, looking on, Chairman Ben Bernanke addresses President
George W. Bush and others after being sworn into the
Federal Reserve post. Also on stage with the President are Mrs. Anna Bernanke and
Roger W. Ferguson Jr., Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve. Bernanke has given several lectures at the
London School of Economics on
monetary theory and policy. He has written two textbooks: an intermediate-level macroeconomics textbook coauthored with
Andrew Abel (and also Dean Croushore in later editions) and an introductory textbook, covering both microeconomics and macroeconomics, coauthored with
Robert H. Frank. Bernanke was the Director of the Monetary Economics Program of the
National Bureau of Economic Research and the editor of the
American Economic Review. He is among the 50 most published economists in the world according to
IDEAS/RePEc. Bernanke is particularly interested in the economic and political causes of the
Great Depression, on which he has published numerous academic journal articles. Before Bernanke's work, the dominant
monetarist theory of the Great Depression was
Milton Friedman's view that it had been largely caused by the
Federal Reserve's having reduced the
money supply and has on several occasions argued that one of the biggest mistakes made during the period was to raise interest rates too early. In a speech on Milton Friedman's ninetieth birthday (November 8, 2002), Bernanke said: "Let me end my talk by abusing slightly my status as an official representative of the Federal Reserve. I would like to say to Milton and Anna [Schwartz, Friedman's coauthor]: Regarding the Great Depression, you're right. We did it. We're very sorry. But thanks to you, we won't do it again." Bernanke has cited Milton Friedman and
Anna Schwartz in his decision to lower interest rates to zero. Anna Schwartz, however, was highly critical of Bernanke and wrote an opinion piece in
The New York Times advising Obama against his reappointment as chairman of the Federal Reserve. Bernanke focused less on the role of the Federal Reserve and more on the role of private banks and financial institutions. Bernanke found that the financial disruptions of 1930–33 reduced the efficiency of the credit allocation process; and that the resulting higher cost and reduced availability of credit acted to depress aggregate demand, identifying an effect he called the
financial accelerator. When faced with a mild downturn, banks are likely to significantly cut back lending and other risky ventures. This further hurts the economy, creating a
vicious cycle and potentially turning a mild recession into a major depression. Economist
Brad DeLong, who had previously advocated his own theory for the Great Depression, notes that the
2008 financial crisis raised the pertinence of Bernanke's theory. In 2002, following coverage of concerns about
deflation in the business news, Bernanke gave a speech about the topic. In that speech, he mentioned that the government in a
fiat money system owns the physical means of creating money and to maintain
market liquidity. Control of the money supply implies that the government can always avoid deflation by simply issuing more money. He said, "The U.S. government has a technology, called a printing press (or today, its electronic equivalent), that allows it to produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at no cost." As the recession began in 2007, many economists urged Bernanke (and the rest of the
Federal Open Market Committee) to lower the
federal funds rate below what it had done. For example,
Larry Summers, later named Director of the White House's
National Economic Council under President Obama, wrote in the
Financial Times on November 26, 2007—in a column in which he argued that recession was likely—that "maintaining demand must be the macro-economic priority. That means the Federal Reserve System has to get ahead of the curve and recognize—as the market already has—that levels of the Federal Funds rate that were neutral when the financial system was working normally are quite contractionary today."
David Leonhardt of
The New York Times wrote, on January 30, 2008, that "Dr. Bernanke's forecasts have been too sunny over the last six months. [On] the other hand, his forecast was a lot better than Wall Street's in mid-2006. Back then, he resisted calls for further interest rate increases because he thought the economy might be weakening." ==After the Federal Reserve==