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2017 United States Senate special election in Alabama

The 2017 United States Senate special election in Alabama took place on December 12, 2017, in order to fill the Class II Senate seat for the remainder of the six year term. A vacancy arose after incumbent Republican Senator Jeff Sessions resigned from the Senate on February 8, 2017 to serve as the 84th U.S. attorney general. On February 9, 2017, Governor Robert J. Bentley appointed Luther Strange, the attorney general of Alabama, to fill the vacancy until a special election could take place. The special election was scheduled for December 12, 2017.

Background
Potential appointees Following then-President-elect Donald Trump's nomination of then-Senator Sessions to be U.S. attorney general, Robert Aderholt, a member of the United States House of Representatives, had asked to be appointed to the seat. Representative Mo Brooks had also expressed interest in the seat, while Strange had stated before being selected that he would run for the seat in the special election whether or not he was appointed. Other candidates Governor Bentley interviewed for the Senate appointment included Moore; Del Marsh, the president pro tempore of the Alabama Senate; and Jim Byard, the director of the Alabama Department of Economic and Community Affairs. A vacancy arose from Senator Jeff Sessions' February 8, 2017 resignation to serve as the 84th U.S. attorney general. On February 9, 2017, Governor Robert J. Bentley appointed State Attorney General Luther Strange to fill the vacancy until a special election could take place. Bentley controversially scheduled the special election to occur in 2018 instead of sooner. When Kay Ivey succeeded Bentley as Alabama's governor, she rescheduled the special election for December 12, 2017, a move she said was made to adhere with state law. ==Republican primary==
Republican primary
Campaign The Republican primary attracted national attention, especially following Trump's endorsement of incumbent Senator Luther Strange. Strange was backed by several key figures within the Republican establishment, most notably Mitch McConnell, the Senate Majority Leader. His two main rivals in the primary were former state judge Roy Moore and Congressman Mo Brooks. While Strange was expected to advance through the first round of the primary, almost every opinion poll showed him trailing Roy Moore in a potential runoff. Strange placed second behind Roy Moore, securing a spot in the runoff. Candidates NominatedRoy Moore, former chief justice of the Alabama Supreme Court and candidate for governor in 2006 and 2010 Eliminated in runoff Luther Strange, incumbent U.S. senator (appointed) and former attorney general of Alabama Eliminated in primary • James Beretta, physician • Joseph F. Breault, Air Force chaplain and nominee for the Utah House of Representatives in 2016Randy Brinson, gastroenterologist and activist • Mo Brooks, U.S. representative • Dom Gentile, businessman • Karen Jackson, attorney and perennial candidate • Mary Maxwell, candidate for NH-02 in 2006 • Bryan Peeples, businessman • Trip Pittman, state senator Withdrew Ed Henry, state representative (withdrew from race on May 17). DeclinedRobert Aderholt, U.S. representativeSlade Blackwell, state senator • Bradley Byrne, U.S. representative • Bill Hightower, state senator • Mary Scott Hunter, member of the Alabama State Board of Education • Jonathan McConnell, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016Glenn Murdock, associate justice of the Alabama Supreme Court • Gary Palmer, U.S. representative • Martha Roby, U.S. representative • Mike Rogers, U.S. representative • Connie Rowe, state representative • Cam Ward, state senator • Jim Zeigler, Alabama state auditor Endorsements First round Polling Averages Polling Fundraising Results ==Democratic primary==
Democratic primary
Candidates NominatedDoug Jones, former United States attorney for the Northern District of Alabama Eliminated in primaryWill Boyd, pastor, former Greenville, Illinois, city councilman, nominee for AL-05 in 2016 and write-in candidate for the U.S. Senate from Illinois in 2010 • Vann Caldwell, Talladega County constable and perennial candidate • Michael Hansen, activist and nonprofit executive • Robert Kennedy Jr., digital marketing executive for a laboratory supply company (no relation to the Massachusetts Kennedy family) • Charles Nana, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016 • Brian McGee, retired teacher and Vietnam War veteran DeclinedRoger Bedford, former state senator and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1996Elaine Beech, state representative • Sue Bell Cobb, former chief justice of the Supreme Court of AlabamaChris England, state representative • Gary Johnson, minister and political activist • Walt Maddox, mayor of TuscaloosaTerri Sewell, U.S. representative Endorsements Polling {| class="wikitable" Results ==Independents and write-in candidates==
Independents and write-in candidates
Candidates Declared • Ron Bishop (L, write-in) • Lee Busby (I, write-in), retired Marine colonel • Arlester "Mack" McBride (I, write-in) • Mac Watson (R, write-in) DeclinedCraig Ford, Democratic state representative ==General election==
General election
Roy Moore sexual misconduct allegations On November 9, The Washington Post reported that four women had accused Roy Moore of engaging in sexual conduct with them when they were teenagers and he was an assistant district attorney in his thirties. One of the women was 14 years old at the time, below the legal age of consent. A few days later a fifth woman said that she had received unwanted attention from Moore when she was 15 years old, and that in December 1977 or January 1978, when she was 16, Moore sexually assaulted her. Moore denied the allegations. After this, certain Republican leaders and conservative organizations withdrew their endorsements of Moore or asked him to drop out of the campaign. These included Texas Senator Ted Cruz, U.S. Attorney General and former seat holder Jeff Sessions, Ivanka Trump, the National Republican Senatorial Committee, former Republican presidential nominees Mitt Romney and John McCain, Republican Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, Ohio Governor John Kasich, Utah Senator Mike Lee, Montana Senator Steve Daines, and House Representatives Barbara Comstock, Carlos Curbelo, and Adam Kinzinger, as well as the Young Republican Federation of Alabama. The state's senior Senator Richard Shelby also refused