Market changes in the UK According to
BBC News, 17% of computer science students could not find work in their field six months after graduation in 2009 which was the highest rate of the university subjects surveyed while 0% of medical students were unemployed in the same survey.
Market changes in the US After the crash of the
dot-com bubble (1999–2001) and the
Great Recession (2008), many U.S. programmers were left without work or with lower wages. In addition, enrollment in computer-related degrees and other STEM degrees (STEM attrition) in the US has been dropping for years, especially for women, which, according to Beaubouef and Mason, could be attributed to a lack of general interest in science and mathematics and also out of an apparent fear that programming will be subject to the same pressures as manufacturing and agriculture careers. For programmers, the
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Occupational Outlook originally predicted a growth for programmers of 12 percent from 2010 to 2020 and thereafter a decline of -7 percent from 2016 to 2026, a further decline of -9 percent from 2019 to 2029, a decline of -10 percent from 2021 to 2031. The current prediction for 2024 to 2034 is a decline of -6 percent. Since computer programming can be done from anywhere in the world, companies sometimes hire programmers in countries where wages are lower. However, for software developers BLS projects current growth at 15% Another reason for the decline for programmers is their skills are being merged with other professions, such as developers, as employers increase the requirements for a position over time (i.e.
Full-stack developer). This skill consolidation has led some employers to claim there is a
skills shortage with regard to programming talent. However, US programmers and unions counter that some are exaggerating their case in order to obtain programmers from countries with lower wages and avoid paying for training in very specific technologies. Then there is the additional concern that recent advances in
artificial intelligence might drastically impact the demand for future generations of Software professions.
Market changes in Japan As of 2024 in
Japan, the demand for programmers is increasing rapidly due mainly to the
aging demographics of their workforce and their low birth rate not being sufficient for replacement has led to more use of
AI to help fill the gap. On the other hand, despite the fact that there are more than 1.2 million programmers in Japan as of 2020, more than 40% of Japanese companies say they do not have enough skilled and qualified IT personnel, including programmers; by 2030, the number of programmers will exceed 1.6 million, but about 800,000 people, including programmers, a shortage of engineers is expected to occur. == Programming education ==