Market2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama
Company Profile

2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the seven U.S. representatives from the state of Alabama, one from each of the state's seven congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

Background
Allen v. Milligan During the 2020 redistricting cycle, Alabama's congressional map faced legal challenges for alleged violations of the Voting Rights Act of 1965. 27% of Alabama's population is African American, but only one of Alabama's seven districts was drawn with a Black majority. A federal panel initially blocked the 2022 map, finding that the state illegally discriminated against Black voters by not drawing a second majority-Black district. However, on February 7, 2022, the Supreme Court of the United States granted a stay on the case that had been requested by the state of Alabama, allowing the map to remain in place for the 2022 elections, but signaled it would fully review the case at a later date. On June 8, 2023, the Supreme Court affirmed the previous finding that the map discriminated against Black Alabamians. In a 5–4 decision in Allen v. Milligan, Justice Brett Kavanaugh and Chief Justice John Roberts joined the Supreme Court's liberal wing (Justices Ketanji Brown Jackson, Elena Kagan, and Sonia Sotomayor) and ruled in favor of Milligan. The decision, considered an unexpected victory for voting rights activists in Alabama, upheld the federal panel's ruling that Alabama had illegally diluted the power of Black voters. The decision forced Alabama to reconfigure its congressional districts in advance of the 2024 elections, including drawing a second predominantly Black district. The Alabama Legislature was required to convene a special legislative session in order to draw a new map. John Wahl, chair of the Alabama Republican Party, published a statement in reaction to the ruling, stating that the party would "work hard to win all seven congressional seats". A special conference committee consisting of six members from both wings of the Alabama Legislature passed a new map with additional changes on July 21. The new congressional map was signed into law by Governor Kay Ivey the same day. In the legislature's map, the Black voting age population in Alabama's 7th congressional district was reduced from 55.6% to 50.6%, while Alabama's 2nd congressional district's Black voting age population was increased to 39.9%. The map enacted by the state was struck down on September 5, confirming speculation by Black lawmakers in the state that it failed to comply with the requirement for a second majority Black district. The panel of judges ruling on the maps wrote that they were "deeply troubled that the State enacted a map that the State readily admits does not provide the remedy we said federal law requires". The judges appointed a special master, Richard Allen (no relation to Wes Allen or Allen v. Milligan), to take control of the mapmaking process following Alabama lawmakers' defiance. Three proposed maps from the special master were released on September 25. In all of the maps, Coffee County, which was represented by and home to Barry Moore, was moved to Alabama's 1st congressional district, which set up a primary in which Jerry Carl and Moore were both incumbents pitted against each other. Finalization of special master map The state of Alabama, under Attorney General of Alabama Steve Marshall, requested a stay on the federal panel's decision to not allow the legislature's new map. On September 26, 2023, the Supreme Court again denied Alabama's request, meaning that the special master's map was to be used in the 2024 elections. All three of the proposed remedial maps raised the Black voting-age population in the second congressional district in ranges from 48.5% to 50.1%. The Alabama Democratic Conference, the Black caucus of the Alabama Democratic Party, also announced the same day that it planned to file an objection to the special master's maps, saying that they did not go far enough to create a majority-minority district. The conference offered its own redistricting map in the objection, but it was denied by the federal panel. Following another hearing on the case, the federal panel issued an opinion on October 5, 2023, ordering Alabama to implement the congressional map known as Remedial Plan 3, as drawn by the special master. Secretary of State of Alabama Wes Allen said his office would implement the new map for the 2024 elections. In Remedial Plan 3, Alabama's 2nd congressional district has a Black voting-age population of 48.7%, and a Black-preferred candidate was found to have won in 16 of 17 simulated elections. ==Overview==
