The economics of climate change mitigation is a contentious part of
climate change mitigation – action aimed to limit the dangerous socio-economic and environmental consequences of
climate change. Climate change mitigation centres on two main strategies: the reduction of
greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and the preservation and expansion of
sinks which absorb greenhouse gases, including the sea and forests.
Policies and approaches to reduce emissions Price signals A
carbon price is a system of applying a price to carbon emissions, as a method of emissions mitigation. Potential methods of pricing include
carbon emission trading, results-based
climate finance, crediting mechanisms and more. Carbon pricing can lend itself to the creation of carbon taxes, which allows governments to tax emissions. It is almost a consensus that carbon taxing is the most cost-effective method of having a substantial and rapid response to climate change and carbon emissions. However, backlash to the tax includes that it can be considered regressive, as the impact can be damaging disproportionately to the poor who spend much of their income on energy for their homes. Still, even with near universal approval, there are issues regarding both the collection and redistribution of the taxes. One of the central questions being how the newly collected taxes will be redistributed. Some or all of the proceeds of a carbon tax can be used to stop it disadvantaging the poor.
Structural market reforms In addition to the implementation of
command-and-control regulations (as with a carbon tax), governments can also use
market-based approaches to mitigate emissions. One such method is emissions trading where governments set the total emissions of all polluters to a maximum and distribute permits, through auction or allocation, that allow entities to emit a portion, typically one ton of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e), of the mandated total emissions. In other words, the amount of pollution an entity can emit in an emissions trading system is limited by the number of permits they have. If a polluter wants to increase their emissions, they can only do so after buying permits from those who are willing to sell them. This uncertainty in price is especially disliked by businesses since it prevents them from investing in abatement technologies with confidence which hinders efforts for mitigating emissions. as well as acknowledging and moving beyond the limits of current economics such as GDP. Some argue that for effective climate change mitigation
degrowth has to occur, while some argue that
eco-economic decoupling could limit climate change enough while continuing high rates of traditional GDP growth. There is also research and debate about requirements of how
economic systems could be transformed for
sustainability – such as how their jobs could transition harmoniously into
green jobs – a
just transition – and how relevant sectors of the economy – like the
renewable energy industry and the
bioeconomy – could be adequately supported. While degrowth is often believed to be associated with decreased
living standards and
austerity measures, many of its proponents seek to expand universal public goods (such as public transport), increase health (fitness, wellbeing and freedom from diseases) and increase various forms of, often unconventional commons-oriented, labor. To this end, the application of both advanced technologies and reductions in various demands, including via overall reduced labor time or sufficiency-oriented strategies, are considered to be important by some.
Assessing costs and benefits GDP The costs of mitigation and adaptation policies can be measured as a percentage of GDP. A problem with this method of assessing costs is that GDP is an imperfect measure of welfare. There may also be ancillary costs.
Flexibility Flexibility is the ability to reduce emissions at the lowest cost. The greater the flexibility that governments allow in their regulatory framework to reduce emissions, the lower the potential costs are for achieving emissions reductions (Markandya
et al., 2001:455). • "When" flexibility potentially lowers costs by allowing reductions to be made at a time when it is most efficient to do so. Including carbon sinks in a policy framework is another source of flexibility. Tree planting and forestry management actions can increase the capacity of sinks.
Soils and other types of vegetation are also potential sinks. There is, however, uncertainty over how net emissions are affected by activities in this area. The choice of discount rate has a large effect on the result of any climate change cost analysis (Halsnæs
et al., 2007:136). Using too high a discount rate will result in too little investment in mitigation, but using too low a rate will result in too much investment in mitigation. In other words, a high discount rate implies that the present-value of a dollar is worth more than the future-value of a dollar. Discounting can either be prescriptive or descriptive. The descriptive approach is based on what discount rates are observed in the behaviour of people making every day decisions (the private
discount rate) (IPCC, 2007c:813). In the prescriptive approach, a discount rate is chosen based on what is thought to be in the best interests of future generations (the
social discount rate). The descriptive approach can be interpreted as an effort to maximize the economic resources available to future generations, allowing them to decide how to use those resources (Arrow
et al., 1996b:133–134). The prescriptive approach can be interpreted as an effort to do as much as is economically justified to reduce the risk of climate change. The DICE model incorporates a descriptive approach, in which discounting reflects actual economic conditions. In a recent DICE model, DICE-2013R Model, the social cost of carbon is estimated based on the following alternative scenarios: (1) a baseline scenario, when climate change policies have not changed since 2010, (2) an optimal scenario, when climate change policies are optimal (fully implemented and followed), (3) when the optimal scenario does not exceed 2˚C limit after 1900 data, (4) when the 2˚C limit is an average and not the optimum, (5) when a near-zero (low) discount rate of 0.1% is used (as assumed in the
Stern Review), (6) when a near-zero discount rate is also used but with calibrated interest rates, and (7) when a high discount rate of 3.5% is used. According to Markandya
et al. (2001:466), discount rates used in assessing mitigation programmes need to at least partly reflect the
opportunity costs of capital. In developed countries, Markandya
et al. (2001:466) thought that a discount rate of around 4–6% was probably justified, while in developing countries, a rate of 10–12% was cited. The discount rates used in assessing private projects were found to be higher – with potential rates of between 10% and 25%. When deciding how to discount future climate change impacts, value judgements are necessary (Arrow
et al., 1996b:130). IPCC (2001a:9) found that there was no consensus on the use of long-term discount rates in this area. The prescriptive approach to discounting leads to long-term discount rates of 2–3% in real terms, while the descriptive approach leads to rates of at least 4% after tax – sometimes much higher (Halsnæs
et al., 2007:136). Even today, it is difficult to agree on an appropriate discount rate. The approach of discounting to be either prescriptive or descriptive stemmed from the views of Nordhaus and
Stern. Nordhaus takes on a descriptive approach which "assumes that investments to slow climate change must compete with investments in other areas". While Stern takes on a prescriptive approach in which "leads to the conclusion that any positive pure rate of time preference is unethical". In Stern's view, the pure rate of time preference is defined as the discount rate in a scenario where present and future generations have equal resources and opportunities. A zero pure rate of time preference in this case would indicate that all generations are treated equally. The future generation do not have a "voice" on today's current policies, so the present generation are morally responsible to treat the future generation in the same manner. He suggests for a lower discount rate in which the present generation should invest in the future to reduce the risks of climate change. Assumptions are made to support estimating high and low discount rates. These estimates depend on future emissions,
climate sensitivity relative to increase in greenhouse gas concentrations, and the seriousness of impacts over time. Long-term climate policies will significantly impact future generations and this is called intergenerational discounting. Factors that make intergenerational discounting complicated include the great uncertainty of economic growth, future generations are affected by today's policies, and private discounting will be affected due to a longer "investment horizon". Discounting is a relatively controversial issue in both climate change mitigation and environmental economics due to the ethical implications of valuing future generations less than present ones. Non-economists often find it difficult to grapple with the idea that thousands of dollars of future costs and benefits can be valued at less than a cent in the present after discounting.
Economic barriers to addressing climate change mitigation Economic components like the
stock market underestimate or cannot value social benefits of climate change mitigation. Climate change is largely an
externality, despite a limited recent internalization of impacts that previously were fully 'external' to the economy. Consumers can be affected by policies that relate to e.g. ethical consumer literacy, the available choices they have, transportation policy,
product transparency policies, and larger-order
economic policies that for example facilitate large-scale shifts of jobs. ==See also==