Incumbent
Democratic U.S. Senator
Mark Warner, first elected in
2008, will run for re-election. In the
2020 U.S. Senate election, Warner won by 12.08% which outran
Joe Biden's 10.11% margin in the concurrent presidential election in the state. Virginia is considered to be a moderately
blue state at both the federal and statewide level, consistently voting Democratic for president from the 2008 presidential election to the
2024 presidential election. In the 2024 presidential election, Democratic nominee
Kamala Harris won the state by 5.78% which was a decrease from Biden's 10.11% win in 2020. Republicans have not won a U.S. Senate election since
2002 on the election of Warner's predecessor
John Warner (no relation). Both political parties have seen success in the state. In the
2021 Virginia gubernatorial election, Republicans somewhat unexpectedly won the governorship when
Glenn Youngkin won the election while they
flipped the
House of Delegates. In the
2023 Virginia elections, Democrats regained control of the House of Delegates and maintained control in the
Virginia Senate. In the
2025 Virginia gubernatorial election, former Democratic U.S. Representative
Abigail Spanberger defeated
Republican Lieutenant Governor
Winsome Earle-Sears by 15.36%. Spanberger won suburban and independent voters by large margins when they backed Youngkin in
2021 and won Latino and minority voters who trended Republican in
2024. According to most predictions, Mark Warner is expected to solidly win re-election. == Democratic primary ==