tiMRD testing has many clinical applications in oncology care through the lifecycle of detection, treatment, monitoring, and prevention.
Detection Post-operative ctDNA detection is a strong independent predictor of recurrence risk across multiple cancers, including colorectal, lung, and bladder cancer. Patients testing positive for MRD after surgery have a significantly higher risk of relapse compared to those testing negative. For example, in the GALAXY study (
CRC), patients positive at 4 weeks post-surgery had a
hazard ratio for recurrence of 12 compared to negative patients.
Monitoring Serial ctDNA monitoring can detect molecular relapse several months earlier than standard radiographic imaging. Studies report median lead times of approximately 5 months or more. This provides a potential window for earlier intervention.
Treatment and prevention A major focus is using post-operative MRD status to guide
adjuvant therapy decisions. Clinical trials are underway (e.g., CIRCULATE-Japan VEGA/ALTAIR for CRC) investigating whether MRD-positive patients benefit from initiated or intensified ACT, and if MRD-negative patients can safely forgo ACT, thus sparing them toxicity. Initial studies suggest ctDNA status is a better predictor of ACT benefit than traditional staging. Changes in ctDNA levels during systemic therapy (chemotherapy,
targeted therapy, immunotherapy) can reflect treatment efficacy earlier than imaging. Clinical validation studies have demonstrated high performance of tiMRD tests. For instance, in colorectal cancer surveillance, certain tiMRD assays show sensitivity for detecting recurrence around 90% with serial testing and specificity exceeding 90%. == Mechanism ==