Overview
Republicans won five districts, while Democrats won two: the newly created second one and the existing seventh one. Both those districts are plurality Black, whereas the ones by Republicans are predominantly white. Such a correlation is consistent with a preference towards Democrats among Alabama's Black voters. Democrats fielded their candidates in four districts out of seven, with Republicans securing almost unchallenged victories in the third, fourth and fifth districts. Outside of those, Republicans earned their best result in the first district, with 78.4% of the vote. Republicans improved on their 2022 result, earning 3.5% of the vote more. However, this election became the first since 2008 when Democrats held more than a single seat in Alabama. Furthermore, this marked the first time when two Black Representatives were simultaneously elected from the state. ==District 1==
District 1
Under the new congressional map, the 1st congressional district encompasses the southernmost parts of the state, including all of Baldwin, Coffee, Covington, Dale, and Escambia counties, including the cities of Bay Minette, Daphne, Enterprise and Ozark. It also includes whiter parts of Mobile County and the city of Mobile. Incumbent Republican Jerry Carl had been re-elected with 84.2% of the vote in 2022 against a Libertarian candidate. Following redistricting, 2nd district incumbent Barry Moore was placed into the 1st district as well, setting up a primary between Moore and Carl, both incumbents. On October 30, 2023, Moore confirmed to 1819 News that he would run in the first congressional district, challenging Carl in the Republican primary. Republican primary NomineeBarry Moore, incumbent U.S. representative Meanwhile, Carl won Escambia and Baldwin counties, as well as his home Mobile County. Democratic primary Nominee • Tom Holmes, nonprofit executive Fundraising General election Predictions } Fundraising Results By county == District 2 ==
District 2
In the new congressional map, the 2nd district encompasses all of Montgomery County and the capital city of Montgomery, as well as majority Black sections of the Wiregrass Region and the city of Mobile. It also includes the entirety of Butler, Macon, Monroe, Pike, and Russell counties, including the cities of Greenville, Monroeville, Troy, and Tuskegee. Eliminated in runoffDick Brewbaker, former state senator from the 25th district (2010–2018) Eliminated in primaryGreg Albritton, state senator from the 22nd district (2014–present) • Karla DuPriest, restaurant owner, former Mobile County Absentee Ballot Manager, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022 • Hampton Harris, real estate broker • Belinda Thomas, Newton town councilor and Alabama Republican Party outreach coalition director WithdrewWallace Gilberry, former professional football player for the New York Giants (endorsed Brewbaker) DeclinedWes Allen, Alabama Secretary of State (2023–present) • Barry Moore, incumbent U.S. Representative (ran in the 1st district) Endorsements Fundraising Debates and forums Polling Results Runoff Endorsements Fundraising Results Democratic primary NomineeShomari Figures, former deputy chief of staff and counsel to U.S. Attorney General Merrick Garland and son of state senators Vivian Davis Figures and Michael Figures Eliminated in runoffAnthony Daniels, minority leader of the Alabama House of Representatives (2017–present) from the 53rd district (2014–present) Eliminated in primary • James Averhart, U.S. Marine Corps veteran and nominee for the in 2020Napoleon Bracy Jr., state representative from the 98th district (2010–present) (endorsed Figures in runoff)Merika Coleman, state senator from the 19th district (2022–present) (endorsed Daniels in runoff)Juandalynn Givan, state representative from the 60th district (2010–present) (endorsed Figures in runoff) (endorsed Figures in runoff) Withdrew • Brian Gary, surgeon • Kirk Hatcher, state senator from the 26th district (2021–present) (endorsed Figures) DeclinedSteven Reed, mayor of Montgomery (2019–present) (endorsed Hatcher, then Gary, then Sinkfield)Quinton Ross, president of Alabama State University and former minority leader of the Alabama Senate (2014–2017) from the 26th district (2002–2017) Endorsements Fundraising Debates and forums Polling Results Figures won eight counties, performing best in the two westernmost counties of the district: Mobile and Washington. Daniels won four counties in the eastern part, securing his best result in Bullock County, where he graduated from high school. Bracy likewise performed well in the western portion of the district, carrying Clarke County. Runoff Endorsements Fundraising Polling Results General election Predictions Post-primary endorsements Debates and forums Polling Results By county ==District 3==
