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2022 United States Senate election in Ohio

The 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Ohio. Republican writer and venture capitalist JD Vance defeated Democratic U.S. representative Tim Ryan to succeed retiring incumbent Republican Rob Portman.

Republican primary
As a result of Portman's retirement, this primary was expected to be one of the most competitive in the nation. Due to his high approval ratings within the Republican Party, most of the candidates sought the endorsement of then-former president Donald Trump. Former state treasurer Josh Mandel, who had been the Republican nominee for Senate in 2012, led most polls until late January, when businessman Mike Gibbons surged after spending millions in TV ads. At a forum in March 2022, Gibbons and Mandel got into a forceful argument over Mandel's private sector experience. The debate moderator intervened after it was feared that the two candidates would come to blows. On April 9, Gibbons said that middle-class Americans don't pay enough in income taxes, which immediately led to his poll numbers plummeting. On April 15, Trump endorsed writer and commentator JD Vance, who had criticized him in the past. Vance had been trailing in the polls, but as a result of Trump's support, he surged to become the race's frontrunner for the first time and led in most polls up to election day. Meanwhile, State Senator Matt Dolan, who disavowed Trump's claims of voter fraud in the 2020 United States presidential election, saw a late surge after buying ad time. Vance won with 32% of the vote with Mandel in second and Dolan in a close third. The primary was considered by many as a test of Trump's influence over the Republican Party as he won Ohio by 8 points in 2020. The primary was also the most expensive in the state's history, with the candidates spending a combined $66 million throughout the campaign. Candidates NomineeJD Vance, author of Hillbilly Elegy, U.S. Marine Corps veteran, and venture capitalist Eliminated in primaryMatt Dolan, state senator from the 24th district since 2017 and nominee for Cuyahoga County executive in 2010 • Mike Gibbons, investment banker (founder of Brown Gibbons Lang & Company) and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2018Bernie Moreno, businessman • Warren Davidson, U.S. representative for Ohio's 8th congressional district (2016–present) • Anthony Gonzalez, U.S. representative for Ohio's 16th congressional district (2019–2023) • Jon Husted, lieutenant governor of Ohio (2019–present) (ran for re-election)Bill Johnson, U.S. representative for Ohio's 6th congressional district (2011–2024) • Jim Jordan, U.S. representative for Ohio's 4th congressional district (2007–present) (running for re-election)David Joyce, U.S. representative for Ohio's 14th congressional district (2013–present) (ran for re-election)John Kasich, former governor of Ohio (2011–2019) and candidate for President of the United States in 2000 and 2016Mark Kvamme, co-founder of Drive CapitalRob Portman, incumbent U.S. Senator (2011–2023) • Vivek Ramaswamy, entrepreneur, author and businessman • Jim Renacci, former U.S. representative for Ohio's 16th congressional district (2011–2019) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018 (ran for governor) • Geraldo Rivera, journalist, author, attorney, and former TV host • Darrell C. Scott, pastor and CEO of the National Diversity Coalition for Trump (endorsed Moreno) (''expressed interest in running for Ohio's 16th congressional district'') • Steve Stivers, former U.S. representative for Ohio's 15th congressional district (2011–2021) • Pat Tiberi, former U.S. representative for Ohio's 12th congressional district (2001–2018) • Jim Tressel, president of Youngstown State University and former Ohio State football coach • Mike Turner, U.S. representative for Ohio's 10th congressional district (2003–present) (ran for re-election) Endorsements Polling Graphical summary Results By county Source ==Democratic primary==
Democratic primary
