and continued to contract for the next few years during
Herbert Hoover's presidency and the
Bank Holiday in March 1933 when there were massive
bank runs across the United States after the
1929 crash.
Milton Friedman and
Anna Schwartz stated that the Fed pursued an erroneously restrictive monetary policy, exacerbating the
Great Depression. After the
stock market crash in 1929, the Fed continued its contraction (decrease) of the
money supply and refused to save banks that were struggling with
bank runs. This mistake, critics charge, allowed what might have been a relatively mild recession to explode into catastrophe. Friedman and Schwartz believed that the depression was "a tragic testimonial to the importance of monetary forces." Before the establishment of the Federal Reserve, the banking system had dealt with periodic crises (such as in the
Panic of 1907) by suspending the convertibility of deposits into currency. In 1907, the system nearly collapsed and there was an extraordinary intervention by an ad-hoc coalition assembled by
J. P. Morgan. In the years 1910–1913, the bankers demanded a central bank to address this structural weakness. Friedman suggested that a similar intervention should have been followed during the banking
panic at the end of 1930. This might have stopped the vicious circle of forced liquidation of assets at depressed prices, just as suspension of
convertibility in 1893 and 1907 had quickly ended the
liquidity crises at the time. Essentially, in the monetarist view, the Great Depression was caused by the fall of the money supply. Friedman and Schwartz note that "[f]rom the cyclical peak in August 1929 to a cyclical trough in March 1933, the stock of money fell by over a third." The result was what Friedman calls "The
Great Contraction"—a period of falling income, prices, and employment caused by the choking effects of a restricted
money supply. The mechanism suggested by Friedman and Schwartz was that people wanted to hold more money than the Federal Reserve was supplying. People thus hoarded money by consuming less. This, in turn, caused a contraction in employment and production, since prices were not flexible enough to immediately fall. Friedman and Schwartz argued the Federal Reserve allowed the money supply to plummet because of ineptitude and poor leadership. Many have since agreed with this theory, including
Ben Bernanke,
Chairman of the Federal Reserve from 2006 until 2014, who, in a speech honoring Friedman and Schwartz, said: Friedman has said that ideally he would prefer to "abolish the Federal Reserve and replace it with a computer." He preferred a system that would increase the money supply at some fixed rate, and he thought that "leaving monetary and banking arrangements to the market would have produced a more satisfactory outcome than was actually achieved through government involvement". In contrast to Friedman's argument that the Fed did too little to ease after the crisis,
Murray Rothbard argued that the crisis was caused by the Fed being too loose in the 1920s in the book ''
America's Great Depression''. ==2008 financial crisis==