Aquinas's argument from contingency In the
scholastic era,
Aquinas formulated the "argument from
contingency", following
Aristotle in proposing that there must be an
unmoved mover to explain the origin of the universe. Since the universe could, under different circumstances, conceivably
not exist (i.e. it is contingent) its existence must have a cause. This cause cannot be embodied in another contingent thing, but something that exists by
necessity, i.e. something that must exist for anything else to exist. he states: "... and this we understand to be God." :"Why is there something rather than nothing? The sufficient reason ... is found in a substance which ... is a necessary being bearing the reason for its existence within itself."
Alexander Pruss formulates the argument as follows: • Every contingent fact has an explanation. • There is a contingent fact that includes all other contingent facts. • Therefore, there is an explanation of this fact. • This explanation must involve a necessary being. • This necessary being is God. Premise 1 expresses the
principle of sufficient reason. Premise 2 proposes the existence of a
logical conjunction of all contingent facts—representing the sum total of contingent reality—referred to in later literature as the
Big Conjunctive Contingent Fact (BCCF). In premise 3, Leibniz applies the principle of sufficient reason to the BCCF, given that it too, as a contingency, requires a sufficient explanation. It follows, in statement 4, that the explanation of the BCCF cannot be contingent, therefore necessary, given that the BCCF incorporates the totality of contingent facts. Philosophers Joshua Rasmussen and T. Ryan Byerly have argued in defence of the inference from statement 4 to statement 5, which identifies as God the necessary being explaining all of contingent reality.
Duns Scotus's metaphysical argument At the turn of the 14th century, medieval Christian theologian
John Duns Scotus (1265/66–1308) formulated a
metaphysical argument for the existence of God inspired by Aquinas's
argument of the unmoved mover. Like other philosophers and theologians, Scotus believed that his statement for God's existence could be considered distinct to that of Aquinas. The form of the argument can be summarised as follows: • An effect cannot be produced by itself. • An effect cannot be produced by nothing. • A circle of causes is impossible. • Therefore, it is necessarily true that an effect is produced by something else. • An accidentally ordered causal series cannot exist without an essentially ordered series. Each member in an accidentally ordered series (except a possible first) exists via causal activity of a prior member. That causal activity is exercised by virtue of a certain
form. Therefore, that form is required by each member to effect causation. The form itself is not a member of the series. Therefore [c,d], accidentally ordered causes cannot exist without higher-order (essentially ordered) causes. It is impossible for an essentially ordered causal series to regress to infinity. Therefore [4,5,6], it is
possible that a first agent exists. Therefore [7], it is
necessarily true that a first agent exists (by
S5 modal logic). If a first agent does not exist, then it is impossible that a first agent exists. Therefore [a], if it is possible that a first agent exists, then it is necessarily true that a first agent exists (by
contraposition). Therefore [b,7], it is
necessarily true that a first agent exists. Scotus reasons, in premise 5, that an
accidentally ordered series of causes is impossible without higher-order laws and processes that govern the basic principles of accidental causation, which he characterises as essentially ordered causes. Premise 6 continues, in accordance with Aquinas's discourses on the
Second Way and
Third Way, that an essentially ordered series of causes cannot be an infinite regress. Statement 7 evolves this framework to declare that it is
possible for a being to exist that is causeless by virtue of
ontological perfection. Scotus pronounces that, if it is possible that a first agent exists, then it is
necessarily true that a first agent exists, given that the non-existence of a first agent entails the impossibility of its own existence (by virtue of being a first cause in the causal chain). developed within the proceedings of medieval
Islamic
scholasticism through the 9th to 12th centuries, eventually returning to
Christian theological scholarship in the 13th century. These ideas were revitalised for modern discourse by philosopher and theologian
William Lane Craig through publications such as
The Kalām Cosmological Argument (1979) and the
Blackwell Companion to Natural Theology (2009). The form of the argument popularised by Craig is expressed in two parts, as an initial
deductive syllogism followed by further philosophical analysis. He emphasises the theorem's reach, noting its independence of any physical description of the early universe—such as the presence or absence of an
initial singularity—and its applicability to almost any cosmological model, including
oscillating and
multiverse models. He affirms the past boundary it defines as either a
cosmic beginning or a border with a
nonclassical spacetime that itself must have a beginning on account of its
quantum instability. For philosophical evidence, Craig cites the
Hilbert’s Hotel thought experiment, to demonstrate the metaphysical impossibility of
actual infinites existing in reality. Considering past events to
have been instantiated in reality, he deems an infinite past to be similarly impossible.
Conceptual analysis of the First Cause Craig argues that the cause of the universe
necessarily embodies specific properties, in being: • Uncaused, otherwise an
infinite regress of causes would arise. • Timeless (therefore changeless), spaceless, immaterial and enormously powerful, in creating
spacetime and its contents
ex nihilo. • Personal, possessing
non-deterministic agency, in creating the universe from a timeless state (without prior determining conditions). • Singular, per
Occam's razor, in the absence of good reasons to believe in the existence of more than one uncaused cause. Based upon this analysis, he appends a further premise and conclusion: :"... our whole universe was caused to exist by something beyond it and greater than it. For it is no secret that one of the most important conceptions of what theists mean by 'God' is Creator of heaven and earth." == Criticism and discourse ==