Candidates NomineeTim Ryan, U.S. representative for Ohio's 13th congressional district (2013–2023) and candidate for President of the United States in 2020Joyce Beatty, U.S. representative for Ohio's 3rd congressional district (2013–present) (ran for re-election)Kevin Boyce, president of the Franklin County board of commissioners and former Ohio State TreasurerMichael Coleman, former mayor of ColumbusJohn Cranley, former mayor of Cincinnati (ran for governor)LeBron James, professional basketball player for the Los Angeles Lakers and former player for the Cleveland Cavaliers • Zach Klein, Columbus city attorney • Danny O'Connor, Franklin county recorder and nominee for Ohio's 12th congressional district in 2018Aftab Pureval, attorney and Hamilton County clerk of courts (elected Mayor of Cincinnati in 2021)Alicia Reece, Hamilton County commissioner • Connie Schultz, former columnist for The Plain Dealer and wife of U.S. Senator Sherrod BrownEmilia Sykes, minority leader of the Ohio House of Representatives ''(ran for the U.S. House in Ohio's 13th congressional district)'' • Nina Turner, president of Our Revolution, former state senator, and nominee for Ohio Secretary of State in 2014 ''(ran for the U.S. House in Ohio's 11th congressional district)'' • Nan Whaley, former mayor of Dayton (ran for governor) Endorsements Polling Results By county Source ==Third-party and independent candidates==
Third-party and independent candidates
Candidates Declared • John Cheng (write-in) • Matthew R. Esh (write-in) • Shane Hoffman (write-in) • Sam Ronan, United States Air Force veteran, candidate for Ohio's 1st congressional district in 2018, and candidate for chair of the Democratic National Committee in 2017 (Independent) • Shannon Marie Taylor (Libertarian) ==General election==
General election
Ohio had trended Republican in recent years, voting for Donald Trump by eight points in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. As such, most analysts expected that this seat would easily remain in Republican hands. However, aggregate polling on the run-up to the election indicated a competitive race, and most outlets considered it to be "lean Republican". In the end, JD Vance held the open seat for the Republicans. The funding in the race was described as "lopsided" in favor of J.D. Vance who struggled to raise money on his own but was massively helped by national groups who poured in more than $30 million worth of advertising. Tim Ryan, the Democratic nominee, was the more prolific fundraiser but national Democratic groups provided comparatively little help on the airwaves and advertisements to keep up with the Republican campaign. Ryan called it "David against Goliath." Predictions Debates Post-primary endorsements {{Endorsements box U.S. SenatorsTom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–present) • Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present) • Rob Portman, U.S. Senator from Ohio (2011–2023) • Tim Scott, U.S. Senator form South Carolina (2013–present) • Warren Davidson, U.S. Representative for OH-08 (2016–present) • Bill Johnson, U.S. Representative for OH-06 (2011–present) • Jim Jordan, U.S. Representative for OH-04 (2007–present) State officialsRon DeSantis, Governor of Florida (2019–present) • Mike DeWine, Governor of Ohio (2019–present) • Keith Faber, Auditor of Ohio (2019–present) • Jon Husted, Lieutenant Governor of Ohio (2019–2025) • Robert Sprague, Treasurer of Ohio (2019–present) • Dave Yost, Attorney General of Ohio (2019–present) Individuals • Mike Gibbons, candidate for U.S. senate in Ohio in 2018 and in 2022 Newspapers and other mediaThe Marietta Times (Local newspaper from the city of Marietta, Ohio) Organizations Polling Aggregate polls Graphical summary Josh Mandel vs. Amy Acton Josh Mandel vs. Tim Ryan Jane Timken vs. Amy Acton Jane Timken vs. Tim Ryan JD Vance vs. Amy Acton Results By county Counties that flipped from Republican to DemocraticHamilton (largest municipality: Cincinnati) • Lorain (largest municipality: Lorain) • Montgomery (largest municipality: Dayton) • Summit (largest municipality: Akron) {{align|right| By congressional district Vance won ten of 15 congressional districts. ==Voter demographics==
Voter demographics
According to exit polls by the National Election Pool, Vance won the election (53% to 47%), winning majority of white voters (59% to 40%), while Ryan received majorities of the Black vote (86% to 13%) and, to smaller extent, the Latino vote (59% to 41%). == See also ==
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