January–March 2025 Trump was inaugurated for a second term on January 20, 2025. In
his inaugural address, he pledged to "immediately begin the overhaul of our trade system to protect American workers and families." On February 1, 2025, he declared several "
national emergencies" regarding
fentanyl trafficking and invoked the
IEEPA to impose 25% tariffs on most goods from Mexico and Canada and 10% on goods from China. Tariffs on
USMCA-compliant Mexican and Canadian goods were quickly suspended, On February 13, 2025, Trump announced plans to impose "reciprocal tariffs" on all countries with trade barriers against the US in April, prompting a wave of diplomatic outreach. Analysts and foreign governments expressed confusion over the administration's tariff strategies and openness to negotiation. Canada alleged that tariffs on its exports were intended to damage its economy and pressure
annexation into the US. Trump and Navarro refused to negotiate with any country. On March 12, 2025, the administration imposed 25% tariffs on imported steel and aluminum products. First-quarter US GDP fell -.05%, but investors attributed the decline to a rush to import goods before tariffs took effect rather than to underlying weakness.
April–June 2025 On April 2, 2025, a day he called "Liberation Day", Trump declared a national emergency regarding the national trade deficit and announced "reciprocal tariffs" on all countries not subject to other sanctions. A minimum 10% tariff on almost all US imports took effect on April 5. Panic induced by the announcement led to the
2025 stock market crash and new country-specific tariffs, planned for April 9, were paused for 90 days. However, after a retaliatory spiral, US tariffs on Chinese goods were increased to 145% while Chinese tariffs on US goods were increased to 125%. Steel and aluminum tariffs, a 25% tariff on automobiles imposed April 3, and other sector-specific duties also remained. The first cargo ships carrying Chinese goods tariffed at 145% arrived on May 6 with shipments cut in half. Trump reportedly pivoted his focus toward negotiation, sidelining Navarro and promoting
Scott Bessent as his lead economic advisor. By the end of June 2025, the US had only signed a deal with the UK and a 90-day temporary deal with China. Under terms expiring November 9, as extended, China lowered tariffs on US goods to 10% and resumed exports of
rare-earth elements, while the US lowered its tariff on Chinese goods to 30% (10% baseline + 20% fentanyl) and cut
de minimis tariffs to 54%. Trump reduced some of his tariffs that preceded the
2025 stock market crash, inspiring the phrase "
Trump Always Chickens Out." The stock market subsequently reached new highs. On June 4, 2025, Trump doubled the tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from 25% to 50%, and on June 12, he expanded them to include household appliances like refrigerators and dishwashers. US GDP rebounded to 3.8% in the second quarter of 2025 as imports normalized.
July–September 2025 On August 1, 2025, the
Bureau of Labor Statistics released revised data showing a sharp slowdown in hiring, which some attributed to
policy uncertainty caused by tariffs. Trump dismissed the data as "rigged" and fired the BLS Commissioner. Trump also called for the removal of
Federal Reserve Chairman
Jerome Powell, who had warned that tariffs could fuel inflation and resisted Trump's calls to cut the
federal funds rate. Country-specific
Liberation Day tariffs were postponed and changed several times before finally taking effect on August 7. Trump notified foreign governments of adjustments to their
Liberation Day tariffs rates in a series of letters. In one letter to Brazil, he threatened a 50% tariff while denouncing charges against
Jair Bolsonaro, an ally facing trial for the
2022 Brazilian coup plot. On July 30, Trump declared Brazil's actions a US "national emergency" and imposed an additional 40% tariff on top of a 10% "reciprocal" tariff. In August 2025, Trump ordered an additional 25% tariff on imports from
India, intended to penalize
India for purchasing Russian oil. Beginning August 27, 2025, Indian exports faced an extra 25% tariff and a total baseline tariff of 50%. Trump withdrew the tariff in February 2026 after several Indian oil companies agreed to stop buying Russian oil unless absolutely necessary or unless related to the fulfillment of previously agreed to contracts.
October–December 2025 On October 1, 2025, new tariffs on large trucks, cabinets, and furniture took effect. A 100% tariff on "any branded or patented" pharmaceutical product also began, unless the companies were building manufacturing plants in the US. On October 10, 2025, Trump made new threats against China, including an additional 100% tariff starting November 1, in retaliation of China's broadening of export controls on
rare earths. China announced retaliatory measures. However, after meeting with
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping in South Korea on October 30, Trump announced the US would cut the "fentanyl tariff" on Chinese goods entering the US from 20% to 10% in return for soybean and other farm product purchases and easier access to rare earths. The US also was expected to suspend an expansion of export controls. The trade deal lowered tariffs on Chinese goods to levels similar to or below those on other countries. On November 14, 2025, Trump exempted a variety of agricultural products from "reciprocal" tariffs or Brazilian tariffs after acknowledging domestic demand and lack of production capacity. Newly exempted products included coffee, tea, tropical fruits, cocoa, spices, bananas, oranges, tomatoes, and beef. By December 2025, half of all US imports had been exempted from Trump's IEEPA tariffs, although some of the remaining were targeted by section 232 tariffs.
January–March 2026 On January 17, 2026, Trump threatened tariffs of up to 25% on goods from 8 European countries as part of the
Greenland Crisis. On January 21, 2026, he retracted the threat after saying he had reached "framework of a future deal" with NATO Secretary-General
Mark Rutte. Diplomatic talks began soon after. On February 2, 2026, Trump cut tariffs on Indian exports from 50% to 18% after several Indian oil companies agreed to stop buying Russian oil unless absolutely necessary or unless related to the fulfillment of previously agreed to contracts. With the prohibition expired, on February 11, six House Republicans crossed party lines to vote to end Trump's tariffs on Canada; Trump said that he would veto the measure. The government collected an estimated $166 billion in IEEPA tariffs, later declared unconstitutional by the Supreme Court, from more than 330,000 businesses that was required to be refunded. He also threatened to increase the tariff to 15%. Existing exemptions were maintained. == Impacts ==