Obama vs. Ryan As a result of the GOP and Democratic primaries, Democrat
Barack Obama was pitted against Republican
Jack Ryan. Ryan trailed Obama in early polls, after the media reported that Ryan had assigned Justin Warfel, a Ryan campaign worker, to track Obama's appearances. The tactic backfired when many people, including Ryan's supporters, criticized this activity. Ryan's spokesman apologized, and promised that Warfel would give Obama more space. Obama acknowledged that it is standard practice to film an opponent in public, and Obama said he was satisfied with Ryan's decision to have Warfel back off. A few days later, on April 2, 2004, Barack Obama changed his position about the Ryans' soon-to-be-released divorce records, and called on Democrats to not inject them into the campaign. On June 22, 2004, after receiving the report from the court appointed referee, the judge released the files that were deemed consistent with the interests of Ryan's young child. In those files,
Jeri Ryan alleged that Jack Ryan had taken her to sex clubs in several cities, intending for them to have sex in public. The decision to release the files generated much controversy because it went against both parents' direct request, and because it reversed the earlier decision to seal the papers in the best interest of the child. Jim Oberweis, Ryan's defeated GOP opponent, commented that "these are allegations made in a divorce hearing, and we all know people tend to say things that aren't necessarily true in divorce proceedings when there is money involved and custody of children involved." But after the documents were released, GOP officials including state GOP Chair
Judy Baar Topinka said they felt Ryan had misleadingly indicated the divorce records would not be embarrassing. That charge of dishonesty led to intensifying calls for Ryan's withdrawal, though Topinka, who was considering running herself, said after the June 25 withdrawal that Ryan's "decision was a personal one" and that the state GOP had not pressured Ryan to drop out. Ryan's campaign ended less than a week after the custody records were opened, and Ryan officially filed the documentation to withdraw on July 29, 2004. Obama was left without an opponent.
Obama vs. Keyes The Illinois Republican State Central Committee chose former diplomat
Alan Keyes to replace Ryan as the Republican candidate after former governor
Jim Edgar, Topinka, and former
Chicago Bears head coach
Mike Ditka declined to run. Farm broadcaster
Orion Samuelson was prepared to accept the nomination but was forced to abandon those plans under a doctor's orders. Keyes, a
conservative Republican, faced an uphill battle. First, as a native of Maryland, he had almost no ties to Illinois. Second, he had an unsuccessful electoral track record, losing two races for U.S. Senate in Maryland by landslides and making unsuccessful bids for the Republican presidential nomination in 1996 and 2000. Third, Keyes's lack of electoral momentum enabled Obama to focus on campaigning in more conservative downstate regions, an unusual move for an Illinois Democrat. Media lambasted Keyes for what they considered his
parachute candidacy. The
Chicago Tribune published a scathing
editorial, calling him "[t]he GOP's rent-a-senator" and sarcastically listing basic facts about local geography for a candidate they suspected had no familiarity with the area: "Keyes may have noticed a large body of water as he flew into
O'Hare. That is called
Lake Michigan. It's large. It's wide. It's deep. And we'll spoil the surprise: You can't even see across it." In a similar vein,
The New York Times published an editorial decrying "the rank hypocrisy", recalling that four years earlier, Keyes had attacked
Hillary Clinton for establishing residency in New York for the first time only two months before announcing her U.S. Senate candidacy in that state. Keyes attacked Barack Obama for voting against a bill that would have outlawed a form of late-term abortion. Race became an issue in the contest between the two black candidates when Keyes claimed that he, not Obama, was the true "African-American". The black voters of Illinois voted 92% for Obama. Obama ran the most successful Senate campaign in 2004, and was so far ahead in polls that he soon began to campaign outside of Illinois in support of other Democratic candidates. He gave large sums of campaign funds to other candidates and the
Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and sent many of his volunteers to work on other races, including that of eventual three-term Congresswoman
Melissa Bean who defeated then-Congressman
Phil Crane in that year's election. Obama and Keyes differed on many issues including
school vouchers and tax cuts, both of which Keyes supported and Obama opposed.
Predictions Polling Jack Ryan vs. Barack Obama Results By county Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic ==Analysis==