to endorse Moore. Other conservative websites and organizations such as National Review urged readers not to vote for Moore. Despite this, Moore continued to receive support from the state party and a week before the election, President Donald Trump strongly endorsed Moore. Following Trump's endorsement, the RNC reinstated their support for him, and Republican leaders said they would "let the people of Alabama decide" whether to elect Moore. At the time of the revelations, it was too close to the election for Moore's name to be removed from the ballot, as Alabama law forbids any change to names on the ballot within 76 days of any primary or general election. Republican officials proposed various ways to promote an alternate Republican candidate. One suggestion was to ask Governor Kay Ivey to delay the special election until 2018, but Ivey said she had no plans to change the election date. Some Republicans such as Senator Lisa Murkowski floated the prospect of a write-in campaign to elect Luther Strange, with Utah Senator Orrin Hatch actively endorsing a write-in campaign for Strange. However, Strange said it was "highly unlikely" that he would run a write-in campaign. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell proposed Attorney General Jeff Sessions, who formerly held the Senate seat, as a write-in candidate. In late November, Retired Marine Col. Lee Busby launched a write-in campaign, stating that he thought there was room for a centrist in the race. Debates Republican nominee Roy Moore refused to debate Democratic nominee Doug Jones. Moore turned down debate invitations extended by the League of Women Voters, • Lee Busby (R) • Jeff "Cog" Coggin (I) • Chanda Mills Crutcher (I) • Eulas Kirtdoll (I) Endorsements Fundraising Polling :* Unpublished poll released on December 15 with Roy Moore on ballot and Luther Strange as write-in candidate: ==Results==
Results
At 9:23 p.m. CST on December 12, 2017, the Associated Press called the election for Jones; however, Moore refused to concede. Jones was sworn into office on January 3, 2018, becoming the first Democratic U.S. senator from Alabama since Howell Heflin left office in 1997. By county Counties that flipped from Republican to DemocraticBarbour (largest city: Eufaula) • Butler (largest city: Greenville) • Chambers (largest city: Valley) • Choctaw (largest town: Butler) • Clarke (largest city: Jackson) • Conecuh (largest city: Evergreen) • Lee (largest city: Auburn) • Madison (largest city: Huntsville) • Mobile (largest city: Mobile) • Pickens (largest city: Aliceville) • Talladega (largest city: Talladega) • Tuscaloosa (largest city: Tuscaloosa) • Jefferson (largest municipality: Birmingham) • Marengo (largest municipality: Linden) • Sumter (largest municipality: Livingston) • Greene (largest municipality: Eutaw) • Hale (largest municipality: Moundville) • Perry (largest municipality: Marion) • Dallas (largest municipality: Selma) • Wilcox (largest municipality: Camden) • Lowndes (largest municipality: Fort Deposit) • Montgomery (largest municipality: Montgomery) • Macon (largest municipality: Tuskegee) • Bullock (largest municipality: Union Springs) • Russell (largest city: Phenix City) ==Analysis==
Analysis
Doug Jones defeated Roy Moore by a margin of 21,924 votes. Voter turnout was 40.54% of Alabama's 3,326,812 registered voters. Jones won primarily by running up huge margins in the state's major cities, as well as winning 96% of African American voters. He also won a strong majority of voters with graduate degrees (58-39%), and came close to winning White women with college degrees in Alabama (45-52%). The state's four largest counties—Jefferson (home to the state's largest city of Birmingham), Mobile (home to Mobile), Madison (home to Huntsville), and Montgomery (home to the state capital of Montgomery)—all gave Jones 56 percent or more of the vote. He carried Jefferson by over 83,800 votes, and Montgomery by almost 30,500 votes; either county would have been more than enough to give him the victory. Jones also dominated the Black Belt. Jones won 61% of votes from voters under 45, and 51% of independent voters. While Moore dominated the state's rural areas outside of the Black Belt, he significantly underperformed Trump's totals in those areas, as well as the suburbs such as traditional GOP fortress Shelby County, which Moore won by a small margin. fundraising mailer distributed in 2018 with a reference to Jones' victory in the traditionally strongly Republican state of Alabama As of December 15, Moore demanded a recount and refused to concede the race, despite being urged by Trump, Bannon, and others to concede. In Alabama, if the final margin of victory is less than 0.5%, then a recount is automatically triggered. If not, then either candidate can request a recount at their own expense. However, Alabama Secretary of State John Merrill estimated that a recount could cost anywhere from $1 million to $1.5 million, an amount that would have had to be paid in full when the request is made. Moore had only $636,046 on hand by the time the campaign ended. A number of right-leaning websites pushed conspiracy theories about voter fraud providing the margin for Jones. Merrill noted on December 20 that the only outstanding ballots were 366 military ballots and 4,967 provisional ballots; even if all those votes were for Moore, it would not have been enough to trigger an automatic recount. Because the number of write-in votes was larger than Jones' margin of victory, the names written in were both counted and listed. Luther Strange, who lost the Republican primary to Moore, received the most write-in votes, followed by former White House aide Lee Busby, U.S. Rep. Mo Brooks, who also ran in the Republican Senate primary, Libertarian write-in candidate Ron Bishop, and Attorney General Jeff Sessions. Nick Saban, head coach for University of Alabama's football team, finished in seventh with more than 250 votes. After the election, Moore filed a lawsuit attempting to block the state from certifying the election and calling for an investigation into voter fraud. On December 28, 2017, a judge dismissed this lawsuit and state officials certified the election results, officially declaring Doug Jones the winner. Jones was sworn into office on January 3, 2018, by Vice President Mike Pence. The last Democrat to win a federal statewide election in Alabama was Richard Shelby in 1992, who switched to the Republican Party in late 1994. Voter demographics == See also ==
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