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2022 Texas gubernatorial election

The 2022 Texas gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Texas. Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott won re-election to a third term, defeating the Democratic nominee, former Congressman Beto O'Rourke. All statewide elected offices were currently held by Republicans. In his previous gubernatorial race in 2018, Abbott won with 55.8% of the vote.

Republican primary
On June 4, 2021, Texas Republican Party chairman Allen West announced his resignation as party chair. West criticized Gov. Greg Abbott's handling of the COVID-19 pandemic in Texas. The history of conflict between West and Abbott included a lawsuit by West and other Republicans challenging Abbott's extension of the early voting period in 2020, as well as a protest outside the Governor's Mansion over pandemic-related shutdowns as well as mask mandates. On July 4, 2021, West announced that he would challenge Abbott in the 2022 gubernatorial primary. On March 1, 2022, Abbott won the Republican primary by a smaller margin than in 2018. Candidates NomineeGreg Abbott, incumbent governor and former Texas Attorney General Eliminated in primary • Paul G. Belew, criminal defense attorney • Danny Harrison, businessman • Kandy Kaye Horn, philanthropist • Don Huffines, former member of the Texas Senate • Ricky Lynn Perry, staffing agency employee • Chad Prather, podcaster / talk show host, activist, and stand-up comedian • Allen West, former chair of the Texas Republican Party and former U.S. representative for Withdrawn • Martin Holsome, former Rusk city councillor • Kurt Schwab, military veteran • Christi Craddick, Texas Railroad CommissionerSid Miller, Texas Agriculture Commissioner (running for re-election)Rick Perry, former governor and former U.S. Secretary of Energy Endorsements Polling --> Results ==Democratic primary==
Democratic primary
Candidates NomineeBeto O'Rourke, former U.S. representative for , nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018 and candidate for president of the United States in 2020 Eliminated in primary • Inocencio Barrientez, fitness trainer • Joy Diaz, reporter • Rich Wakeland, former advisor to Public Utility Commissioner Ken Anderson Disqualified • Jack Daniel Foster Jr., teacher • Joaquin Castro, U.S. representative for ''(endorsed O'Rourke)'' • Julián Castro, former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, former mayor of San Antonio, and candidate for president of the United States in 2020Wendy Davis, former state senator, nominee for governor in 2014, and nominee for in 2020Veronica Escobar, U.S. representative for , former El Paso commissioner, and former El Paso county judge (running for re-election)Lina Hidalgo, Harris County judge Endorsements Polling Results File:2022 Texas Governor Democratic Primary.svg|thumb|300px|Results by county:{{collapsible list ==Green primary==
Green primary
Candidates Declared • Delilah Barrios, environmental activist ==Libertarian convention==
Libertarian convention
Candidates Declared • Mark Jay Tippetts, attorney, former Lago Vista city councilman, and nominee for governor in 2018 Withdrew/disqualified • Dan Behrman, software engineer, internet personality, candidate for Texas House of Representatives in 2014, and candidate for President of the United States in 2020 • Andrew Jewell, industrial maintenance technician, Secretary of Libertarian Party of Dallas County, chair of Texas Libertarian Party Radical Caucus, and candidate for Dallas County Commissioner District 3 in 2020 ==Independents and other parties==
Independents and other parties
Candidates Declared • Jacqueline Abernathy, public health policies consultant and American Solidarity Party candidate • Deirdre Dickson-Gilbert, public educator (previously ran for Democratic nomination) • Ricardo Turullols-Bonilla, retired educator and write-in candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 Disqualified • Patrick Wynne, software engineer, data scientist and U.S. Navy veteran (Reform Party) DeclinedMatthew McConaughey, Academy Award-winning actor (no declared party affiliation) ==General election==
General election
Predictions Debates Post-primary endorsements Polling Aggregate polls --> Greg Abbott vs. Julián Castro '''Greg Abbott vs. Beto O'Rourke with Matthew McConaughey as an independent''' Greg Abbott vs. Don Huffines Greg Abbott vs. Matthew McConaughey Greg Abbott vs. generic Democrat Greg Abbott vs. generic opponent Results {{Election box begin {{Election box majority By county Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican Culberson (largest city: Van Horn) • Zapata (largest city: Zapata) Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic Fort Bend (largest city: Sugar Land) By congressional district Abbott won 25 of 38 congressional districts. == Analysis ==