District 3
The 3rd district is based in eastern Alabama, taking in Calhoun, Etowah, Lee, and Talladega counties, including the cities of Anniston, Auburn, Gadsden, and Talladega. The incumbent is Republican Mike Rogers, who was re-elected with 71.3% of the vote in 2022. In response, members of the Alabama Republican Party state executive committee, including members from the 3rd district, threatened to file a challenge against Rogers' ballot access in the 2024 election. On October 16, 2023, Rogers issued a statement endorsing Jordan for Speaker of the House, reversing his position and establishing his support for Jordan. No Democratic candidates qualified to run in this district, though Rogers faced two unsuccessful primary challengers. Republican primary NomineeMike Rogers, incumbent U.S. representative Declined • Robert McCollum, businessman (ran for Alabama Public Service Commission president) Endorsements Fundraising Results General election Predictions } Fundraising Results By county ==District 4==
District 4
The 4th district is located in rural north-central Alabama, including Colbert, Cullman, Fayette, and Marion counties, as well as half of Lauderdale and Tuscaloosa counties. Blount County was also re-added to the district with the new map. It includes the cities of Cullman, Haleyville, Jasper, and Muscle Shoals. In 2022, according to the Cook Partisan Voting Index, it was the most Republican district in the country, with an index rating of R+33. The incumbent is Republican Robert Aderholt, who was re-elected with 84.2% of the vote in 2022. Endorsements Fundraising Debates and forums Results General election Predictions } Fundraising Results By county ==District 5==
District 5
The 5th district is based in northern Alabama, including the city of Huntsville, as well as Athens, Decatur, Madison, and Scottsboro, as well as half of Lauderdale County. Boman faced a challenge to his candidacy from within the Alabama Republican Party; he was officially removed from the ballot in December 2023. This effectively left Strong unopposed in 2024. Republican primary NomineeDale Strong, incumbent U.S. representative Removed from ballotDaniel Boman, former state representative from the 16th district (2011–2015) Endorsements Fundraising General election Predictions } Fundraising Results By county ==District 6==
District 6
The 6th district encompasses the central part of the state near Greater Birmingham, taking in the northeastern parts of the city of Birmingham and Jefferson County, as well as the surrounding suburbs, including Bibb, Chilton, Coosa, and Shelby counties. Other cities include Alabaster, Hoover and Montevallo. The incumbent is Republican Gary Palmer, who was re-elected with 84.7% of the vote in 2022 against a Libertarian candidate. Palmer cited his reasons for seeking re-election, including recent high turnover in Alabama's congressional delegation, his rise to Republican leadership within the House of Representatives, and personal prayer, saying that he had "prayed for God to give me clarity on it". Republican primary NomineeGary Palmer, incumbent U.S. representative • Gerrick Wilkins, automotive businessman DeclinedApril Weaver, state senator from the 14th district (2021–present) Endorsements Fundraising Debates and forums Results Democratic primary Nominee • Elizabeth Anderson, businesswoman Fundraising General election Predictions } Fundraising Results By county ==District 7==
District 7
The 7th district encompasses the west-central part of the state in the Black Belt, including the cities of Demopolis, Greensboro, and Selma, as well as taking in majority-black areas of Birmingham and Tuscaloosa. The incumbent is Democrat Terri Sewell, who was re-elected with 63.6% of the vote in 2022. State senator and Senate Minority Leader Bobby Singleton formed an exploratory committee to run against Sewell, but ultimately did not enter the race. However, Sewell did face one unsuccessful Democratic primary challenger, Chris Davis. The Alabama Republican Party later published a press release clarifying that Horn had dropped out of the race and Litaker would be the party's nominee in 2024. Democratic primary NomineeTerri Sewell, incumbent U.S. representative Endorsements Fundraising Results Republican primary Nominee • Robin Litaker, retired teacher and perennial candidate (unofficially won primary after withdrawal) Endorsements Fundraising Results General election Predictions } Fundraising Results By county ==Notes==
tickerdossier.comtickerdossier.substack.com