A test data set is a
data set that is
independent of the training data set, but that follows the same
probability distribution as the training data set. A test set is therefore a set of examples used only to assess the performance (i.e. generalization) of a specified classifier on unseen data. can also be employed, where the test set is used at the end, after training on the training set. Other techniques, such as cross-validation and
bootstrapping, are used on small data sets. The bootstrap method generates numerous simulated data sets of the same size by randomly sampling with replacement from the original data, allowing the random data points to serve as test sets for evaluating model performance. Cross-validation splits the data set into multiple folds, with a single sub-fold used as test data; the model is trained on the remaining folds, and all folds are cross-validated (with results averaged and models consolidated) to estimate final model performance. Note that some sources advise against using a single split, as it can lead to overfitting as well as biased model performance estimates. Methods such as
cross-validation are used, where the test set is separated and the training data set is further split into folds, with a sub-fold serving as the validation set to train the model; this is effective at reducing bias and variability in the model. There are many methods of cross-validation such as
nested cross-validation. of the fit shown in orange is 4 whereas the MSE for the fit shown in green is 9. In the test set, the MSE for the fit shown in orange is 15 and the MSE for the fit shown in green is 13. The orange curve severely overfits the training data, since its MSE increases by almost a factor of four when comparing the test set to the training set. The green curve overfits the training data much less, as its MSE increases by less than a factor of 2. == Confusion in terminology ==