Analysis
(mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive) partition of Texas into 12 regions Texas Democrats hoped for Beto O'Rourke to achieve an upset over the incumbent Greg Abbott, which did not materialize. Abbott won by 10.9%, down from 13.3% in 2018. Abbott's margin was slightly larger than aggregate polling, but virtually in line with the last poll conducted. He won the vast majority of counties (235 out of 254), mostly rural, and by significantly wide margins. In particular, 34 counties, mainly in West Texas and the Texas panhandle, gave Abbott over 90% of the vote. This was the most by any Texas Republican gubernatorial candidate, and the most for any candidate since Democrat Allan Shivers' 1954 re-election. Abbott won the three largest metro areas in the state, which include Dallas–Fort Worth–Arlington in North Texas, Houston–The Woodlands–Sugar Land in Southeast Texas, and San Antonio–New Braunfels in South-Central Texas. He also won all of the state's mid-sized metro areas outside of the Rio Grande Valley, which include Corpus Christi along the coastal bend; Waco, Killeen–Temple–Fort Hood, and Bryan–College Station in Central Texas; Beaumont–Port Arthur, Tyler and Longview in East Texas; Lubbock, Abilene, and Midland-Odessa in West Texas; and Amarillo in the Panhandle. Abbott also won an urban county, Tarrant, home to Fort Worth and did well in the suburban counties of the Texas Triangle, winning Brazoria, Galveston, and Montgomery counties around Houston; Comal and Guadalupe around San Antonio; Collin, Denton, Ellis, Kaufman, and Rockwall in the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex; and Williamson in Greater Austin. In DFW and Austin specifically, Republican strength had declined somewhat in these metros, with Abbott carrying Collin, Denton, Tarrant, and Williamson by 10.07%, 12.81%, 4.11%, and 0.62% respectively, down from his margins of 19.48%, 20.60%, 10.64%, and 10.71% from 2018. Excluding the largest metro areas, Abbott improved on his 2018 margins. O'Rourke, despite his loss, did best in most of Texas's urban centers. He carried Travis, home to the state capital Austin (72.6%-25.9%), his best performance in the state; El Paso, his home county, 63.4%-35%; Dallas (62.8%-35.9%); Bexar, home to San Antonio (57.5%-41.1%); and Harris, home to Houston (54%-44.5%). He also carried Hays, a rapidly growing county south of Austin which contains San Marcos and Texas State University along with fast-growing cities of Kyle, and Buda by 54.5%-43.7%. Despite improving on 2018 nominee Lupe Valdez's margins in these counties, he did worse in all of them compared to his Senate campaign in 2018, and, excluding Travis and Hays, worse than Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential race. The only county O'Rourke flipped was suburban Fort Bend outside Houston, which voted for Abbott by 0.2% in 2018, but voted for O'Rourke by 4.68% in this election. Outside the Texas Triangle and Trans Pecos, the only other area O'Rourke won was heavily Hispanic South Texas along the U.S. border with Mexico. His performance was worse than Valdez's and his own from 2018, which continued the trend of rural Hispanic voters away from the Democrats towards Republicans, but he did outperform Biden from 2020. Counties that voted for Biden by single digits like Duval (2.61%), Starr (5%), and Maverick (9.45%); voted for O'Rourke 11.02%, 17.85%, and 17.68% respectively. Despite this improvement from the 2020 presidential race, Abbott flipped two heavily Hispanic counties, Zapata and Culberson (in the Trans Pecos). Exit polls according to NBC News showed Abbott winning male (58%-41%) and female voters (51%-48%), whites (66%-33%), and other races (67%-31%), voters over 45 (60%-39%), college graduates (52%-47%) and non-college graduates (56%-43%), and voters who denied the results of the 2020 presidential election (94%-5%). O'Rourke won black voters (84%-15%), Latinos (57%-40%), Asians (52%-48%), voters between 18 and 44 (54%-44%), Independents (49%-47%) and moderates (60%-38%). Fox News Voter Analysis exit polls showed Abbott winning male (59%-39%) and female voters (51%-48%); whites (68%-30%) and other races and ethnicities (53%-42%); voters over 45 (61%-37%); college graduates (54%-44%), non-college graduates (56%-43%); white men (70%-28%); white women (67%-32%). O'Rourke won African Americans (81%-18%), Latinos (56%-42%); African American men (76%-24%); African American women (85%-13%) Latino men (55%-45%) and Latina women (61%-37%). Voter demographics Voter demographic data was collected by CNN. The voter survey is based on exit polls. There were 4,327 total respondents. ==See also==
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