter data is considered highly useful for public health research, as its data policies allow public access to 1% samples of raw tweets. Tweets can also be geolocated, which can be used to model the spread of contagious disease. It is the most used social media platform for public health surveillance.
Surveillance sites Flu Near You and
Influenzanet are two examples of crowd-sourced digital surveillance systems. Both sites recruit users to participate in surveys about influenza symptoms. Influenzanet was established in 2009, and operates in ten countries in Europe. Its predecessor was Grote Griepmeting, which was a Dutch/Belgian platform launched in 2003 and 2004. Flu Near You is used in the US. Another example of a surveillance sites is Dengue na Web, used to survey for
dengue fever in
Bahia, Brazil. ==Laboratory-based surveillance==